Good Morning Zoltan: The floor is open for you to present data that shows that owning a gun does not increase one’s odds of being murdered or one’s odds of committing suicide, or one’s odds of having a firearm accident.
Gary,
I know you’re speaking to Zoltan here, but I wanted to take a minute to respond to the study that you cited to me. By the way – thanks for pointing out a particular study! It’s a whole lot more productive to discuss a particular example of research, rather than just work by assertion!
I’m hoping, though, that you’re not offering your comments here as a conclusion bolstered by the study you quoted to me. After all, your study offers a number of interesting talking points that do not support the points you’re making here.
First off, the study you provided doesn’t speak to the question of firearms accidents; they explicitly avoided that question and only looked at intentional homicides and suicides. So, does owning a firearm increase the odds of dying by homicide? Your study says, “meh…”. In fact, it says that there is a modest increase in numbers; but it admits that it has no idea why! It admits that there might be a correlation beween living in a dangerous area or engaged in dangerous activity and gun ownership; in that case, the increase in homicide doesn’t necessarily owe itself to ‘ownership’, but in one’s life situation and lifestyle.
Your study shows a far greater correlation between gun ownership and suicide. Yet, would we say, as you have, that gun ownership increases one’s odds of committing suicide? That’s an interesting assertion. The question, of course, is which direction causation runs in: is it that folks considering suicide buy guns and then complete their intention? Or, on the other hand, is it that gun owners are more likely to commit suicide? Or, alternately phrased, is it that gun owners who at some point consider suicide, succeed due to the presence of a gun in their house?
Your study offers no answers; yet, it raises interesting considerations. First, it asked about long gun and handgun ownership, but doesn’t report that the firearm in the house was the firearm used in the suicide (after all, killing oneself with a long gun is
hard, and killing oneself with a gun other than the one held in the house isn’t relevant to the question at hand). Second, it admitted that their results relied on the statements of a next of kin, who might not have accurate knowledge about the situation of gun ownership in the household, or who might not want to answer embarrassing questions truthfully (e.g., “were the guns in the household properly locked up?”)
Finally, the study asked respondents about how the gun(s) in the house were held – securely or unlocked – but it found no distinction in the results based on this fact. This, alone, is huge! If we’re saying that the only real significant result is that there is a greater rate of suicide in gun-owner-houses, then we
need to know this answer! After all, if the rate of suicide is affected by keeping guns in an unlocked manner, then the correct response is “lock your guns so that household members can’t get to them!” and not “let’s control gun ownership across the board.” On the other hand, if the suicide rate is high in households with locked firearms, then the implication is that the
owner himself is committing suicide. In this case, the proper answer is “as a society, we need to properly deter firearm ownership by those with mental illness and depression” rather than “let’s control gun ownership across the board”.
So, if you think that your study answers the question in the way you’ve presented your assertions here… then you need to read your studies again, and more carefully this time. They don’t say what you claim they say (and, in fact, the study you quoted also pointed out the shortcomings of the existing studies that make the sorts of claims you make)!
Thanks for providing a citation to the study! It was enlightening to see what the studies themselves really say (and what they
don’t say), as opposed to what spin doctors say that they say!