(*) The authors wish to thank David Bordua, Gary Mauser, Seymour Sudman, and James Wright for their help in designing the survey instrument. The authors also wish to thank the highly skilled staff responsible for the interviewing: Michael Trapp (Supervisor), David Antonacci, James Belcher, Robert Bunting, Melissa Cross, Sandy Hawker, Dana R. Jones, Harvey Langford, Jr., Susannah R. Maher, Nia Mastin-Walker, Brian Murray, Miranda Ross, Dale Sellers, Esty
[1] Marvin E. Wolfgang, Patterns in Criminal Homicide 245 (1958).
[2] Richard A. Berk et al., Mutual Combat and Other Family Violence Myths, in The Dark Side of Families 197 (David Finkelhor et al. eds., 1983).
[3] See generally Michael J. Hindelang, Criminal Victimization in Eight American Cities (1976); Gary Kleck, Crime Control Through the Private Use of Armed Force, 35 Soc. Probs. 1 (1988); Gary Kleck & Miriam & DeLone, Victim Resistance and Offender Weapon Effects in Robbery, 9 J. Quantitive Criminology 55 (1993); Eduard A. Ziegenhagen & Dolores Brosnan, Victim Responses to Robbery and Crime Control Polity, 23 Criminology 675 (1985).
[4] See generally Philip J. Cook, The Technology of personal Violence, 14 Crime & Just: Ann. Rev. Res. 1, 57 (1991).
[5] Ziegenhagen & Brosnan, supra note 3; Kleck supra note 3; Kleck & Delone, supra note 3.
[6] Kleck, supra note 3.
[7) Cook, supra note 4, at 58.
[8] Kleck & Delone, supra note 3, at 75.
[9] Joan M. Mcdermott, Rape Victimization in 26 American Cities (1979).
[10] Quinsey & Upfold, Rape Completion and Victim Injury as a Function of Female Resistance Strategy, 17 Can. J. Behav. Sci. 40 (1985).
[11] Alan J. Lizotte, Determinants of Completing Rape and Assault, 2 J. Quantitative Criminology 203 (1986).
[12] Gary Kleck & Susan Sayles, Rape and Resistance, 37 Soc. Probs. 149 (1990).
[13] Quinsey & Upfold, supra note 10, at 46-47. See generally Sarah E. Ullman & Raymond A. Knight, Fighting Back: Women’s Resistance to Rape, 7 J. Interpersonal Violence 31 (1992).
[14] See Kleck, supra note 3, at 9.
[15] Cook, supra note 4; David McDowall & Brian Wiersema, The Incidence of defensive Firearm Use by U.S. Crime Victims, 1987 Through 1990, 84 Am. J. Pub. Health 1982 (1994); Understanding and Preventing Violence 265 (Albert J. Reiss & Jeffrey A. Roth eds., 1993).
[16] Kleck, supra note 3, at 8.
[17] Cook, supra note 4, at 56; Michael R. Rand, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Guns and Crime (Crime Data Brief) (1994).
[18] See Kleck, supra note 3, at 3; Gary Kleck, Point Blank: Guns and Violence in America 146 (1991).
[19] Gary A. Mauser, Firearms and Self-defense: The Canadian Case, Presented at the Annual Meetings of the American Society of Criminology (Oct. 28, 1993).
[20] Rand, supra note 17.
[21] Cook, supra note 4, at 56; McDowall & Wiersema, supra note 15.
[22] Understanding and Preventing Violence, supra note 15, at 265-66.
[23] Id. at 265.
[24] Cook, supra note 4, at 54.
[25] U.S. Bureau of the Census, National Crime Survey: Interviewer’s Manual, NCS-550, Part D – How to Enumerate NCS (1986).
[26] U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, Criminal Victimization in the United States 1992, at 128 (1994).
[27] Colin Loftin & Ellen J. MacKenzie, Building National Estimates of Violent Victimization 21-23 (April 1-4, 1990) (unpublished background paper prepared for the Symposium on the Understanding and Control of Violent Behavior, sponsored by the National Research Council).
[28] Patrick Blackman, Carrying Handguns for Personal Protection 31 (1985) (unpublished paper presented at the annual meetings of the American Society of Criminology) (Nov. 13-16, 1985); Kleck, supra note 18, at 412.
[29] Kent M. Ronhovde & Gloria P. Sugars, Survey of Select State Firearm Control Laws, in Federal Regulation of Firearms 204-05 (H. Hogan ed., 1982) (report prepared for the U.S. Senate judiciary Committee by the Congressional Research Service).
[30] U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, supra note 26, at 75.
[31] Id. at 124, 128.
[32] See Table 1, row labelled “Time Span of Use.”
[33] Id. at row labelled “Excluded military, police uses.”
[34] Id. at row labelled “Defensive question refers to.”
[35] U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, supra note 26, at 144.
[36] Cambridge Reports, Inc., an Analysis of Public Attitudes Towards Handgun Control (1978); The Ohio Statistical Analysis Center, Ohio Citizen Attitudes Concerning Crime and Criminal Justice (1982); H. Quinley, Memorandum reporting results from Time/CNN Poll of Gun Owners, dated Feb. 6, 1990 (1990).
[37] Kleck, Supra note 18, at 106-07.
[38] Understanding and Preventing Violence, supra note 15, at 266.
[39] Gary Kleck, Guns and Self-Defense (1994) (unpublished manuscript on file with the School of Criminology and Criminal Justice, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL).
[40] Seymour Sudman & Norman M. Bradbum, Effects of Time and Memory Factors on Response in Surveys, 68 J. Am. Stat. ***'n 808 (1973).
[41] Kleck, supra note 39.
[42] Completed interviews, n=4,977.
[43] See, eg., David J. Bordua et al., Illinios Law Enforcement Commission Patterns of Firearms Ownership, Regulation and Use in Illinios (1979); Seymore Sudman & Norman Bradburn, Response Effects in Surveys (1974); James Wright & Peter Rossi, Armed and Considered Dangerous (1986); Alan J. Lizotte & David J. Bordua, Firearms Ownership for Sport and Protection, 46 Am. Soc. and American Attitudes Towards Firearm, 32 CAN. J. Criminology 573 (1990); Gary Mauser, "Sorry, Wrong Number. Why Media Polls on Gun Control Are Often Unreliable, 9 Pol. Comm. 69 (1992); Mauser, supra note 16.
[44] U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, supra note 26, at 14142.
[45] Kleck, supra note 18, at 57.
[46] Id. at 56.
[47] Cook, supra note 4.
[48] Understanding and Preventing Violence, supra note 15.
[49] McDowall & Wiersema, supra note 15.
[50] See, eg., Michael Hindelang et al., Measuring Delinquency (1981).
[51] See Jerald Bachman & Patrick O’Malley, When Four Months Equal a Year. Inconsistencies in Student Reports of Drug Use, 45 Pub. Opinion Q. 536, 539, 543 (1981).
[52] See Table 2.
[53] Mauser, supra note 19.
[54] Peter D. Hart Research Associates, Inc., Questionnaire used in October 1981 Violence in America Survey, with marginal frequencies (1981).
[55] See Table 1, note A.
[56] See Table 2, second column.
[57] Kleck, supra note 18, at 50 (extrapolating up to 1994, from 1987 data).
[58] David W. Moore & Frank Newport, Polic Strongly Favors Strongly Gun Control Laws, 340 The Gallup Poll Monthly 18 (1994).
[59] Quinley, supra note 36.
[60] Wright & Rossi, supra note 43, at 155.
[61] See Table 3, Panels A, E.
[62] The 85,000 DGUs estimated from the NCVS, divided by the 2.5 million estimate derived from the presented survey equals .03.
[63] Loftin & MacKenzie, supra note 27, at 22-23. [64] Computed from U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, supra note 26, at 82-83.
[65] Rand, supra note 17, at 2.
[66] Id.
[67] U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, supra note 26, at 126.
[68] 100%, minus the 16.6% where the victim was shot at, minus the 46.8% where the victim reported a “weapon present or threatened with a weapon” = 36.6%.
[69] 16.6% plus the 46.8% in the ambiguous “weapon present” category.
[70] Federal Bureau of Investigation, U.S. Department of Justice, Crime in the United States 1992–Uniform Crime Reports 18, 58 (1993).
[71] Philip J. Cook, The Case of the Missing Victims: Gunshot Woundings in the National Crime Survey, 1 J. Quantitative Criminology 91 (1985).
[72] U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, supra note 26, at 33.
[73] Kleck, supra note 18, at 57.
[74] Richard W. Dodge, The Washington, D. C Recall Study, in 1 The National Crime Survey. Working Papaer: Current and Historical Perspectives 14 (Robert G. Lehnen Wesley G. Skogan eds., 1981).
[75] Henry S. Woltman et al., Recall Bias and Telescoping in the National Crime Survey, in 2 The National Crime Survey. Working Papers: Methodological Studies 810 (Robert G. Lehnen & Wesley G. Skogan eds., 1984); Sudman & Bradburn, supra note 40.
[76] See Table 3, panel A.
[77] Rand, supra note 17.
[78] William A. Geller & Michael S. Scott, Police Executive Research Forum, Deadly Force: What We Know 100-106 (1993).
[79] Rand, supra note 17.
[80] See Table 3, Panel B.
[81] Id. at Panel C.
[82] Kleck, supra note 3, at 7-9; Kleck & Delone, supra note 3, at 75-77.
[83] U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, supra note 26, at 83.
[84] See Table 3, Panel F.
[85] For a related speculation, see Understanding and Preventing Violence, supra note 15, at 266.
[86] Id.
[87] U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, supra note 26, at 83; U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation, supra note 70, at 18.
[88] See Table 3, Panel H.
[89] Id. at Panel A.
[90] Id. at Panel G.
[91] Id. at Panel I.
[92] Loftin & MacKenzie, supra note 27, at 22-23.
[93] U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, supra note 26, at 82.
[94] See Table 3, Panel J.
[95] Cook, supra note 4.
[96] See Table 3, Panel K.
[97] National Safety Council, Accident Facts 11 (1994). This assumes that 95% of “legal intervention” deaths involved guns.
[98] U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, supra note 26, at 25-26, 31, 38-39.
[99] Kleck, supra note 18, at 56.
[100] Arthur L Kellermann & Donald T. Reay, Protection or Peril?, 314 New Eng. J. Med. 1557 (1986).
[101] Kleck, supra note 18, at 11 1-117.
[102] See id. at 127-129 for a more detailed critique of these “junk science” statistics. See Understanding and Preventing Violence, supra note 15, at 267 for an example of a prestigious source taking such numbers seriously.