I would like to add my agreement to this. In addition, SS was set up as an agreement between the government and the people, that the people would put money in and the government would care for them when they retired, so we would naturally have to honor that agreement with those who contributed.
Exactly. You don’t want to throw people out on the streets who have been promised something for decades (in the vast majority of cases, their entire working lives).
St John spoke of “moral harm,” though. While he didn’t speak of macroeconomic effects, those cannot be discounted. The goal of any type of action taken for society should be to promote the common good. The very method by which social security was established was not a method that would, in the long term, promote the common good.
You should, when you get a chance, carefully read
Section 201 of the Social Security Act of 1935, as amended by
Section 201 of the Social Security Act of 1939. This is the section of the Act that originally establishes the so-called “Social Security Trust Fund” (called the Old Age Reserve Account in the 1935 Act). Here is the key language (from the 1939 Act para (c)):
It shall be the duty of the Managing Trustee to invest such portion of the Trust Fund as is not, in his judgment, required to meet current withdrawals. Such investments may be made only in interest-bearing obligations of the United States or in obligations guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the United States.
What does that mean? It means that the Social Security Trustees are required, by law, to turn over social security taxes that aren’t required for current social security payments to the General Fund of the Treasury. In exchange, they receive US government bonds.
Of course, as long as there is more money coming in than going out, that’s no problem. It is extra money that can be spent by Congress…and, hey, they have US Savings Bonds that can be cashed in when needed, right?
The problem is, what happens when more money is taken out than goes in?
(Scenario I is optimistic: people die sooner, people have more babies, nobody is unemployed. Scenario II is the more realistic scenario. Scenario III is the scenario if fertility continues to decrease and people live longer)
You can see that under either of the two realistic scenarios (II and III), social security goes broke between 2030 and 2038.
But that is only half the story. The other part is what happens to the general fund when the “Social Security Trust Fund” has to start pulling money out of those guaranteed debt instruments? (That, my friend, is the 500 pound gorilla nobody wants to talk about)
Well, what happens is that money in the general fund that was dedicated to such programs as defense, transportation, education, health care, and so on, won’t be there to spend. That means that Congress will either have to cut those programs accordingly or sell more debt to outside investors (like China). If neither of those two things work, the Federal Reserve will have to literally print more money. The third is actually the most likely: with the $14 Trillion (yes, Trillion) dollar debt we have right now, outside investors are already getting hesitant to buy more of our debt.
And you know what happens when governments start printing money to pay for their debt, right? Inflation. And inflation that can rapidly turn into hyperinflation, because it’s a vicious circle.
And how does hyperinflation serve the common good?
In the meantime, no elected official in the world would want to authentically tackle the situation, because he would not want to face the rage of 85 year old grannies on a rampage. Not a good career choice.
An illustration of St John’s statement:
while the poor who received the gold form the hands of soldiers would feel no gratitude, because no generosity would have prompted the gift
Well, they don’t feel like it is a gift, do they? I know I sure wouldn’t. After all, I paid into that stupid social security my entire working career…by golly, it’s my turn to collect some of what I paid in ((grumble–grumble))
**Do I advocate turning social security off? **
Hardly. The government did make a promise and people did base their lives on that promise. But it is the perfect example of what St John was teaching.