Trump’s Growing Support Among Latinos Threatens Biden’s Path to Victory
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Photo: Bob Price/Breitbart Texas
HARIS ALIC
8 Sep 2020
President Donald Trump’s flourishing support among Latino voters is making Joe Biden’s path to victory this November all the more difficult.
A slew of new polls from both the national level and prime swing states indicates that the incumbent is not only outperforming his 2016 numbers among Latinos, but appears to poised to receive the highest share of the demographic since 2004. The trend, which has been noticeable for several weeks, was exhibited over the past week in two different polls. . . .
. . . If accurate, the results do not bode well for Biden and Democrats. In 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton received 66 percent support among Latinos voters, compared to Trump’s 28 percent,
according to exit polls from the race. Although the figure seems high, it was lower than the 71 percent that former President Barack Obama received among the demographic in 2017. The drop-off in support, coupled with Trump’s populist appeals to blue-collar voters, was significant enough to deny Clinton victory in the electoral college. . . .
. . . Now some high-profile Democrats appear concerned that history is set to repeat itself. Former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro raised the specter last month, telling
Axios on HBO that while he was hopeful Democrats would retake the White House this November, there was a real possibility the party could lose ground among Latinos.
“I think that we could win the battle and lose the war,” Castro said
. “We could win in November, but you could see a potential slide of Latino support for Democrats.”
Biden’s problems with Latino voters have been evident, not only at the national level, but also in swing states that Democrats need to win if they have any hope of victory.
For instance, an NBC/Marist College poll released on Tuesday has the former vice president trailing the incumbent handily among Latinos in Florida. The poll, conducted between August 31 and September 6, found that Trump led among the demographic with 50 percent support to Biden’s 46 percent. Even though the margin is small, the results are surprising, given that Clinton
received 62 percent of Florida’s Latino vote to Trump’s 35 percent in 2016.
Even though the NBC/Marist poll shows Biden and Trump tied statewide at 48 percent each among likely voters, it would be difficult for Biden to win the state with such widespread defections among his core base. . . .
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