Right. That is an interesting question. Generally, no, since a person may already be married and attempt a second marriage without informing his spouse to be. But I have one for you. Do you think that 95% of all Roman Catholic marriages are invalid? Because in some areas less than 5% of those who apply for the annulment will not get it. More than 95% of those who apply will get it.
I think you’re misusing the statistics, here, on two counts. First of all, your assertion about those “who apply for annulment” over-reaches. Secondly, the way you extrapolate the “95% of all Catholic marriages” number is invalid.
First, the notion of “those who apply for annulment” makes an invalid assumption; at the very least, it misrepresents the situation. The way you state it, it seems that you’re saying that 95% of those who approach the Church for an annulment, actually receive one. That’s not the way it works. Many begin the process, but don’t get any further than looking at the questionnaire. Of those who fill out the questionnaire, some get no further than speaking with their advocate or submitting the questionnaire; if the advocate or tribunal foresees that nothing would indicate that a positive decision will result, the petitioner is often advised that s/he should not continue the case onward (to a negative sentence). So, when you write “those who apply for annulment”, to whom are you referring? Those who request a questionnaire? Those who complete it? Those who submit the questionnaire? Those who proceed onward to the trial phase? Cause… if you’re talking about those who request a questionnaire… then “95%” is nowhere near an accurate number. In fact, to my experience, less than 1/3 of those who request a questionnaire actually fill it out. But, maybe you’re talking about those who actually fill it out? Again, you’ll lose some of these to attrition. On the other hand, maybe you’re speaking about those who actually bring the process to completion? I can’t speak to whether “95%” is the correct number – but, if you’re trying to say that 95% of the people who start the process actually get an annulment, then I can tell you that you’re off by at least a factor of 4. If you look at the number of people who start the process, it’s probably closer to 20-25% who end up with an annulment. Of course, that doesn’t come anywhere near to making the case you’re hoping to make…
But, let’s look at your question about whether 95% of Catholic marriages are invalid. This is an odd statement, and is a classic case of ‘selection bias.’ Let’s suppose that 95% of people who go to a chiropractor, actually have back problems. Would you, then, suggest that 95% of people in general have back problems? Of course not; after all, those who approach a chiropractor
already suspect that they have back problems. Similarly, those who approach the Church, asking about an annulment, are already in the group that is more likely to have had an invalid marriage. (After all, all those who remain married are explicitly part of the group who aren’t in invalid marriages!) So, this presumption is invalid on its face.
Some people familiar with the process have said that with enough study, they can always find some reason or another to use to have a marriage annulled. There is even a webpage which specializes in helping people fill out the forms correctly so that it will be a whole lot easier for them to obtain the annulment.
Are you asking whether there are people out there who are attempting to game the process? I’m sure there are. Does that mean that the process is flawed, simply because some approach it dishonestly? Of course not.