I said ‘no’ to the question “Is a God probable”? I say this because there is nothing I know of for which a god(s) is the simplest explanation. There are things for which there is no explanation, but history suggests that explanations will later be found. Using a ‘god of the gaps’ to fill these as-yet-unknowns seems unnecessarily complicated compared with “we don’t know, yet”. After all, god(s) were once used to explain the weather (and people, even on CAF, still invoke them for the purpose of influencing whether it rains). But we don’t find many people who serious believe in gods of winds, rain, and tornadoes.
I do, however, think that god(s) exist as social and psychological realities, just as ideas and dreams exist. Like ideas and dreams, they are material phenomena, and can be studied, though people’s experiences of them. That’s why I am happy to be welcome here at CAF.