Yes, it is tricky to separate productive services with non-productive. Probably that’s why economists seem to have given up trying to separate them. ** But does anybody here really think that a dollar spent on a design engineer is economically the same as dollar spent on a wedding planner? Many services consist solely of passing the SAME dollar back and forth instead of adding labor and skill to turn a cheap something into a valuable something.**
As for China, that’s the problem. They buy cheap raw materials from us, we buy expensive finished products from them. That’s the root cause of the “trade deficit.” We’ve sent our industrial capacity to them and disguised its loss by counting Starbucks and car wash sales in our GDP.
The difficulty is: it is difficult or impossible for central planners to know what to “plan”.
But does anybody here really think that a dollar spent on a design engineer is economically the same as dollar spent on a wedding planner? Many services consist solely of passing the SAME dollar back and forth instead of adding labor and skill to turn a cheap something into a valuable something.
We may not NEED certain kinds of design engineers. It depends on what they are going to design.
There was a HUGE push to build railroads. They were basically done by the private sector working with towns and cities with some land grant stuff thrown in that probably didn’t help because it pushed things too fast … all that free money from the government.
But once the rails were down,
then we were done.
No need for any more design engineers for those particular railroads … There were a lot of upgrades … but they were done on an as-needed basis. Certain routes were very popular with shippers and with passengers. So that’s where the upgrades with multiple tracks and heavier rails went in. Other lines languished because there just wasn’t the volume of traffic. The Pennsylvania Railroad did fabulously … and it was almost all in Pennsylvania … hauling coal from the mines to various users … the free market customers who were willing and able to pay for the coal and to have it delivered.
But there did develop a demand for wedding planners.
And that gets us to energy.
The central planners now in Washington are negative on developing energy. They are chasing after boutique energy such as solar and wind, which is only 1% or so and runs only only on nice days. This is nice if you are camping out and going to make a video about how great it is to be a subsistence farmer … but only on nice days.
But if you need reliable all-weather energy, then you need more than that.
And we have it.
We do have coal … we have used coal for … how long? … 200 years in the United States? … but all of a sudden someone discovered carbon dioxide and they are pushing carbon dioxide like it was nerve gas … and they want it stopped NOW. Well, carbon dioxide isn’t toxic in a normal wide range of concentrations … just isn’t. But, there are rules on the books right now that are going to shut down vast amounts of smokestacks. Then there is mercury … evil, causes all sorts of things … been breathing it for centuries … but all of a sudden, it is evil … [even though the government is pushing mercury light bulbs].
So, basically we have some folks in our capital, who are making very arbitrary decisions … changing technological things that have worked just fine for 200 years.
Their true intentions … to shut down Western Civilization … have become manifest and public and obvious, when the technology and industry sector of our culture came up with cheap natural gas. About as benign an energy source as you can imagine.
And what are the central planners doing? They are fighting it in … and in sneaky ways. In upstate New York, where they have some natural gas, a farmer can no longer harvest hay in the normal harvest period if there is a natural gas well in a field of a certain size UNLESS a special THREE-YEAR study is conducted. OR, certain techniques, that have been used for 60 years cannot be used unless additional studies are performed. There just happen to be 600,000 or so miles of pipelines in the United States, but a pipeline needed to connect an oil field with a refinery cannot be build even after a three-year study because all of a sudden more studies are needed.
There is a need for infrastructure to build energy facilities … pipelines and drill pipe and such. And it is working on its own without any government intervention. Railroads are developing on an as-needed basis. We don’t need high speed rail, and people don’t want to spend several days on a train getting from coast to coast … you would have to connect specific city-pairs so several transfers would need to take place. The central planners haven’t figured that out yet. We do have airlines and they offer a variety of direct and connecting flights that are able to be changed to meet demand. The central planners don’t understand that.
It becomes pretty obvious that the people in our central government just are unable to decide between the need for a design engineer and a wedding planner. They don’t trust the free market to decide and THEY can’t decide, so they will allow neither. Even though the people themselves want both but they want one in one place and the other in another place.