D
danserr
Guest
You seem to want to make alot of arguing that the causal principle is reached by inductive and that inductive reasoning is unreliable and should make us general skeptics (ie. we should withhold judgment because who knows if a black goose, raven, helmeted hornbill, or some other avian species might later be found. But are you seriously denying the ability of one to draw conclusions based on inductive reasoning? History and Science are almost completely based on inductive reasoning. When they work deductively, it is on principles drawn from inductive reasoning. To ask us not to draw conclusions based on inductive reasoning is to ask us to give up science and history (I don’t want to give up history, it’s too much fun). If you believe that the holocaust happened, or the witch-hunts, or if Rome existed, or the evolution of species, you are committed to accepting the value of inductive reasoning. Darwin’s “Origin of Species” for goodness’ sake was based on inductive reasoning! He didn’t examine every single species in the world before he published his studies!Plausibility is not the point. Certainly we observe zillions of causative events. The problem is the step of generalization: “we observe zillions of causations, therefore causation is universal”. A clear example of the “no white raven…” fallacy.
This is the another problematic assertion, and it has been addressed. The universe is not a “thing”, it is the collection of “things”. To say that all members of a set have a certain propery of “X”, and therefore the collection also has the property of “X” is the fallacy of composition.
a). You also want to make alot of the composition fallacy. But you misuse this fallacy, partly for the reason I give above. Scientists make generalizations all the time based on observation and experiment. Darwin and evolution for instance, or when a scientist clinically tests a new drug to see if it will be effective. They then apply their conclusions to the whole. By your reasoning, they commit composition fallacy, yet obviously, that is not the case.fallacy of composition
b). Second, the composition fallacy is not relevant to the argument I suggest anyway. It is relevant to the argument that the “causal principle is confirmed in our experience.” (though fails against it for the reason I give above). But I said a separate argument in favor of the causal principle “if something can come from nothing, it is inexplicable why anything and everything does not come from nothing.” If you are seriously suggesting that something (the universe, which is indeed a thing) can come into existence from nothing, then what reason can you give that everything and anything does not similarly come into existence?
c). Far from the composition fallacy being relevant, the skeptic risks committed the “taxicab fallacy,” when he says that the causal principle is true of everything in the universe, but not the universe itself, since, as Arthur Schopenhauer once remarked, the causal principle is not something you can dismiss like a cab once you’ve arrived at your desired destination.
d). Do you really thing being can come from non-being? That something can come from nothing? Do you seriously find this more plausible than not? If so why? What reason can you give for the universe being an exception to the causal principle? If, on the other hand, you think the causal principle more probable than not, then you should accept it.