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FrankSchnabel
Guest
Hi Sideline,If you look at my post comparing SETI and Archaeology to ID, I give a rather lengthy explanation as to why SETI doesn’t share ID’s fate. Specifically, it isn’t looking for design in isolation. It is looking for something out of context in nature.
Let’s think about arrowheads. Archaeology and history teach us that folks back then made arrowheads out of flint and such. Archaeology can even associate certain forms with different cultures and periods. So take the general pattern of an arrowhead and let that be our specification. It is a detachable and independently given pattern.
So when I go out into a field and find a piece of flint, being equipped with this background information (context), I can assess the liklihood whether a given piece arose by human design or just natural processes. Sometimes it is easy, as when the piece very clearly conforms to the specification. Sometimes it is not easy, as when the conformity is only partial. Sometimes a piece was worked on just a little bit and then discarded. But the point is that, given enuff conformity to a specification, I will make a design inference.
But archaeology operating in this instance doesn’t make any appeals to probability. It seems to rely just on specifications. But in theory, there is no reason why it couldn’t bolster its design inferences based an assessment of probability as well. For example, knowing the geological context of obsidian and how nature itself can disseminate rocks from one location to another through natural geological processes, what would be the chances of finding obsidian fragments in location X in a certain stratum?
So I see archaeology operating in the same general fashion as ID. SETI is no different. An archaeologst wandering a field looking for arrowheads and a SETI researcher are both looking for sumptin based on a specification gained from some background knowledge (context).
Actually, the more I think about this, the more I am coming to the conclusion that specifications aren’t a problem for ID. The problem with ID maybe lies more in how we can accurately determine probabilities.