Ohio poll: Romney leads 51-48 among those certain to vote October 5, 2012 | 11:47 am

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Ohio poll: Romney leads 51-48 among those certain to vote
October 5, 2012 | 11:47 am

The first post-presidential debate poll in critical Ohio shows that Mitt Romney blunted President Obama’s momentum with his winning performance and is now leading the president among Ohioans who say that they are “certain” to vote.

Overall, the race is deadlocked with Obama over Romney 50 percent to 49 percent, according a new Rasmussen Reports poll taken Thursday night.

But among the stunning 92 percent of likely voters in the state who say that they are certain to go to the polls on Election Day, Romney leads 51 percent to 48 percent. And among the 83 percent who have already made up their minds how they will vote, Romney is ahead of Obama 52 percent to 48 percent.

The president, however, has a two-to-one lead among the 17 percent “who could still change their minds between now and Election Day,” said Rasmussen.

On Thursday, Secrets reported that the GOP has closed the large gap Democrats held in requests for absentee ballots used for early voting, a sign that Romney is doing better in the state than some other polls have shown.

Romney is also gaining with Ohio voters when it comes to who is best to handle the economy and national security.

Rasmussen said that in September, Ohio voters trusted Romney more than the president when it comes to handling the economy by a narrow 48 percent to 46 percent margin. Now, he has a 49% to 45% lead in voter trust on the economy.

On national security, Romney edges Obama 48 percent to 47 percent. Last month, Obama had a five-point lead.

And 50 percent think the economy will improve if Romney wins and the GOP keeps the House and wins back the Senate. Not so if Democrats win. Just 34 percent think the economy will improve if Obama wins reelection and the Democrats Congress, with 40 percent believing it will get worse.

washingtonexaminer.com/ohio-poll-romney-leads-51-48-among-those-certain-to-vote/article/2509947#.UG8KrhhvZFW
 
Ohio poll: Romney leads 51-48 among those certain to vote
October 5, 2012 | 11:47 am

The first post-presidential debate poll in critical Ohio shows that Mitt Romney blunted President Obama’s momentum with his winning performance and is now leading the president among Ohioans who say that they are “certain” to vote.

Overall, the race is deadlocked with Obama over Romney 50 percent to 49 percent, according a new Rasmussen Reports poll taken Thursday night.

But among the stunning 92 percent of likely voters in the state who say that they are certain to go to the polls on Election Day, Romney leads 51 percent to 48 percent. And among the 83 percent who have already made up their minds how they will vote, Romney is ahead of Obama 52 percent to 48 percent.

The president, however, has a two-to-one lead among the 17 percent “who could still change their minds between now and Election Day,” said Rasmussen.

On Thursday, Secrets reported that the GOP has closed the large gap Democrats held in requests for absentee ballots used for early voting, a sign that Romney is doing better in the state than some other polls have shown.

Romney is also gaining with Ohio voters when it comes to who is best to handle the economy and national security.

Rasmussen said that in September, Ohio voters trusted Romney more than the president when it comes to handling the economy by a narrow 48 percent to 46 percent margin. Now, he has a 49% to 45% lead in voter trust on the economy.

On national security, Romney edges Obama 48 percent to 47 percent. Last month, Obama had a five-point lead.

And 50 percent think the economy will improve if Romney wins and the GOP keeps the House and wins back the Senate. Not so if Democrats win. Just 34 percent think the economy will improve if Obama wins reelection and the Democrats Congress, with 40 percent believing it will get worse.

washingtonexaminer.com/ohio-poll-romney-leads-51-48-among-those-certain-to-vote/article/2509947#.UG8KrhhvZFW
:extrahappy:
 
I like the specific breakdown for October 5th:

*QStarNews Daily Tracking Poll

211 likely voters surveyed October 4, 2012

Choice of tickets for president/vice president:

Obama/Biden 41.78 percent
Romney/Ryan 56.64 percent
Johnson/Gray 0.00 percent

Approval and Disapproval of Barack Obama’s performance as president

Strongly Approve 20.18 percent
Somewhat Approve 21.29 percent
Somewhat Disapprove 12.22 percent
Strongly Disapprove 44.76 percent

Total approval and disaproval:

Approve 41.47 precent
Disapprove 56.98 percent

We also asked who won the first debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney:

If you watched the first debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, who do you believe won the debate?

0.47% Barack Obama
88.26% Mitt Romney
1.88% Neither or tied
0.47% I did not see the debate

If you did not watch the debate, from what you heard, who do you think won the debate?

0.0% Barack Obama
100.0% Mitt Romney*
 
Look at some of the counties cited in your article:

*The Republicans have shrunk the gap nine percent overall since 2008, but when we examine key counties in Ohio, the numbers become even more dramatic.

–Champaign County: Was +3% GOP, now +23% GOP - 20 point shift.

–Columbiana County: Was +9% DEM, now +9% GOP - 18 point shift.

–Crawford County: Was +3% DEM, now +12% GOP - 15 point shift.

–Cuyahoga County: Was +36% DEM, now +30% DEM (GOP already has 6,000 more requests than in 2008) - 6 point shift.

–Erie County: Was +24% DEM, now +7% DEM -17 point shift.

–Franklin County: Was +5% DEM, now +5% GOP - 10 point shift.

–Greene County: Was +4% DEM, now +19% GOP - 23 point shift.

–Harrison County: Was +22% DEM, now +5% DEM - 17 point shift.

–Hamilton County: Was +7% GOP, now +13% GOP - 6 point shift.

–Licking County: Was TIED, now +16% GOP - 16 point shift.

–Montgomery County: Was +29% DEM, now +5% DEM - 24 point shift.

–Muskingum County: Was +1% DEM, now +16% GOP - 17 point shift.

–Pickaway County: Was +12% DEM, now +15% GOP - 27 point shift.

–Seneca County: Was +1% DEM, now +13% GOP - 14 point shift.

–Summit County: Was +33% DEM, now +6 DEM - 27 point shift.

–Wood County: Was +10% DEM, now +1% GOP - 11 point shift.*

The counties in bold emphasis are the larger cities I referenced one post ago. These numbers surprise me a bit.
 
I live in one of the counties above, Seneca, and my perception is that there is clearly less support for Obama this go round. Indeed, far more Romney/Ryan signs. Many folks I know who voted for O and B last time, voting for R and R this time.

Also, in our area, Obama has been running way more ads than Romney. That tells me he’s in trouble here.
 
I live in one of the counties above, Seneca, and my perception is that there is clearly less support for Obama this go round. Indeed, far more Romney/Ryan signs. Many folks I know who voted for O and B last time, voting for R and R this time.
I’m from Lake County (originally). During two visits this past year, I gained the impression that Romney will do well there. Geauga and Ashtabula Counties are looking strong for the GOP from what my family told me. My Dad keeps asking where all these Obama supporters are. My daughter at Ohio State says they are in Columbus (much to her disdain). :)🙂
 
I live in one of the counties above, Seneca, and my perception is that there is clearly less support for Obama this go round. Indeed, far more Romney/Ryan signs. Many folks I know who voted for O and B last time, voting for R and R this time.

Also, in our area, Obama has been running way more ads than Romney. That tells me he’s in trouble here.
I think I heard Obama has been spending 2-1 over Romney. Romney needs spend a lot more on ads in Ohio
 
He doesn’t need to. Wonder what the breakdown is in Nevada and Colorado?
I believe Obama’s spend in Colorado was 3:1 for August and September. He is also buying several spots during Broncos games which are really expensive. Just makes me glad I have a PVR and can fast forward over them all. 😃
 
I believe Obama’s spend in Colorado was 3:1 for August and September. He is also buying several spots during Broncos games which are really expensive. Just makes me glad I have a PVR and can fast forward over them all. 😃
LOL.😃

If the states were all as safe as the MSM polls claim, why would he be spending that kind of money?😉
 
LOL.😃

If the states were all as safe as the MSM polls claim, why would he be spending that kind of money?😉
Why isn’t Romney blasting similar ad buys across the swing states? That’s where the action is and the $$$$ needs to be.
 
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