M
Here’s the cold truth: Either taxes will have to go higher to maintain the current level of benefits -or- the benefits are going to have be reduced -or- some combo of the two. There is no magic rabbit to pull out of a hat, no matter what the politicians like to say about government waste and inefficiency.
We’ve had erosion of Social Security benefits for more than 30 years already. The taxation of Social Security benefits started modestly under President Reagan as part of a deal to extend unemployment benefits for a season in 1982 or 1983. And under President Clinton, they expanded the taxation by a lot.
Unless things change, one of which could be the gradual raising of the age in which benefits are paid in accordance with the longer life span and the better health of many of in their sixties.This is definitely going to continue as people live longer and longer.
One thing which is hurting Social Security’s solvency is that over the past decade or so they’ve been relaxing the criteria for people to receive benefits on the basis of disability.Unless things change, one of which could be the gradual raising of the age in which benefits are paid in accordance with the longer life span and the better health of many of in their sixties.
I am a state employee who works for the state agency contracted by SSA to make disability decisions. Specifically, I adjudicate those cases for a living.This is definitely going to continue as people live longer and longer.
Clark Howard has said the following:
One reduction could be to raise the full retirement age, but people have come to rely upon social security even with higher incomes. In 1935 the retirement age was about 5 years after the average male life expectancy. Today the male life expectancy is higher than the average retirement age: full retirement benefits at age 67 with life expectancy of 76 (male). If it was like is was originally then the full benefit retirement age would be 81 (male) today.Here’s the cold truth: Either taxes will have to go higher to maintain the current level of benefits -or- the benefits are going to have be reduced -or- some combo of the two. There is no magic rabbit to pull out of a hat, no matter what the politicians like to say about government waste and inefficiency.
Yes, and I’ve seen a few who match this description. What is even more worrisome is that they seem entirely clueless as to their precarious financial condition. If I were the parent I would think twice about signing the home over to them. They would probably monetize it and then lose it.What I’m kind of worried about is all the younger people in their 20s and even their 30s who have never held down a viable job and are still living with their parents. They’re not chipping in much for their own SS, let alone helping pay for the Boomers’ huge SS bill, and they’re not putting money into a 401K, IRA, stocks, real estate, or any other retirement savings package. Yikes! At least they should have their parent’s home as a financial asset, right? (I think?).
Clark Howard has said the following:
Out of the zillions of options, limiting discussion to two will not yield good results.Here’s the cold truth: Either taxes will have to go higher to maintain the current level of benefits -or- the benefits are going to have be reduced -or- some combo of the two. There is no magic rabbit to pull out of a hat, no matter what the politicians like to say about government waste and inefficiency.
IF you limit consideration to payment into a government fund that puts all of its money into extremely low yield government bonds, than, yes, those are the only options.
I recall the Bush/Gore debates, and only agreeing with a single thing that either said: Gore’s statement that Bush’s proposal to invest 25% of SS privately was “irresponsible.”
That is absolutely correct, not for the reasons he figured, but because that left 75% in the insane system.
Chile’s system was in far worse shape than ours, and they fixed it in a generation. The Chilean system should be the starting point for discussion.
But then, I’m an economist . . .
hawk
The “insane” system in some cases is the only measure of income for some of our elderly population. We can never hurt our elderly by decreasing or removing a sole source of income for them, but I don’t believe that’s what you have in mind, feel free to correct me if I am incorrect in this assumption.I recall the Bush/Gore debates, and only agreeing with a single thing that either said: Gore’s statement that Bush’s proposal to invest 25% of SS privately was “irresponsible.”
That is absolutely correct, not for the reasons he figured, but because that left 75% in the insane system.
Not everyone. I love my country and my children and grandchildren. As someone directly affected by this, I would rather work a little long for the sake of both.He will be a hero to everyone over 65 and guess who is running for re election in a couple years.
I’m certainly not suggesting decreasing it, but rather replacing it with something sane.The “insane” system in some cases is the only measure of income for some of our elderly population. We can never hurt our elderly by decreasing or removing a sole source of income for them, but I don’t believe that’s what you have in mind, feel free to correct me if I am incorrect in this assumption.
One year, or even ten year, returns are irrelevant for this type of planning. I’m about halfway through my 75 year plan.I’m looking at the stock market which is down 10% in the past month, and even my conservative brokerage account lost 200.00 dollars.
Chile solved all of these.I’m all for encouraging and providing incentives the savings rate (like with retirement accounts) but what if someone gets defrauded like with what happened with the Madoff scandal? Additionally, while fluctuations may help some retired folks in some years, what about those who have to retire but end up doing so in a tough time (like let’s say during a bust such as the 2008 crash)? And what about those who can’t afford to get good investment help? Additionally, wouldn’t transitioning the system also be a challenge as well?