Arguing overpopulation?

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This tends to be the icing on the cake of when I fail at arguing my cases on abortion.

I can never disprove it, because space is not an issue when it comes to overpopulation. And, this tends to be the only argument I can usually come across. Even so much as a few apologists on Catholic Answers simply using the “Texas can hold us all” argument.

How do you disprove overpopulation when it comes to resources? The more people born, the more resources we need, which are dwindling.

Is the only logical answer, “Whether resources are dwindling or not, you have absolutely no right to kill.”?
In a discussion setting the funny response is: “If overpopulation is such a serious issue and you are so concerned about it, why are you still here?” The issue in these instances seems to prove that arrogant minded people believethat they speak for the good of man, while believing that their own advise has no bearing of themselves. They are above their own advise, notice that? Point that out to them, and they can’t counter it.
 
These things are the fruit of human ingenuity that is the reflected image of God himself. But they won’t happen if future generations are so saddled with the costs of caring for an older generation that failed to adequately reproduce itself, as is happening in most industrialized nations.
This is a completely artificial construct of today’s society. We set up our modern system of taking care of older people throwing the burden on society and by requiring it to be Ponzi funded. This is not the way it was through most of mankind’s history.

One of the many courses I took in college was Irish History. Ireland is unique in the modern western world, due to its massive depopulation over the course of the century. One thing that was lacking in the Irish History class was its mention of the Irish not being able to take care of its elders, and their being thrown out on the street. After all, it must have happened, based on your post…correct?
 
This is a completely artificial construct of today’s society. We set up our modern system of taking care of older people throwing the burden on society and by requiring it to be Ponzi funded. This is not the way it was through most of mankind’s history.

One of the many courses I took in college was Irish History. Ireland is unique in the modern western world, due to its massive depopulation over the course of the century. One thing that was lacking in the Irish History class was its mention of the Irish not being able to take care of its elders, and their being thrown out on the street. After all, it must have happened, based on your post…correct?
If you’d bother to actually study demographics rather than shooting from the hip, you’d already know that disease and emigration depopulation are drastically different animals than than depopulation resulting from inadequate TFRs. Plagues and famines disproportionately kill older and sicker populations, leaving intact a higher proportion of young, strong and fertile. Emigration occurs for lack of of local opportunity, which is often the most severe in Stage 1 (as was the case in Ireland in the past). Thus, such countries don’t end up with a massive imbalance between the old and young. Furthermore, human life spans have never been remotely like they are today. It’s a new challenge we haven’t really dealt with before. We can live LOTS longer, but doing so requires a large investment in health care services. I don’t have the figures handy, but I recall reading that something in excess of 80% of the average American’s lifetime health care costs occur in the last 2 years of his life. That’s a VERY new challenge we haven’t figured out yet. But figuring it out isn’t going to get any easier when there are as many elderly in need of care as there are working age people. That’s a devastating looming challenge coming for us not so far down the road.
 
If you’d bother to actually study demographics
Since you’ve obviously studied the demographics of Ireland, I’d appreciate it if you would post the sources which are referring too.
Furthermore, human life spans have never been remotely like they are today.
It is more proper to say “average” life spans are longer today than they were in the recent past. Fact is, the human body is the human body and nothing has changed genetically to increase life spans. The average does not truly portray an accurate picture, because it ignores that fact that far more people died in childhood in the past than they do today. I know this even from my own family’s history. Half of my great grandmother’s (born 1890s) siblings never made it past 5 years old. The ones that made it past that lived into their 80s and 90s.

This is also readily seen in reading history books. I remember way back when in Middle School hearing about how the average age was 45 or so in the past, but all the historical figures we were reading about were living into their 60s-90s. It made no sense until I understood the effect infant death had on average age.
It’s a new challenge we haven’t really dealt with before. We can live LOTS longer, but doing so requires a large investment in health care services. I don’t have the figures handy, but I recall reading that something in excess of 80% of the average American’s lifetime health care costs occur in the last 2 years of his life. That’s a VERY new challenge we haven’t figured out yet. But figuring it out isn’t going to get any easier when there are as many elderly in need of care as there are working age people. That’s a devastating looming challenge coming for us not so far down the road.
We’re not going to figure that one out. One of the major problems is that people are being forced to live beyond their natural life span, which is an extremely expensive proposition.
 
  1. Since you’ve obviously studied the demographics of Ireland, I’d appreciate it if you would post the sources which are referring too.
  2. It is more proper to say “average” life spans are longer today than they were in the recent past. Fact is, the human body is the human body and nothing has changed genetically to increase life spans. The average does not truly portray an accurate picture, because it ignores that fact that far more people died in childhood in the past than they do today. I know this even from my own family’s history. Half of my great grandmother’s (born 1890s) siblings never made it past 5 years old. The ones that made it past that lived into their 80s and 90s.
This is also readily seen in reading history books. I remember way back when in Middle School hearing about how the average age was 45 or so in the past, but all the historical figures we were reading about were living into their 60s-90s. It made no sense until I understood the effect infant death had on average age.
  1. We’re not going to figure that one out. One of the major problems is that people are being forced to live beyond their natural life span, which is an extremely expensive proposition.
  1. This is possibly the best place to learn the basics of global demographics, but be prepared for a lot of speed reading. Papers with abstracts and summaries help get up to speed fast. You’ll learn the principles there and will then easily see how they apply differently in Ireland’s great emigration and today’s demographic aging problems.
    esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/index.htm The more you read, the more obvious it becomes that they really have ZERO basis for expecting TFRs to return to 2.1 someday. There are a few articles in the 2010 projection that attempt to explain the rationale, but fail pretty badly.
  2. A profoundly important detail you are missing is the vast difference in mother mortality rates in childbirth. In earlier ages, a 60 year old father of 7 might not have ben uncommon, but a 60 year old MOTHER of 7 was rare in comparison. You’re right that child mortality plays the biggest role in drawing down average lifespans, but death in childbith was a significant factor too.
  3. We’re going to have to figure that out. The alternative is social collapse. And there are some scary dangers that people will propose as “solutions” when it starts to get hard. Scratch that, they’ve already started - Kevorkian & Company.
 
  1. This is possibly the best place to learn the basics of global demographics, but be prepared for a lot of speed reading. Papers with abstracts and summaries help get up to speed fast. You’ll learn the principles there and will then easily see how they apply differently in Ireland’s great emigration and today’s demographic aging problems.
    esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/index.htm The more you read, the more obvious it becomes that they really have ZERO basis for expecting TFRs to return to 2.1 someday. There are a few articles in the 2010 projection that attempt to explain the rationale, but fail pretty badly.
I’m not interested in global demographics; I’m interested in Irish demographics and the relationship between the age groups.

As far as replacement rates go and them not returning to above replacement rate as some point in time, that’s nonsense. First, it is not a reasonable assumption to think ALL couple will have less than 2 children; some will, and as long as that occurs, the population can never be zero. Second, I also based my opinion on a combination of what I see happening in modern society where economic conditions are the main constraining factor in the number of children one has, and what goes on in PTGs (primitive tribal groups) that do not have similar economic systems.
  1. A profoundly important detail you are missing is the vast difference in mother mortality rates in childbirth. In earlier ages, a 60 year old father of 7 might not have ben uncommon, but a 60 year old MOTHER of 7 was rare in comparison. You’re right that child mortality plays the biggest role in drawing down average lifespans, but death in childbith was a significant factor too.
It’s not a significant as infant mortality, since the number of infants dying at a young age is far greater than the number of mothers dying in childbirth.
  1. We’re going to have to figure that out. The alternative is social collapse.
Society didn’t collapse over the 1,000s of years prior to modern medicine, and it’s not going to collapse now (though the economic system is likely to). At worst, we’ll simply be back to letting people die when God designed them to die, not when we decide.
 
This tends to be the icing on the cake of when I fail at arguing my cases on abortion.

I can never disprove it, because space is not an issue when it comes to overpopulation. And, this tends to be the only argument I can usually come across. Even so much as a few apologists on Catholic Answers simply using the “Texas can hold us all” argument.

How do you disprove overpopulation when it comes to resources? The more people born, the more resources we need, which are dwindling.

Is the only logical answer, “Whether resources are dwindling or not, you have absolutely no right to kill.”?
Truth is overpopulation might be an issue but not in the Western world if anything, we are having problems of dwindling population and now many countries face problems because they don’t have enough births to offset the aging population.
Result?
Catastrofic economic hardship since most social security programs pay the recipients with the funds collected from the working force, Since the natality rate has been bellow replacement values less and less people are entering the work force. Soon the system will collapse.

This is what will be reaped in a few years, some estimate 2020 - 2030 if we get there.😦
 
Catastrofic economic hardship since most social security programs pay the recipients with the funds collected from the working force, Since the natality rate has been bellow replacement values less and less people are entering the work force. Soon the system will collapse.
This is an argument that people keep bringing up, and I simply don’t get why. These are simply programs that were artificially created and funded like a Ponzi scheme. They don’t exist in all countries, and haven’t existed for much of human history. Failure of these programs is obviously inevitable if population grows slower than in the past, but that’s a function of incredibly irresponsible planning, not mankind’s survival.
 
This tends to be the icing on the cake of when I fail at arguing my cases on abortion.

I can never disprove it, because space is not an issue when it comes to overpopulation. And, this tends to be the only argument I can usually come across. Even so much as a few apologists on Catholic Answers simply using the “Texas can hold us all” argument.

How do you disprove overpopulation when it comes to resources? The more people born, the more resources we need, which are dwindling.

Is the only logical answer, “Whether resources are dwindling or not, you have absolutely no right to kill.”?
Overpopulation is a myth, but even if it were true it would not justify killing innocents. If you’re in an over-crowded life boat, you can’t just shoot some people to make room.

In any case, overpopulation is self correcting.

God Bless.
 
… Failure of these programs [elderly entitlements] is obviously inevitable if population grows slower than in the past, but that’s a function of incredibly irresponsible planning, not mankind’s survival.
Don’t go all strawman. Nobody here is suggesting human extinction resulting from a depopulation trend due to sub-replacement TFRs. We’re warning that it could very easily collapse the current socioeconomic system and literally lead to social chaos. Watch Japan and Russia especially. It will hit there first.
 
Don’t go all strawman.
I don’t need to. I’ve provided an example of a country whose population was halved over a century and survived. That’s not opinion, it’s a fact. So the argument of declining population as it pertains to survival it moot.

The argument that people always bring up is actually and economic one. If you have a Ponzi-funded social system, at some point is will fail. It always has, and it always will.
 
Social Security is not necessarily a Ponzi. If TFR’s were actually stable around 2.1 for long periods of time, there would be enough paying in to sustain a minimal income for the retired portion of the population. It’s going to collapse because the ratio of workers paying in to retirees cashing out is going upside down.

As to equating Ireland’s emigration population decline to population decline from demographic aging, I get it. You’ve made up your mind and are uninterested in hearing why the diffferences are profound. 🤷
 
I don’t need to. I’ve provided an example of a country whose population was halved over a century and survived. That’s not opinion, it’s a fact. So the argument of declining population as it pertains to survival it moot.

The argument that people always bring up is actually and economic one. If you have a Ponzi-funded social system, at some point is will fail. It always has, and it always will.
So you are using Ireland as an example?

Can you provide me with proof that the millions of emigrants from Ireland did not in fact send back to their remaining families there some support during the years?
I can tell you that after the 1st and 2nd WW many that emigrated from Italy did precisely that.
As populations stabilize and basically remained in their chosen expat countries eventually funds dwindled as mothers and fathers died they no longer felt obbligated to continue sending funds.
So I would suggest to you that your example is disingenous 😉
 
Social Security is not necessarily a Ponzi. If TFR’s were actually stable around 2.1 for long periods of time, there would be enough paying in to sustain a minimal income for the retired portion of the population. It’s going to collapse because the ratio of workers paying in to retirees cashing out is going upside down.
It’s an man-made construct necessary for a particular man-made economic system. It’s not necessary for human survival. Furthermore, it’s pushing off the care of the elderly from family to society, reversing a trend that has existed for thousands of years. We’re also seeing the consequences of that.
As to equating Ireland’s emigration population decline to population decline from demographic aging, I get it. You’ve made up your mind and are uninterested in hearing why the diffferences are profound. 🤷
It doesn’t matter why the population reduced; it’s that fact that it reduced and society survived. I can use other examples if you’d like, such as PTGs. The North Sentinelese are an excellent example. Simple math indicates that a population of, at best, 300 people, living on an island for 60,000 or so years, likely reached steady state ten of thousands of years ago…yet they survive.

Populations increase; populations decrease. We’ll continue to survive, though at obviously lower populations in the future. What won’t survive is modern man-made economic systems.
 
It’s an man-made construct necessary for a particular man-made economic system. It’s not necessary for human survival. Furthermore, it’s pushing off the care of the elderly from family to society, reversing a trend that has existed for thousands of years. We’re also seeing the consequences of that.

It doesn’t matter why the population reduced; it’s that fact that it reduced and society survived. I can use other examples if you’d like, such as PTGs. The North Sentinelese are an excellent example. Simple math indicates that a population of, at best, 300 people, living on an island for 60,000 or so years, likely reached steady state ten of thousands of years ago…yet they survive.

Populations increase; populations decrease. We’ll continue to survive, though at obviously lower populations in the future. What won’t survive is modern man-made economic systems.
Actually you are dismissing the roots of why it was instituded in the first place.
In pre industrial society where families were quite numerous the sons and daughters were the insurance policy for old age. When mom and dad could no longer work they would be taken care by their children.
However during and after the industrial revolution when work migrated from the agriculture to manufacturing they could no longer afford to have more that 2 or 3 children and that is when the 2.1 children per family comes from. Under these new paradigmas the old were not assured survival in their old age and as a result governments in the west started implementing policies to support the elderly population.
Is it a coincidence that the very first societies to implement social security policies are the very same that experienced the “industrial revolution” first?
Of course not.
Now we face a new paradigma, i.e. Natality Rates are bellow Replacement Values in many of these countries which is leading to dwindling populations.
Look at France the highest population growth of that country is mainly Arab/Muslim which mean that in a few years they will constitute the de facto majority driving policy in that country.
 
However during and after the industrial revolution when work migrated from the agriculture to manufacturing they could no longer afford to have more that 2 or 3 children and that is when the 2.1 children per family comes from. Under these new paradigmas the old were not assured survival in their old age and as a result governments in the west started implementing policies to support the elderly population.
Is it a coincidence that the very first societies to implement social security policies are the very same that experienced the “industrial revolution” first?
Of course not.
Now we face a new paradigma, i.e. Natality Rates are bellow Replacement Values in many of these countries which is leading to dwindling populations.
You effectively noting what I’ve said. The lifestyle under the industrial revolution is not the norm; it’s simply a blip on the radar screen of human history. What we’re seeing now is all the consequences of it. It’s all about economics. Take the modern economics out of it and we’ll rapidly be back to where were two centuries ago.
Look at France the highest population growth of that country is mainly Arab/Muslim which mean that in a few years they will constitute the de facto majority driving policy in that country.
Interesting, considering the Catholic view on contraception versus the Muslim view.
 
You effectively noting what I’ve said. The lifestyle under the industrial revolution is not the norm; it’s simply a blip on the radar screen of human history. What we’re seeing now is all the consequences of it. It’s all about economics. Take the modern economics out of it and we’ll rapidly be back to where were two centuries ago.

Interesting, considering the Catholic view on contraception versus the Muslim view.
Seems they have similar views from what I understand. The problem is with the pseudo Catholic population that has bought into the current moral relativistic views and think they know better than the Church.
 
All of this passes over the point that someone is suggesting “If there are too many people, we should kill some.”

And I bet these same people would object to the fact that DEER are treated this way.
 
All of this passes over the point that someone is suggesting “If there are too many people, we should kill some.”
Seriously, the fact that some people think like this is shameful and disgusting. SOME radical people think like this. However, there are large number of realists like myself that simply look at the facts and make informed decisions. We don’t play into the “us against them” nonsense.

FWIW, one of the reasons that we believe in responsible use of resources, economic sanity, and responsibility family planning is so we don’t get to the point of overpopulation. Once that occurs, it’s a given people will start killing each other, if history is any lesson.
And I bet these same people would object to the fact that DEER are treated this way.
More “us against them” assumptions. I have no objection to deer hunting provided they are not wasted (used for food, etc.). That’s coming from someone that loves animals and is constantly around wild deer.
 
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