Hmm… that doesn’t seem quite right.
Are you certain that the “8%” number is “those who started the process but did not receive a decree of nullity”? Is it possible that this number is really “those who completed the process but received the answer ‘no, your marriage is not invalid on these grounds’”? That would mean that you can’t simply add these two together and presume that 85% of divorced Catholics never started the process.
Do you have a link to the study you’re quoting?
Thanks!
No, I don’t have a link, but the information is available through CARA.
As to the 8%, as I understand it, the tribunal does not say “you have a valid marriage”. Rather, it says you do not have sufficient information concerning an impediment to sustain a decree of nullity.
And if I understand correctly, those are not reported. As in, one is not able to find public details from tribunals as to how many cases go the point of a tribunal passing on the matter; nor, as best I understand it, is there a reporting format indicating how many cases receive a finding of nullity in one tribunal, and then that is overturned by the second tribunal. There may be some reporting from the Rota (although I am not familiar with any).
To answer your question, CARA’s research was with individuals, not with tribunals. So the answer is that people responded, whether they were “washed out” at the parish level, or sent the matter to the tribunal and withdrew (either for personal reasons, or because of advice given) prior to a final rendering by the tribunal, or a finding of “yes” in one and “no” in another.
It has been said repeatedly, if one reads much concerning decrees of nullity, that the winnowing process tends to be thorough in many circumstances.
I have been around long enough to have heard stories of priests, or others involved in the initiation of an inquiry, who may have told a person they did not have a case when they may have had one. And having known numerous priests in my life, that would not come as a surprise.
I am also well aware that both JP2 and B16 in the past have criticized tribunals (at least some of it, if not most of it, being directed to tribunals in the US) as being far too quick to make findings of nullity where Rome felt there was insufficient evidence (in some cases, that put it politely). However, It is my understanding that was some 15 to 30 or more years ago, and those who trot that out tend to look for any evidence they can find to belittle and besmirch the process and the concept. And I would suspect that at least some of those critics do so because the issue may have been a little too close to home.
CARA certainly could be subjected to attack that their research was biased, or flimsy, or statistically inaccurate; they have been around for a long while and do research in general (but not always) for the bishops of the Church and others for whom the information may be necessary or important. But anyone attacking needs to do more than simply imply that the research is skewed; they need to do the research themselves. I have never seen CARA come across as if they had a dog in the fight.
So, as I understand their research on the matter, it is correct to say that 85% of divorced Catholics have not applied.
And that doesn’t surprise me in the least. In the mid to late 50’s, over 70% of Catholics indicated they attended Mass regularly. Now it seems to be somewhere around 22 to 25%, with occasional peaks. There is even an article or two indicating that attendance might have been lower in the 50’s; in any event, there are a large number of Catholics who do not attend regularly. So it should be no surprise that there are a large number of Catholics who have married and divorced (which is separate from how many may have remarried without a decree of nullity).