Game Over for the Climate

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(Can you imagine getting the Tea Partiers to do their part for the welfare of humanity (that probably sounds like a communist takeover plot to them). They don’t even have a concept of “humanity,” just “I, me & myself,” and “the individual” – a sort of limited world that comes to an end with their own natural death. Some who think AGW is a hoax probably feel it’s their patriotic duty to drive their Hummers the long route to the shops and work, etc.)
I have had a much different experience with the Tea Party.
I find individuals that identify themselves as such to be hard working, moral individuals.
Far from being a ‘me’ only mentality, for the most part I have found a ‘do it myself’ mentality at work.

Are you certain you wish to derail the thread at the gain of a few pot shots at a party you disagree with?
 
Sounds like you have an ideal life close to nature. Not ideal. I also have my “day job” 🙂

I had a reading in my Environmental Anthropology class by Michael Dove, who is a specialist on grasslands. He doesn’t consider them to be degraded areas of inutility (compared to forests), but sees forests and grasslands in a dynamic process, and both have traditionally been managed by peoples there. Here’s a site I found to go along with that reading: marietta.edu/~biol/102/grasslnd.html

Also I saw a film years ago about “mule logging,” which some ranchers/farmers who have good hardwood forests use so as not to harm the baby trees, and actually find it more profitable. They have the loggers go in there and cut down some mature trees, then they chain the log to a mule, who pulls it out to where the hauling truck is. I think they had some contrapion to hoist up the log onto the truck bed, also using mule power.
Both grasslands and woodlands can be degraded, though many wouldn’t know they were just by looking.

It is my firm belief that the best environmentalists are, in fact, farmers and ranchers. Few others really have any idea what makes things thrive and what discourages them. Few would know what a persimmon tree looks like in the wintertime. Fewer still would know the difference between, say, often-toxic Johnson grass and Tall Fescue.
 
Okay. I had read “Peace with God, Peace with All Creation” 22 years ago, and I just looked it up again now. Here is the part that you are concerned about (see vatican.va/holy_father/john_paul_ii/messages/peace/documents/hf_jp-ii_mes_19891208_xxiii-world-day-for-peace_en.html):🙂
The gradual depletion of the ozone layer and the related “greenhouse effect” has now reached crisis proportions as a consequence of industrial growth, massive urban concentrations and vastly increased energy needs. Industrial waste, the burning of fossil fuels, unrestricted deforestation, the use of certain types of herbicides, coolants and propellants: all of these are known to harm the atmosphere and environment. The resulting meteorological and atmospheric changes range from damage to health to the possible future submersion of low-lying lands.
I don’t have any trouble with this. Both problems – the ozone hole and the GH effect – came upon the public at about the same time. (And, yes, many people did confuse the two, and some still do.)

I suppose one could take this as JPII confusing the two, or that he was extremely sophicated (perhaps had his Vatican scientists look into his message before presenting it) and understood how the GH effect and stratospheric ozone depletion were related.

As I mentioned, CFCs & some other chemicals contribute to both. In fact, CFCs & co. are much more powerful GHGs than CO2. At the time they signed the Montreal Protocol, there was acknowledgement that it would not only help mitigate ozone depletion, but also global warming. Also the GH effect causes cooling in the stratosphere (above the GHG belt) by not allowing as much radiated warming out, and the cooler temps helping provide the necessary conditions for ozone breakdown. So in those two ways they are most certainly related. Here’s something that might help some people here understand the relationship: see ratical.org/ratville/ozoneDepletion.html

The fact that JPII mentions “energy needs” and “burning of fossil fuels” and “unrestricted deforestation” indicates that he understands causes of anthropogenic global warming. The fact that he mentions “herbicides” and “coolants and propellants” indicates that he understands causes of stratopheric ozone breakdown (and the anthropogenically enhanced greenhouse effect). Also the fact that he mentions “meteorological changes” and “submersion of low-lying lands” indicates he undersands some of the impacts of AGW; the fact that he mentions “harm to human health” indicates he understands impacts of both AGW and stratospheric ozone depletion.

I have always interpreted that he had the more advanced knowledge and knew the two were related (but not the same thing), rather than he was confusing the two. Now in rereading it again, I’m sure he was not confusing the two.
Perhaps you are right. I wasn’t having a go at Blessed JP2, I was criticising po18guy for grossly distorting his statement.
 
It should be mentioned that scientists are extremely conservative and reticent about making claims. They are striving to avoid the FALSE POSITIVE of making untrue claims – they cannot be the boy who called wolf or no one will believe them again
Scientists may behave that way but that approach doesn’t appear to be the rule for climate scientists and this pretty much captures the reason so many of us have no confidence in the people pushing AGW. If the science supports the claims why does so much of it turn out to be contrived?

nationalreview.com/articles/300877/climategate-continues-andrew-montford

Ender
 
Scientists may behave that way but that approach doesn’t appear to be the rule for climate scientists and this pretty much captures the reason so many of us have no confidence in the people pushing AGW. If the science supports the claims why does so much of it turn out to be contrived?

nationalreview.com/articles/300877/climategate-continues-andrew-montford

Ender
I find the scientists very hard-working and honest, and, yes, too reticent for my taste – but I understand their need to be cautious in their claims. It’s just too bad that the people of the world expect 101% confidence there is a problem to do anything about it…at the risk of annihilating life on earth.

To at least get the other side of the stories and opinions spread by the industry-funded denialist machine that cranks out doubt (as their most important product), attacks on “impact” science,* and bizarro climate science that would not stand up in any university or real scientific institute, I’d suggest reading Mann’s THE HOCKEY STICK AND THE CLIMATE WARS. I’m reading it now and altho I know most of what’s there, it has some very good explanations in a larger context that should clear up anyone’s doubts.

As Catholics we should be open to the other side of the story – as I am open to the denialists’ side. I hope for the best & expect the worst: I sincerely hope they are right, but I expect they are not and do what I can (no regrets) to do my part in reducing GHGs, which also has the effect of reducing many other problems, like local pollution and miscarriages.

I certainly did not need 95% confidence in the serious problem to start mitigating it. I would not feed poison to a child, just because there is only a 50% chance it would harm or kill him/her.

*one can divide science between “production” and “impact” science. Production science is the science behind the technology that has built up a very high material and gluttonous standard of living – industries love that science and even go with it at lower levels of confidence. Impact science is the science that finds out about the problems generated by modern technology – local pollution, smoking, hazardous chemicals, the ozone hole and climate change. Industries hate that science and go to all lengths to oppose and attack it and create doubts about it, so the gluttonous, addicted public and go only with their harmful actions with a clear conscience and no fear. The latest tactic of the denialist industry is to create great paranoia about mitigating climate change – leading people to believe that it will lead to totalitarian takeover and economic collapse (the very things that may happen if we seriously degrade the environment & change the climate, reducing the ability to sustain our lives).

So I would beseech anyone reading this, to please turn off lights not in use (and those feasible things that at least save money or have no cost that mitigate climate change and many other problems harmful to human life) and get beyond this denialist stumbling block.
 
I find the scientists very hard-working and honest…
That you find the scientists involved to be honest indicates a disconnect from reality. Even if AGW was true that would not excuse the behavior of (many of) the scientists involved. There is no justification for the actions of Mann, Briffa, the CRU, the IPCC et al. There is no doubt that a great deal of honest and valuable research has been done by many scientists. There is also no doubt about the dishonesty and deceit practiced by others.
To at least get the other side of the stories and opinions spread by the industry-funded denialist machine that cranks out doubt (as their most important product), attacks on “impact” science,*…
Don’t you recognize the David and Goliath relationship between the “denialist” side and your side? Practically every news outlet and government agency is a proponent of AGW; there are at best a handful of outlets for those who oppose it. If the anti-AGWers are succeeding it surely is not because of the size of of their propaganda machine. One explanation for their success is that truth is a powerful thing and while you may question whether the doubters have it it has been repeatedly demonstrated that the AGW side doesn’t.
As Catholics we should be open to the other side of the story – as I am open to the denialists’ side.
If this is so then stop mischaracterizing them and deal with the arguments being presented.
Impact science is the science that finds out about the problems generated by modern technology – local pollution, smoking, hazardous chemicals, the ozone hole and climate change. Industries hate that science and go to all lengths to oppose and attack it and create doubts about it, so the gluttonous, addicted public and go only with their harmful actions with a clear conscience and no fear.
When you find an article using terms like “gluttonous, addicted public” you should realize you are reading a piece of advocacy journalism, not a scientific paper. How can an intelligent and informed person continue to believe in a bogeyman?

Ender
 
Scientists may behave that way but that approach doesn’t appear to be the rule for climate scientists and this pretty much captures the reason so many of us have no confidence in the people pushing AGW. If the science supports the claims why does so much of it turn out to be contrived?

nationalreview.com/articles/300877/climategate-continues-andrew-montford

Ender
I just got the chance to read the linked article, and it is a red herring. JPII and I accepted that AGW was a real problem to be mitigated well before the hockey stick proxy reconstructions – which do not prove AGW. It’s long handle (whether flat & horizontal or having a big MWP hump) are not even necessary to the understanding of it.

It has been known for a long time that there have been great warming periods in earth’s history – such as the end-Permian warming that caused 95% of life on earth to die (that was about 6C greater than pre-industrial temps…which is a possibility by 2100 in worst-case emissions and high-end sensitivity scenarios…and more surely to be reached sometime after 2100 (tho it seems people really don’t give a fig about the people who will be living and dying then). So even if there were a greater warming in the past than there is now – and I’m convincenced that there hasn’t been in the past 2000 years or so – it would in no way disprove AGW, which is based on solid science, observations, data, and laws of physics (i.e., it’s a done deal with or without the hockey stick).

That unassuming people (as I assume the CAF posters are and not on the payrolls of Exxon or Koch) are joining in on the bandwagon of slandering hard-working scientists who are just the messengers (but people think they need to be killed or silenced for sending us unpleasant messages) is truly lamentable.

Anyway, I would suggest people read Mann’s THE HOCKEY STICK & THE CLIMATE WARS pp. 42, 53, 55, and esp. 198-199, 203, 212, and 338-9n30 to get some idea about the issues being discussed in that National Review link, and how fallacious the accusations are (and even if they were true would not in any way disprove AGW). It seems McIntyre was the one guilty of cherry-picking and using highly questionable data to fit his preconceived ideas, not Briffa (see p. 198-99).

Other helpful links include:
It’s sad how people will risk the welfare of their progeny based on the falsehoods of deceitful amature “climate scientists” like McIntyre and their media purveyors of lies and the sin of wrongful slander, like the National Review.
 
That you find the scientists involved to be honest indicates a disconnect from reality. Even if AGW was true that would not excuse the behavior of (many of) the scientists involved. There is no justification for the actions of Mann, Briffa, the CRU, the IPCC et al. There is no doubt that a great deal of honest and valuable research has been done by many scientists. There is also no doubt about the dishonesty and deceit practiced by others.
I don’t find any wrong-doing, except irritation at extremely obnoxious and dangerous denialists out to harass them, even threaten their lives and the lives of their children. In fact, I’m very much impressed they haven’t caved to the pressure, but are still engaged in honest science.
Practically every news outlet and government agency is a proponent of AGW…
Governments and the media have exceedingly failed in their moral duties to present the truth so we could act on it to protect life. They should have been heavily covering this (even tho slow moving problems such as AGW are not “news-catchy” to most readers who’d rather read about OJ’s trial, etc.). There was an extremely long “silent treatment” from about 1991 to 2005 during which the public hardly ever heard about AGW from the media – the very period we should have reduced our GHGs by 30% cost-effectively and invested in GHG-reducing measures instead of “speculating in real estate” (buying homes one could not afford), thereby contributing to the economic down-turn.

Let us be brutally honest about our greed, sin, and disregard for human life and the rest of God’s creation (that helps sustain us materially). We aren’t politicians to soft-peddle how bad we are. We’re bad. We’re sinful (that includes me, too).
 
All this nonsense about the Oil Sands is a smoke screen - it is COAL that causes most global warming.

Coal fired electrical plants in the USA, China, Russia, Brazil, Europe and India especially.

Stop burning coal, and don’t worry about gasoline if you REALLY want CO2 emissions to go down.

So don’t blame Canada!

ctvbc.ctv.ca/servlet/an/local/CTVNews/20120219/bc_coal_oilsands_climate_change_120219/20120219/
Coal sands require a larger energy (name removed by moderator)ut than they produce. Until that changes they are useless.
 
Coal sands require a larger energy (name removed by moderator)ut than they produce. Until that changes they are useless.
I sort of suspect that may be the case. Do you have any credible sources.

My thinking goes like this. I know the U.S. extremely subsidies fossil fuels, and perhaps Canada does too (or give other breaks to them). If so, then is it hypothetically possible that the energy (name removed by moderator)ut into tar sands could be more than the energy output…which would make it a tremendous boodoggle, not to mention accelerator of AGW and annihilation of life on earth at the expense of the Canadian tax-payers.

However, when I brought up this possibility, a local environmentalist I highly respect (who had just verbally bashed a Shell spokesperson on tar sands pretty badly, making me wince) told me it was about a 1 to 2 ratio: one unit of energy (name removed by moderator)ut to 2 units retrieved.
 
I sort of suspect that may be the case. Do you have any credible sources.

My thinking goes like this. I know the U.S. extremely subsidies fossil fuels, and perhaps Canada does too (or give other breaks to them). If so, then is it hypothetically possible that the energy (name removed by moderator)ut into tar sands could be more than the energy output…which would make it a tremendous boodoggle, not to mention accelerator of AGW and annihilation of life on earth at the expense of the Canadian tax-payers.

However, when I brought up this possibility, a local environmentalist I highly respect (who had just verbally bashed a Shell spokesperson on tar sands pretty badly, making me wince) told me it was about a 1 to 2 ratio: one unit of energy (name removed by moderator)ut to 2 units retrieved.
I read it some time ago in a feature on the world’s oil reserves which appeared in Al Jazeera. It is a good source for energy reporting due to the audience it is written for, and the region it is based in. The claim was that in two decades of trying, that the energy output has yet to be positive for shale or sand sources of oil, and that barring a technical break through, that they should not be considered to be oil reserves for now.

Another interesting point (to me) was that when OPEC was formed, the oil producing states estimated their reserves. Because the level of their daily production quota under OPEC guidelines was fixed by that estimate, it is assumed that all OPEC states over estimated their reserves. It may be that Saudi, Iraqi and Iranian oil production has peaked, and that their reserves are less than stated. The claim was made that the best estimates of actual reserves are closely guarded state secrets.

People like T. Boone Pickens, who are very astute in the field of energy, are recommending that as an interim solution to our energy problems, that we convert to natural gas as quickly as possible, by targeting specific sectors first which could be easily converted. The precipitous drop in gas prices caused Boone to lose about $190 M in his wind energy projects which became non competitive. Boone would say, that gas is only a short term economic solution, which does not provide the long term answer which must also address the environmental problems.
 
Don’t you recognize the David and Goliath relationship between the “denialist” side and your side? Practically every news outlet and government agency is a proponent of AGW; there are at best a handful of outlets for those who oppose it. If the anti-AGWers are succeeding it surely is not because of the size of of their propaganda machine. One explanation for their success is that truth is a powerful thing and while you may question whether the doubters have it it has been repeatedly demonstrated that the AGW side doesn’t.
The inequity in coverage that you point out is not necessarily the result of unfairness by the media. If the media were to give equal time to both sides in every debate, regardless of the objective merits of their case, then you would get some very undesirable results, like giving equal time and coverage to holocaust deniers, geocentrists, and segregationists. The fact that these groups and positions do not get equal coverage comparable to the majority view on the holocaust, Newtonian physics, etc, most likely reflects the responsible journalistic practice of weighting objective merits over blind parity. If someone holds a minority view, whether it be on climate science or on anything else, it is reasonable to expect that more will be required of them to prove their point. There are examples in the past of minority views eventually becoming accepted (such as the theory that disease is spread by unseen germs). And those that first held these views had to face formidable obstacles before they were taken seriously. Only in retrospect do we see that they were right. But you don’t hear much about those who had minority ideas that were wrong. So you can form a mistaken impression that minority views tend to prove true in the end and therefore all such ideas should be given an equal chance.

So if global warming deniers are right, then they will eventually be recognized. But until they come up with overwhelming evidence for their view then it is reasonable to expect they will not get much coverage. And that is a good thing for journalism. So I reject your David and Goliath analogy.
 
So if global warming deniers are right, then they will eventually be recognized. But until they come up with overwhelming evidence for their view then it is reasonable to expect they will not get much coverage. And that is a good thing for journalism. So I reject your David and Goliath analogy.
You focused on the wrong point. I made no argument that the deniers position deserved more press coverage, only that it received a good deal less than the pushers position. lynnvinc was complaining that the pushers arguments were being overwhelmed by those of the deniers when, as you yourself recognize, it is the pushers position that receives the bulk of the coverage. There may be very valid reasons for the disparity in coverage; I merely pointed out that it exists and is one sided in favor of the AGW side. Since you know this yourself I’m not sure why you would reject the analogy.

Ender
 
You focused on the wrong point. I made no argument that the deniers position deserved more press coverage, only that it received a good deal less than the pushers position. lynnvinc was complaining that the pushers arguments were being overwhelmed by those of the deniers when, as you yourself recognize, it is the pushers position that receives the bulk of the coverage. There may be very valid reasons for the disparity in coverage; I merely pointed out that it exists and is one sided in favor of the AGW side. Since you know this yourself I’m not sure why you would reject the analogy.
The analogy carries a value judgment in addition to a size comparison. David was the good guy. Goliath was the bad guy.

And while lynnvinc may have been wrong about coverage equity in the world at large, there are certain circles in which inordinate coverage is given to AGW deniers - CAF for example.
 
I see many people pushing global warming who are also pushing population control, overpopulation myth, carbon taxes, abortion etc. I am skeptical about global warming and if global warming is true I do not think it necessarily was created or added to by human beings and I do not think there is sufficient evidence for man made global warming.
 
I see many people pushing global warming who are also pushing population control, overpopulation myth, carbon taxes, abortion etc. I am skeptical about global warming and if global warming is true I do not think it necessarily was created or added to by human beings and I do not think there is sufficient evidence for man made global warming.
I completely agree with you. The whole AGW/CC thing is just too political and lacking in science. It demonstrates the power of propaganda in a democracy.
 
I see many people pushing global warming who are also pushing population control, overpopulation myth, carbon taxes, abortion etc.
All the more reason for Catholics to get on board and propose ethical solutions.

Of course, it is not the number of people so much as the amount of GHGs (and other pollutants) they are emitting. Those favoring extreme pop control measures probably just want more goodies for themselves and their children, without having to actually reduce their own GHGs. My thinking is they are not really environmentalists (which I would define at a minimum as people who themselves are reducing their environmental harm).

Having said that, we can also look at Catholic ways of addressing “population,” such as more Catholics becoming celibate priests, nuns, monks, and hermits. And there is the rhythm method & “absinence makes the heart grow fonder.” I remember reading somewhere about how in the past married Catholics would practice abstinence for the whole of lent (then if a little one were to appear 9 months later after a month during lent, people would know they couldn’t quite keep up the penance :).

The important point is that the children are NOT responsible for the environmental problems. We adults are. And each child conceived should be joyfully welcomed into this world. It is not only very evil, but is completely illogical to kill (unborn) children in order to save the world for the children. We will just have to find other ways to accomplish a sustainable environment for all.

Also, when people say they are against medical abortions, but don’t believe AGW is real, I have a very difficult time believing they are sincere about the abortion issue, that they must have some other ulterior motives and don’t really care about life issues. No one would risk life on earth, even if scientists were only 30% confidence AGW is real and dangerous – and first studies on AGW reached 95% confidence in 1995, and the science has just gone on to become more and more robust with proof from many different sources.

How many climate scientists can the denialist harass and threaten with death threats – there are 1000s of scientists and their studies they’d have to attack.

Better to be on the side of prudence (a good old Christian virture) and mitigate AGW, than waste so much time and energy attacking scientists and their studies with fallacious and slanderous claims and character assassination (unless one is connected to the fossil fuel industry, I suppose, and getting big bucks for doing so, and doesn’t believe in God or heaven & hell).
 
I read it some time ago in a feature on the world’s oil reserves which appeared in Al Jazeera. It is a good source for energy reporting due to the audience it is written for, and the region it is based in. The claim was that in two decades of trying, that the energy output has yet to be positive for shale or sand sources of oil, and that barring a technical break through, that they should not be considered to be oil reserves for now.

Another interesting point (to me) was that when OPEC was formed, the oil producing states estimated their reserves. Because the level of their daily production quota under OPEC guidelines was fixed by that estimate, it is assumed that all OPEC states over estimated their reserves. It may be that Saudi, Iraqi and Iranian oil production has peaked, and that their reserves are less than stated. The claim was made that the best estimates of actual reserves are closely guarded state secrets.

People like T. Boone Pickens, who are very astute in the field of energy, are recommending that as an interim solution to our energy problems, that we convert to natural gas as quickly as possible, by targeting specific sectors first which could be easily converted. The precipitous drop in gas prices caused Boone to lose about $190 M in his wind energy projects which became non competitive. Boone would say, that gas is only a short term economic solution, which does not provide the long term answer which must also address the environmental problems.
It’s not just Pickens who knows we’ve passed peak oil (of course, the fact that we’re going after very deep oil (as in the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexco), tar sands, oil shale, and fracking our drinking water supplies into oblivion are good indications that we’ve done so), but the major CEOs and players in the oil business.

See A CRUDE AWAKENING re this & get the words directly from the people who are really in the know: youtube.com/watch?v=5sMF1n9EgzU

Well, I guess I’d better go plug in my Chevy Volt to our 100% wind-generated electricity (which only costs us $1.23 for a 42 mile drive).
 
Fear. It sells newspapers and magazines and puts eyeballs on TVs and the internet. This is mostly fake news. The earth goes through natural warming and cooling periods. Ask any climatologist and he’ll tell you that earth weather patterns are still poorly understood. Industry is the primary culprit, but the average person can do very little to stop what is occurring. Only the owners of coal-fired plants, massive livestock operations, and logging companies can make a very large, very quick difference.

And scientists are finding answers, including using carbon dioxide without releasing more CO2 into the atmosphere.

sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/05/120521115656.htm

And this:

sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/05/080519092205.htm

And companies are appearing to deal with methane and supplying power:

carbonsciences.com/view_news.php?id=111

And other good ideas are being used:

sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/12/111213114711.htm

And like I said, only really large users of trees are capable of implementing large-scale changes:

weyerhaeuser.com/Sustainability/Planet

Peace,
Ed
 
…the average person can do very little to stop what is occurring. Only the owners of coal-fired plants, massive livestock operations, and logging companies can make a very large, very quick difference.
That may be true, but individuals acting through the democratic process can affect policy that can affect how these large utilities and companies operate.
 
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