I’m only back for a minute. But you still seem oblivious to the fact that precisely the same classes of people were killed, more thoroughly, by the fire bombings, than were killed by the atomic bombs. I’ll repeat this later.
GKC
It’s later.
My wife has induced in me a spasm of concentrated moving activity, and I don’t know when I’ll be back for more than a quick look. But I’m stealing a few moments (she’s at the other house) to add some more details.
The fire bombings (roughly from Mar-Jun 1945) were aimed at 5 major Japanese cities. The total deaths/casualties in the bombings, almost all attributed to that short campaign (I think that Tokyo’s death total outside that period was around 2 thousand) was 127,000/316,000, approx.This was all classes, military, civilian, young and old. Do I need to explain to you how fire bombing works? If so, I have no time. Read ( I keep saying this) Frank/DOWNFALL, chap. 1.
I’m not making the case that fire bombing was not something you would object to, morally, as you do to the atomic weapons. I’m not interested in your moral views, as I repeatedly have said . I’m trying to get you to understand that, absent the atomic bombs, this bombing would have continued. Another book I do wish you had is Newman’s TRUMAN AND THE CULT OF HIROSHIMA. It is brutal. Had the war not ended in Aug, but continued to the projected start date of the OLYMPIC invasion, in Nov (and that was a dubious date, given the immmense problems of manpower and logistics) in the 3 months between the dropping of the Hiroshima bomb, and the start of the Kyushu invasion, deaths other than Japanese, would have been between 100,000 and 300,000 a month. That’s the butcher’s bill for trapped captive peoples, and (primarily) POWs. The Japanese general in command of POWs in the SE Asia area owned around 300,000-400,000 (these are the bridge on the River Kwai/ death railway people). He was to start killing them at the onset of the SE Asian invasions under Mountbatten, planned for 6 Sep.
Which does not take into consideration the Japanese deaths between Aug and Nov. The next line of attack was to concentrate the 20th AF on the transportaion and distribution systems, with an eye to starvation, a remarkably indiscriminate from of death, which looks to the weak, young and elderly first. And, in addition (the number of bombers was increasing daily) the next set of urban tagets was to be the 180 cities/towns with a population over 30,000 each, the major urban areas having been well worked over already. This is a target of around 5.5 million people. And all that is before the invasion itself, and without regard for the deaths involved therein, and for as long as it took to subdue the home islands.
I think I’ll recommend Newman’s book again, optimist that I am. It has a remarkable analysis of the USSBS, and it’s methods (Chap. 2). The conclusions in the oft cited paragraph about an early surrender are completely unsupported by the detailed interviews of the “surviving Japanese leaders involved”, with only Kido making even a passing reference to any form of early surrender, without either the invasion, or the bombs (in later testimony, he credits the Nagasaki bomb with being the key to being able to bring about surrender).
Newman’s book is crisp, succinct (only around 200 pages) and devastating. And it has a 1947 quote from Einstein, supporting the use of the bombs. Opinions, opinions.
In brief: Two planes. Two Bombs. Four days. No more deaths. Good.
Now to load the car.
GKC