Probability is the only type of argument that can be made for evolution. Science deals in probabilities, not certainties. Probability is likewise the only type of scientific argument which can be made against it. But the typical probabilistic argument can only apply against a completely stochastic process, because that is what is assumed. It does not apply against a front-loaded (a designer “rigs the game” from the beginning) or a directed (a designer “tweaks” the process as it goes along) type of evolutionary process. BTW there aren’t hundreds of billions of years available. The earth, according to the best scientific guess, has only existed for 4.5 billion years.
A. Well my exposure to pro-evolutionary arguments may be of the dated and unsophisticated variety, but they have not been of a statisical nature, rather they have been more like “gee, doesn’t this monkey look like us”, or because whales breath air, not ideal for the aquatic environment, they must have been land animals which “returned” to the sea. All based on assumptions which essentially link similar looking structures to the theory of natural selection. I have never seen a statisical case made in the positive. And the reason is obvious, it might support this tiny microcosim of evidence you have built with the virus, but it makes the big picture, full story seem ridiculous. But you apparently beleive God guided it. With God all things are possible, including my view.
Some viruses insert in specific types of locations preferentially. Those are called hotspots. This is well known. There are no known retroviruses which insert in the exact same location however.
A. I have to take your word for it lacking time or ready resources and perhaps even the cognitive ability to become expert in this myself. I can only say again, as with the example of the appendix, things we think we know today we don’t know tomorrow.
Seeking Catholic:
“God could do whatever He wanted” is not a scientific argument. You need to look at what the data is telling you about the likelihood of what He actually did do. Is it likely He created a genome with an embedded retrovirus for syncytin production, but one that mysteriously only uses the env gene, with the gag and pol genes and LTRs just along for the ride somehow; and also just as mysteriously, the retrovirus is in the same location in the genome in primates but in a different place in mice and sheep (in fact, a different retrovirus altogether).
A. First, God could do what ever he wanted IS a scientific argument. Aquinas said that Theology was the perfect science as it is based on Divine Revelation. He further said that natural scientific theories must be reconcilable to it or be discarded. The existence of an omnipotent God, not observed (by most of us), is just as scientific as the assumption that species may have descendants of a different species, not observed by any of us.
That said I do not feel competent to speculate on what God may do apart from what He has told us he has done and will do.
Seeking Catholic:
Ironically, the more freedom you give God to act the less likely it makes any particular action of His from a scientific point of view, if a natural explanation is available. I showed this with the example of planets and I’ll do it again with gravity. If I drop a ball and observe it hit the ground, the likelihood of it hitting the ground under standard physics is one. But the likelihood of it hitting the ground if an angel is moving it is much less than one, unless I show a particular reason why the angel would want to move the ball there. The gravity hypothesis has much more predictive and explanatory power than the angel hypothesis.
A. I disagree. It is still one (or very nearly). The Angel would perform his duty. If it is his duty to direct the ball to the ground he will do it predictably. It is the nature of Angels, except in the case of the occasional miracle.
Seeking Catholic:
The appendix is also a problem. Yes, it’s true scientists found a role for the appendix; it is a place where resident flora bacteria can grow and regenerate if some disease wipes them out in the large intestine. But what reason would there be to create Adam with an appendix, if Adam is not going to suffer disease in the first place?