This is definitely not good. I remember reading the other day about Syria firing mortars into Turkey but I did not post it for a reason which I cannot remember right now. I hope and pray that this situation does not continue to worsen. If it does, we may be dragged into World War III.
I can’t see this turning into WWIII. Turkey has obviously limited its responses. I can’t picture Assad attacking Turkey in any greater measure than lobbing shells onto refugees. The Turks know he’s hitting refugees and is not trying to start a general war with Turkey.
Still, Turkey has to respond, so it lobs a few shells into Syria just to keep the score even.
Nor do I picture Iran wanting to mix it up with Turkey by doing more than support its proxy, Assad, with arms and the occasional fighter from its other proxy, Hezbollah.
Iran knows Turkey has not intervened in Iran’s intervention in Iraq. So why expect it in Syria?
If, by some very strange turn of events, Assad did a lot more than he has been doing to Turkey, the only major army in the immediate area is Turkey’s, and it wouldn’t take long for Turkey to put the end to Assad’s regime. Yes, Russia has a toehold in Syria with its naval base, but that does not mean it would risk troops against the Turkish armed forces. Russia’s ground forces are less than Turkey’s and nowhere nearby in any case. Turkey would give Russia its assurances that it would do nothing to the naval base, and Russia would stand still and await further events.
This isn’t going to be WWIII.