Thank you, observer333, for so clearly setting out your agreement with me. âQuite oldâ and âmore than 1300 yearsâ do not equate to âapprox. 2000â in any language. No doubt you have read Ray Rogersâs Thermochimica Acta paper, and how he calculated the rate of loss of vanillin in linen. He used the Arrhenius equation, which is extremely temperature dependent. Rogers, a consummate scientist, freely admits this. âThe major problem in estimating the age of the shroud is the fact that the rate law is exponential; i.e., the maximum diurnal temperature is much more important than is the lowest storage temperature.â However, he goes on only to estimate possible storage temperatures, not the âmuch more importantâ diurnal ones, and then makes the unjustified claim that a âlinen produced in A.D. 1260 would have retained about 37% of its vanillin in 1978.â Having admitted that maximum temperature is much more important than storage temperature, he then attempts to argue away the effects of the 1532 fire, on the grounds that the thermal conductivity of linen is very low. This, as Iâm sure he knew, is a weak argument. Heat travels through a folded material via convection in the interstices between the threads and the air in the folds at least as much as through the cellulose of the material itself. Furthermore, the temperature of molten silver (which, it is claimed, dripped onto the cloth) is about 900ËC, and the rest of the cloth only had to be heated to about one tenth of that for any vanillin to have decomposed in a few minutes.
I have to say that many, if not most, of those who argue for the Shroudâs authenticity rarely have âthe time or the space to lay out all of evidenceâ supporting their case. This is a pity, because, as we can see, any evidence that they do have time to lay out can usually fairly easily be seen not to be as accurate, nor as convincing, as may appear when briefly reported in sensationalist news reports. Non-authenticists, on the other hand, are happy to find both the time and the space to explain clearly and in detail what they think and why they think it.