Are you pro-gun, or anti-gun?

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Oh really? What statistics? The ones from that study by Kellermann, the liar?
Since you apparently are suspicious of statistics even before you hear where they come from, why don’t you give me an idea of which primary sources you do trust before I waste my time presenting statistics that you are going to discount anyway. For instance, is CDC on your list? Or how about the UNODC? Or do you trust all sources except Kellermann? Or do you simply distrust any statistic that does not agree with your pro-gun position?
 
Since you apparently are suspicious of statistics even before you hear where they come from, why don’t you give me an idea of which primary sources you do trust before I waste my time presenting statistics that you are going to discount anyway. For instance, is CDC on your list? Or how about the UNODC? Or do you trust all sources except Kellermann? Or do you simply distrust any statistic that does not agree with your pro-gun position?
Well, I’m an equal opportunity skeptic. I’m sure that you have heard “there are lies, damned lies and then there are statistics.” Even though no one seems to be able to track down the person who first wrote this, it is one of the quotes in history that I agree with. In my research over the years (research was once my occupation) I have found most stats that people quote from are in themselves bogus. The quote below is by G.K. Chesterton; a very intelligent chap.

It is an error to suppose that statistics are merely untrue. They are also
wicked. As used today, they serve the purpose of making masses of men feel helpless and cowardly . . . But I have another quarrel with statistics. I
believe that even if they are technically correct they can be entirely
misleading. When we hear what we are told are real scientific statistics, it
is psychologically impossible not to think that they mean something.
Generally they mean nothing. Sometimes they mean something that isn’t true.
(Illustrated London News, November 18, 1905.)

I plan to try to look up a reference or two that Gary supplied if I can circumstance in my life right now might prevent that. I hope someone else will try just in case I can’t get to it.

Annie
 
Since you apparently are suspicious of statistics even before you hear where they come from, why don’t you give me an idea of which primary sources you do trust before I waste my time presenting statistics that you are going to discount anyway. For instance, is CDC on your list? Or how about the UNODC? Or do you trust all sources except Kellermann? Or do you simply distrust any statistic that does not agree with your pro-gun position?
Like I said in my last post I am skeptical of all stats. When you find some stats to back up your view do you ever look behind the numbers to see if they used case-controlled method or randomization?
 
Or do you simply distrust any statistic that does not agree with your pro-gun position?
Didn’t you already answer that yourself?

“…statistics that you are going to discount anyway”?

I’ll read whatever studies you want to post.
 
I’m an odd duck on this topic.

As an American, I strongly believe in the right to bear arms. I’m tired of our freedoms being eroded or just plain given away. I don’t trust our government to be the only armed forces in this nation. So on that count, I am pro-gun.

However, as a Christian, I personally tend toward pacifism. I don’t know how shooting my enemy (in war or in self-defense) is “loving” him as myself as Jesus commanded.

I’m not here to debate pacifism; I just find myself in a bit of an odd spot. As far as “the world” goes, I guess I’m pro-gun. But on a personal level, I am anti-gun based on my own beliefs.

🤷
 
Well, I’m an equal opportunity skeptic. I’m sure that you have heard “there are lies, damned lies and then there are statistics.” Even though no one seems to be able to track down the person who first wrote this, it is one of the quotes in history that I agree with. In my research over the years (research was once my occupation) I have found most stats that people quote from are in themselves bogus. The quote below is by G.K. Chesterton; a very intelligent chap.

It is an error to suppose that statistics are merely untrue. They are also
wicked. As used today, they serve the purpose of making masses of men feel helpless and cowardly . . . But I have another quarrel with statistics. I
believe that even if they are technically correct they can be entirely
misleading. When we hear what we are told are real scientific statistics, it
is psychologically impossible not to think that they mean something.
Generally they mean nothing. Sometimes they mean something that isn’t true.
(Illustrated London News, November 18, 1905.)

I plan to try to look up a reference or two that Gary supplied if I can circumstance in my life right now might prevent that. I hope someone else will try just in case I can’t get to it.

Annie
That’s true. We should all be skeptical, especially of interpretations applied to statistics. They are in error much more often than the numbers themselves.
 
-Nat’l Ctr. for Injury Prevention & Control, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,

-U.S. Department of Defense, Statistical Information Analysis Division, Personnel & Military Casualty Statistics, U.S. Military Casualties in Southeast Asia: Vietnam Conflict – Casualty Summary As of May 16, 2008, at siadapp.dmdc.osd.mil/personnel/CASUALTY/vietnam.pdf (last visited Feb. 10, 2012);

-U.S. Department of Defense, Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) U.S. Casualty Status, Fatalities as of: March 12, 2012, 10 a.m. EST, at defense.gov/news/casualty.pdf (last visited Feb. 10, 2012);

-Matthew Miller, Deborah Azrael & David Hemenway, Rates of Household Firearm Ownership and Homicide Across US Regions and States, 1988-1997, 92 Am. J. Pub. Health 1988 (2002).

-David Hemenway, Private Guns, Public Health 65 (2004).

-Garen J. Wintemute et al., Mortality Among Recent Purchasers of Handguns, 341 New Eng. J. Med. 1583, 1585 (Nov. 18, 1999).

-David C. Grossman, Donald T. Reay & Stephanie A. Baker, Self-inflicted & Unintentional Firearm Injuries Among Children & Adolescents: The Source of the Firearm, 153 Archives Pediatric & Adolescent Med. 875 (Aug. 1999), at archpedi.ama-assn.org/cgi/content/short/153/8/875.

-Matthew Miller & David Hemenway, The Relationship Between Firearms and Suicide: A Review of the Literature, 4 Aggression & Violent Behavior 59, 62-65 (1999) (summarizing the findings of multiple studies).

-U.S. General Accounting Office, Accidental Shootings: Many Deaths and Injuries Caused by Firearms Could Be Prevented 17 (Mar. 1991), at 161.203.16.4/d20t9/143619.pdf.

-Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence
Okay folks, the first reference that I went to besides the one that is not available at the url posted “Rates of Household Firearm Ownership and Homicide Across US Regions and States, 1988–1997” ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1447364/

Had this to say: “Case–control studies suggest that the presence of a gun in the home is a risk factor for homicide in the home,5 that the purchase of a handgun from a licensed dealer is associated with becoming a homicide victim,6 and that gun ownership may be a risk factor for committing homicide7”

As I see it this reference is not reliable at all. So I’m not spurred on to check the others out. There are stats by those with whom I agree who would dispute it. I didn’t go any farther. Based on my past experience I’m not at all surprised. One can find evidence for anything you want to convince others of. I rarely post stats that I have not personally ran down (unless I get lazy ;)) but if I do feel free to discount them.

Annie
 
As I see it this reference is not reliable at all. So I’m not spurred on to check the others out. There are stats by those with whom I agree who would dispute it. I didn’t go any farther. Based on my past experience I’m not at all surprised.
Annie
Good Afternoon Annie: Can you elaborate on why you think the source is unreliable? Sometimes people you disagree with have good points. The reason to discount them is best based on facts rather than likes, dislikes or disagreements. and if you distrust a number, it is a good idea to explore it and see for yourself.
One can find evidence for anything you want to convince others of.
The post you are referring to just lists statistics. What you or anyone becomes convinced of is based on what you reason from the statistics.

Thank you,
Gary
 
Good Afternoon Annie: Can you elaborate on why you think the source is unreliable? Sometimes people you disagree with have good points. The reason to discount them is best based on facts rather than likes, dislikes or disagreements. and if you distrust a number, it is a good idea to explore it and see for yourself.

The post you are referring to just lists statistics. What you or anyone becomes convinced of is based on what you reason from the statistics.

Thank you,
Gary
The “suggests” and “may be” hardly makes that a good argument for gun control. You are correct sometimes even many times people who disagree with me have very good points. But I need hard facts not “suggests” and “mays”. You do know, do you not that many gun rights activists have dealt with stats such as that and made much headway. It is enough to put my brain on auto pilot. My own life experience contradicts the argument they make but I would never use my experience alone to make the argument for gun ownership.

Annie
 
No response again by you, war is a statistical fact in recorded history every 2-1/2 years. So we are “always” living in this state. Its a reality, and its a reality we should acknowledge the truth or it automatically works against you. Let us not talk foolish and submit ourselves to a false sense of security which statistically speaking will not be coming.

Thats right, and now we have madmen with nuclear weapons, bit late for the genie to go back in the bottle? So we have this “reality” to contend with.
There is a stark difference in wartime mentality than in peacetime mentality and that is not just demonstrated by the failure of the peace time arms race (cold war) but in psychological terms, the way an individual responds to the world around him by the ‘fight or flight’ over reaction.

There is a difference between being prepared for war and expecting war. In peace time the focus is on sensible security ie ensuring that borders and boundaries are strong and secure. Ensuring that the armed forces are well trained. Ensuring that the police force is significantly authoritative and responsible. That’s where the sense of personal safety and the freedom to live in trust of neighbour and hope for increased peacefulness arise from.

Arming everyone by arguing that their death or injury is likely, is how someones sense of security is severly eroded. Trust noone. Dispense with the ‘benefit of the doubt’. Act as if you are under mortal threat at all times.

From what I can see, there is a severe lack of faith and trust in the policeforce epitimised by the saying ‘when seconds count, the police are minutes away’. That is a unique take on the value of police that could be examined for its effect on citizens.

Do you see what I’m saying? The mentality that conditions our sense of security or insecurity, influences the human response to a given situation in vastly different ways.
 
Originally Posted by LongingSoul
I read a figure of 60 % of all gun deaths are from suicide. So while the gun murder rate was about 14 to 15,000… the actual gun death rate is more like 35,000 per year.
It seems from googling, that that is a fairly indisputable fact. I’ll put the wiki link but there are so many varied sources that you could click on that demonstrate that it is fact.

“The U.S. Department of Justice reports that approximately 60% of all adult firearm deaths are by suicide, 61% more than deaths by homicide.”

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_violence_in_the_United_States
 
The “suggests” and “may be” hardly makes that a good argument for gun control. You are correct sometimes even many times people who disagree with me have very good points. But I need hard facts not “suggests” and “mays”. You do know, do you not that many gun rights activists have dealt with stats such as that and made much headway. It is enough to put my brain on auto pilot. My own life experience contradicts the argument they make but I would never use my experience alone to make the argument for gun ownership.

Annie
The terms “suggests” and “may” are used in commonly used in analysis. Scientists, statisticians and business people use the terms very often as well. On the other hand, you are free to offer what you feel the data suggests. What do you think the data suggests Annie? I am simply asking you to look at the data and to offer your opinion of what it suggests, and I am offering you the opportunity to refute the data based on something other than the fact that you don’t trust all of the many sources quoted. Customarily this is done by pointing out flaws in the data collection or offering some alternative interpretation of the data, or offering better data.

Thank you,
Gary

Thank you,
Gary
 
Here you go…

google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=5&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CEgQFjAE&url=http%3A%2F%2Farticles.chicagotribune.com%2F2013-01-18%2Fopinion%2Fchi-the-failure-of-gun-control-in-australia-20130118_1_gun-control-mandatory-gun-gun-deaths&ei=7PaJU_-sK46ysAStxIH4CA&usg=AFQjCNFSKi8KuMbcxBoqM_dvfdSNsQX7SA

You would think such dramatic new restrictions were bound to help. But the striking thing is how little effect they had on gun deaths.

It’s true the homicide rate fell after the law took effect – but it had also been falling long before that. A study published by the liberal Brookings Institution noted that the decline didn’t accelerate after 1996. Same for lethal accidents. Suicide didn’t budge. At most, they conclude “there may” – may – “have been a modest effect on homicide rates.”

Researchers at the University of Melbourne, however, found no such improvement as a result of the new system. “There is little evidence to suggest that it had any significant effects on firearm homicides or suicides,” they wrote.

Howard says the country has had no mass shootings since 1996. But mass shootings are such a tiny share of all homicides that any connection may be purely a matter of chance.

We learned from the 1994 assault weapons ban that modest gun control measures don’t work. What Australia suggests is that even if radical ones could be passed, they wouldn’t work either.
The American bloggers opinion is not reflective of the reality at all. Very few people in Australia campaigne against the strong gun restrictions. That simply isn’t the response that arises out of gun crime here. The law was always intended to arrest a growing mentality about guns especially prone to being absorbed by power seeking or agrieved young men, that the gun is a powerful appendage of the self. The gun holds a lethal mystique where there is a deficiency in self integration. We, through the government, owe it to ourselves to protect each other from cultural cancers like mass gun ownership. We have to value the sense of security over the sense of individual power.
 
I’m an odd duck on this topic.

As an American, I strongly believe in the right to bear arms. I’m tired of our freedoms being eroded or just plain given away. I don’t trust our government to be the only armed forces in this nation. So on that count, I am pro-gun.

However, as a Christian, I personally tend toward pacifism. I don’t know how shooting my enemy (in war or in self-defense) is “loving” him as myself as Jesus commanded.

I’m not here to debate pacifism; I just find myself in a bit of an odd spot. As far as “the world” goes, I guess I’m pro-gun. But on a personal level, I am anti-gun based on my own beliefs.

🤷
That conundrum was somewhat addressed by the Vatican in the 19th century in Pope Leo XIII letter concerning the affects of growing ‘Americanism’. As Catholics, our faith in Christ and the Church must always trump our faith in the human nation.

ewtn.com/library/PAPALDOC/L13TESTE.HTM

The thing is that our freedoms have to be weighed within the common good. The idea that ‘indiviual rights’ must trump the common good is not humane or even sound. In his late teens and early 20’s one of my sons was berko about the police state and facist road rules. (He’d lost his license twice for 6 months each in that time because of speeding and traffic fines) Only universal human rights… those that apply to all people, at all times, everywhere… can be regarded as inalienable. The rest must be subject to their effect on the common good of all to have relevance.
 
Hello Gary

You: The terms “suggests” and “may” are used in commonly used in analysis.

Aren’t they though? I deal in hard facts. Objective truth. I don’t even know why you posted all those studies. They are such time wasters and puts one in mental quick sand. People use their own case-control method in an attempt to bamboozle the non-critical thinker. If I were so inclined I could do some research attempting to prove that there are no gun accidents or suicides in gun owning households buy choosing to interview only people in gun owning households where these incidence have never happened.

“I am simply asking you to look at the data and to offer your opinion of what it suggests, and I am offering you the opportunity to refute the data based on something other than the fact that you don’t trust all of the many sources quoted.”

Well as I see it, it looks very much like you are tired of doing one on one discussing and decided to post quite a bit of unsubstantiated assertions and then when asked where they came from low and behold all of those studies that the opponent is expected to wade through. It is not that I just don’t trust the sources. I believe that the information in those sources are suspicious because it is based only on the data the people who wrote it wants to deal with. Using that method I could show overwhelming documentation that the astronauts from the USA did not land on the moon in 1969 and ask you to look up all that data to refute it.

Annie
 
That conundrum was somewhat addressed by the Vatican in the 19th century in Pope Leo XIII letter concerning the affects of growing ‘Americanism’. As Catholics, our faith in Christ and the Church must always trump our faith in the human nation.

ewtn.com/library/PAPALDOC/L13TESTE.HTM

The thing is that our freedoms have to be weighed within the common good. The idea that ‘indiviual rights’ must trump the common good is not humane or even sound. In his late teens and early 20’s one of my sons was berko about the police state and facist road rules. (He’d lost his license twice for 6 months each in that time because of speeding and traffic fines) Only universal human rights… those that apply to all people, at all times, everywhere… can be regarded as inalienable. The rest must be subject to their effect on the common good of all to have relevance.
If I believed gun ownership was somehow immoral I would agree with you - Christ and the church would absolutely trump it. However, I don’t think guns (or owning them) for the vast majority of legal gun owners is in any way immoral; I don’t think taking guns away from individuals necessarily promotes nor improves the common good. In fact, I think it could greatly harm it. 🤷
 
Aren’t they though? I deal in hard facts. Objective truth. I don’t even know why you posted all those studies. They are such time wasters and puts one in mental quick sand.
Hello again Annie: I posted the data the because they are in fact the cold hard facts.
People use their own case-control method in an attempt to bamboozle the non-critical thinker.
There was no case control used in these numbers. These numbers are not the result of experiments. They simply state the number of people killed by guns and the manner n which they were killed. The sources come from the CDC and Dept. of Defense. Neither of the sources are positing or speculating. They are giving the numbers. As for critical thinking, I don’t think it takes a rocket scientist to surmise what the data points to. It all simply points to the fact that in order to get killed by a gun, one must come in contact with a gun, and a very good way to come in contact with a gun is to own a gun. It also points out that a good way to get killed by a person with a gun is to be a person with a gun.
If I were so inclined I could do some research attempting to prove that there are no gun accidents or suicides in gun owning households buy choosing to interview only people in gun owning households where these incidence have never happened.
That would not be research.
Well as I see it, it looks very much like you are tired of doing one on one discussing and decided to post quite a bit of unsubstantiated assertions and then when asked where they came from low and behold all of those studies that the opponent is expected to wade through.
I think it’s the other way 'round Anne. You are labelling serious data from credible resources as unsubstantiated, while at the same time admitting that you are not inclined to check it out. If you haven’t checked it out, how is it that you have divined it to be unsubstantiated?
It is not that I just don’t trust the sources. I believe that the information in those sources are suspicious because it is based only on the data the people who wrote it wants to deal with.
I am not aware that the Department of Defense and CDC have an agenda either way on guns. One of their tasks is to collect information and make it available.
Using that method I could show overwhelming documentation that the astronauts from the USA did not land on the moon in 1969 and ask you to look up all that data to refute it.
I agree - I could refute it with facts and data, but it is also true that you would deny it in spite of all that without any facts, as you have aptly demonstrated a number of times. Data and facts that challenge your position are immediately dismissed as somehow flawed or untrue without a shred of data, evidence or fact to support the dismissal other than repeated statements that you just don’t believe it. But don’t get me wrong - I actually get a kick out of it, which is why I keep coming back. You also have to remember that I disagree with gun ownership in regards to how I conduct my own life, however, I think that everyone who believes in gun ownership should have a gun for reasons I have already stated. I have come to hold the opinion that this is all simply a matter of natural selection. The facts show that a person who does not own a gun is far less likely to be killed by a gun than a person who owns a gun. Survival of the fittest.

Thank you,
Gary
 
I agree, Ben.

I am also curious that people who rail against abortion often seem to promote gun ownership and support the death penalty. In my opinion, the only defendable pro life platform is a ubiquitous pro life platform. “Some” life being sacred doesn’t cut it.

Thank you,
Gary
I would agree to an extent. All life it sacred, but abortion is killing an innocent life. I’m personally iffy on the death penalty… And it is in the CCC that if and only if the only way to protect society from a habitual sociopath(murderer) then the death penalty can be deemed acceptable.
 
I understand ya’ll are from different cultures, but my own culture is not in contradiction to what the Church maintains as Legitimate defense, see the Catechism

Legitimate defense

2263 The legitimate defense of persons and societies is not an exception to the prohibition against the murder of the innocent that constitutes intentional killing. “The act of self-defense can have a double effect: the preservation of one’s own life; and the killing of the aggressor… The one is intended, the other is not.”65 (1737)

2264 Love toward oneself remains a fundamental principle of morality. Therefore it is legitimate to insist on respect for one’s own right to life. Someone who defends his life is not guilty of murder even if he is forced to deal his aggressor a lethal blow: (2196)
Code:
If a man in self-defense uses more than necessary violence, it will be unlawful: whereas if he repels force with moderation, his defense will be lawful.... Nor is it necessary for salvation that a man omit the act of moderate self-defense to avoid killing the other man, since one is bound to take more care of one’s own life than of another’s.66
2265 Legitimate defense can be not only a right but a grave duty for one who is responsible for the lives of others. The defense of the common good requires that an unjust aggressor be rendered unable to cause harm. For this reason, those who legitimately hold authority also have the right to use arms to repel aggressors against the civil community entrusted to their responsibility. (2240)

Where I come from- the force used by criminals intending harm are often illegal guns. For me to use the force of a legally owned gun to defend myself or anyone around me is in line with the Church.
 
The facts show that a person who does not own a gun is far less likely to be killed by a gun than a person who owns a gun.
So? All you have is a correlation between two variables. You can’t say that one is causing the other.

There are more ways to die than just from gunshots. It’s possible for people to own guns and be at a higher risk of gunshot wounds, but at a lower overall risk or being killed than people who don’t.
Survival of the fittest.
Yes, people who don’t own effective survival tools are more fit to survive.
Good one.
 
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