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I don’t think the border issue itself is likely to be a big one among Hispanics, if Bush can get a more tolerant immigration or work bill passed. However, if he fails at that, a more forbidding border may become a potent symbol among activists.
WASHINGTON, March 29 — The battle among Republicans over immigration policy and border security is threatening to undercut a decade-long effort by President Bush and his party to court Hispanic voters, just as both parties are gearing up for the 2006 elections.
Over the last three national elections, persistent appeals by Mr. Bush and other Republican leaders have helped double their party’s share of the Hispanic vote, to more than 40 percent in 2004 from about 20 percent in 1996. As a result, Democrats can no longer rely on the country’s 42 million Hispanic residents as a natural part of their base.
SourceBut the issue is a delicate matter for Democrats as well. Polls show large majorities of the public both support tighter borders as a matter of national security, and oppose amnesty for illegal immigrants. Many working-class Democrats resent what they see as a continuing influx of cheap labor.