F
fintastic79
Guest
When I ask skeptics why they don’t believe in the supernatural, they often say, “Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof.” I argue that skeptics also make an extraordinary claim without proof.
Throughout history, millions of people have claimed to have supernatural experiences (ghosts, hauntings, angels, demons, miracles, near-death experiences, profound mystical or religious experiences, etc.) Even if 95 percent of them can be easily attributed to hoaxers seeking money or attention, believers with overly active imaginations, or ignorant people misinterpreting natural phenomena, there remain thousands of investigated, documented cased where the witness meets most or all of the following criteria:
-Professes certainty about witnessing or experiencing something that has no obvious natural or scientific explanation. (“I know what I saw. That coffee mug flew eight feet across the room and hit me in the face!”) This lowers the probability of misinterpretation. (If it flew eight feet across the room instead of just falling off the shelf, it probably wasn’t a tremor or rodents or something like that.)
-Offers testimony that is corroborated by other witnesses or fits a pattern of other reported events. (“You say weird stuff is happening in your house? That is weird. The previous occupants said the same thing. That’s why they moved.”) This lowers the probability of a hoax.
-Shows how the experience completely changed their life. (“Even though we fell in love with this house and it’s close to our jobs and good schools, we’re moving anyway and taking a huge hit financially because we’re terrified.”) This indicates sincerity.
-Has no history of criminality or hoaxing and comes across as sane and honest. This means the witness passes the “smell test.”
-Is educated and employed in a respectable profession. This rules out the dullards with nothing to lose.
-Claims to have no strong religious beliefs or interest in the supernatural. This lowers the probability of wishful thinking or an overly active imagination.
-Seeks no payment for their story. This rules out the profit motive.
-Seems reluctant to go on the record, regrets doing so after suffering public ridicule, or asks to remain anonymous. This lowers the probability that the person was just seeking attention.
Published reports by researchers and journalists have identified thousands of seemingly credible people with no obvious motive for making up a story. There only two possible explanations:
When it comes to the supernatural, it’s not a question of accepting or rejecting an extraordinary claim. It’s a question of choosing which extraordinary claim to believe. By rejecting the extraordinary claim of the supernatural, skeptics implicitly accept the extraordinary claim that all seemingly credible witnesses are lying or mistaken. Either way, the truth is extraordinary. Therefore, “extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof” is not a convincing rationale for rejecting belief in the supernatural. You’re simply substituting one extraordinary claim for another.
I suppose you could argue, “One claim is more extraordinary than the other claim.” However, that’s a subjective judgment that depends on your worldview. If you’re a committed materialist, just about any natural explanation—no matter how unlikely or preposterous it might seem given the facts and circumstances of the case—will seem less extraordinary *to you *than a supernatural explanation. On the other hand, if you’re open-minded about the possibility of supernatural events, it’s easier to accept a supernatural explanation for some cases than to believe that all these people are lying or mistaken.
Throughout history, millions of people have claimed to have supernatural experiences (ghosts, hauntings, angels, demons, miracles, near-death experiences, profound mystical or religious experiences, etc.) Even if 95 percent of them can be easily attributed to hoaxers seeking money or attention, believers with overly active imaginations, or ignorant people misinterpreting natural phenomena, there remain thousands of investigated, documented cased where the witness meets most or all of the following criteria:
-Professes certainty about witnessing or experiencing something that has no obvious natural or scientific explanation. (“I know what I saw. That coffee mug flew eight feet across the room and hit me in the face!”) This lowers the probability of misinterpretation. (If it flew eight feet across the room instead of just falling off the shelf, it probably wasn’t a tremor or rodents or something like that.)
-Offers testimony that is corroborated by other witnesses or fits a pattern of other reported events. (“You say weird stuff is happening in your house? That is weird. The previous occupants said the same thing. That’s why they moved.”) This lowers the probability of a hoax.
-Shows how the experience completely changed their life. (“Even though we fell in love with this house and it’s close to our jobs and good schools, we’re moving anyway and taking a huge hit financially because we’re terrified.”) This indicates sincerity.
-Has no history of criminality or hoaxing and comes across as sane and honest. This means the witness passes the “smell test.”
-Is educated and employed in a respectable profession. This rules out the dullards with nothing to lose.
-Claims to have no strong religious beliefs or interest in the supernatural. This lowers the probability of wishful thinking or an overly active imagination.
-Seeks no payment for their story. This rules out the profit motive.
-Seems reluctant to go on the record, regrets doing so after suffering public ridicule, or asks to remain anonymous. This lowers the probability that the person was just seeking attention.
Published reports by researchers and journalists have identified thousands of seemingly credible people with no obvious motive for making up a story. There only two possible explanations:
- The supernatural is real.
- All these people are either lying or mistaken.
When it comes to the supernatural, it’s not a question of accepting or rejecting an extraordinary claim. It’s a question of choosing which extraordinary claim to believe. By rejecting the extraordinary claim of the supernatural, skeptics implicitly accept the extraordinary claim that all seemingly credible witnesses are lying or mistaken. Either way, the truth is extraordinary. Therefore, “extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof” is not a convincing rationale for rejecting belief in the supernatural. You’re simply substituting one extraordinary claim for another.
I suppose you could argue, “One claim is more extraordinary than the other claim.” However, that’s a subjective judgment that depends on your worldview. If you’re a committed materialist, just about any natural explanation—no matter how unlikely or preposterous it might seem given the facts and circumstances of the case—will seem less extraordinary *to you *than a supernatural explanation. On the other hand, if you’re open-minded about the possibility of supernatural events, it’s easier to accept a supernatural explanation for some cases than to believe that all these people are lying or mistaken.