K
KarenNC
Guest
And how does this explain “We aren’t trying to “convey a message” – that’s a cognitive stragegy” exactly?And you cannot work in the affective realm with cognitive or psychomotor strategies.
Well, let’s see. Example of the type of evidence given so far:Several posters have already given that evidence.
I was offered the statistic of 160,000 abortions a day. When I asked for the source and context of that number, I got “As a national prolife leader I won’t dare post something that can’t be backed up statistically. 160,000 a day is from abortion supporters statistics!” I am still waiting on any sort of meaningful source and context from the OP, so I went looking for verification.
The CDC abortion surveillance report for 2003 ( the most recent one available, put out in late 2006) showed “A total of 848,163 legal induced abortions were reported to CDC for 2003 from 49 reporting areas, representing a 0.7% decline from the 854,122 legal induced abortions reported by 49 reporting areas for 2002.”
cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/ss5511a1.htm
Now when I divide 848,163 by 365 days in a year to get the number of abortions per day in the US per this report, I come up with 2324 abortions per day. This is not a desirable number, certainly, but quite a far cry from 160,000, even if the numbers are underreported. If I multiply 160,000 by 365, then that would mean there are 58,400,000 abortions a year.
The US Census Bureau reports that there were 61,588,000 women between the ages of 15 and 44 in the US for the year 2004 and that 3,746,000 of them gave birth. census.gov/prod/2005pubs/p20-555.pdf (haven’t found that data for 2003). Since we know that the population has grown each year, if we take the number of abortions reported in 2003 and divide them by the number of women in the 15-44 age range in 2004, we should get a reasonable estimate, even if a bit low as it will be based on a somewhat larger than actual base population, of the percentage of women who would have had to have abortions to get the 160,000 a year.
Using that data, I find it a bit difficult to believe that even the most ardent supporter of abortion stated that over 90% of all women between the ages of 15 and 44 were even pregnant, much less had an abortion, in any given year.
I have also been offered anecdotal evidence.
cuyamaca.edu/bruce.thompson/Fallacies/anecdotal.asp (my emphases added)
" There is, of course, nothing wrong with presenting representative cases to illustrate an inductive conclusion properly drawn from a fair sample. The representative case serves to put a human face on what would otherwise be just a mass of cold statistics. **However, it is the inductive argument as a whole (i.e. all those cold statistics) that justifies the conclusion. **The anecdote merely illustrates and humanizes the properly drawn conclusion.
The fallacy of Anecdotal Evidence mimics this legitimate use of illustrative story-telling. It presents us with a case that puts a human face upon a conclusion. The fallacy of Anecdotal Evidence errs, however, in using the single case in place of the properly conducted study. The fallacy implies that the anecdote is illustrating a properly drawn conclusion, when in fact it is attempting to replace the proper inductive argument altogether.
In some ways this fallacy is similar to Uncharacteristic Sample and also to Hasty Generalization. Like Uncharacteristic Sample, the sample is not adequately diverse, and so is unrepresentative of the class it is chosen to represent. Like Hasty Generalization, the sample is (usually) too small to support a general conclusion. However, I treat this as a separate fallacy in the Circularity category. The implication of an anecdote is that it is just one representative instance, and that many other instances could be cited as well. If this presumption is true (and often it isn’t), then the reasoning is neither hasty nor uncharacteristic. However, it is still circular, since the anecdote is offered as a “sample” only because it supports the desired conclusion."
If you believe that I have misrepresented the type of evidence given in this thread, please feel free to cite specific posts and I will look at it again.