Overwhelming evidence for Design?

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Materialism/naturalism is the classic example of looking for clues to bolster one’s preconceived ideas.
And ID is…?
It is the unverifiable and umsubstantiated assumption that **everything without exception **has a natural cause.
So can you tell me at what point do we concede a supernatural cause and then stop looking for a natural one? When can we sit back and relax confident in the fact that God did it?
 
Sorry, Tony. Afraid I’ve been contributing to that digression in this thread. :o
Please don’t apologise. It’s all grist to the mill! It gives the non-Designers an opportunity to reveal how incoherent they are with their failure to recognise what they are attacking. They are implicitly undermining their own power of reasoning by rejecting the primacy of purposeful activity… Logic can’t be extracted from atoms except by the imagination. 😉
 
Materialism/naturalism is the classic example of looking for clues to bolster one’s preconceived ideas.
Irrelevant. The topic is Design.
It is the unverifiable and unsubstantiated assumption that **everything without exception **
*has a natural cause.

So can you tell me at what point do we concede a supernatural cause and then stop looking for a natural one? When can we sit back and relax confident in the fact that God did it?

When you can explain how you determine the limits of “natural” it will be possible to answer your question. Does it stop at things you can observe with your eyes, ears, nose, tongue and skin?
 
I believe in Intelligent design.

I believe in evolution.

I believe in God.

Why should these 2 points of view contradict one another?
Welcome to the forum, Dami! 🙂

Belief in Design and belief in evolution are only incompatible in the minds of materialists who think they are restricting reality to what they can see, hear, smell, taste and touch.
 
  1. Design implies that neither reason nor the universe is an accident.
  2. An accidental universe is not a credible basis for order, value, purpose, meaning or a rational existence.
  3. We would expect an accidental universe to be chaotic, valueless, purposeless, meaningless, unpredictable, unintelligible and - above all - irrational…
  1. Makes sense.
  2. Why?
  3. Some of those modifiers are acceptable to atheists, and they would agree with them. They would admit that in general the universe is chaotic, valueless, purposeless, and meaningless.
But why does it have to be unpredictable, unintelligible and irrational? This isn’t an argument for a designer, only a statement that the universe should be unpredictable and irrational. But the fact is that it isn’t.

Second, why would I ague about the existence of God from an objective perspective when it is my subjectivity that leads me to believe that God exists? Arguing about the existence of God from an objective perspective is meaningless. An atheist can always deny your argument, and his argument will be just as rational as yours. It is a matter of perspective. If I keep my self seperate from the question, it is easy to say the universe simply exists. It is easy to say life in general, or intelligence is the product of evolution and consequently it is simply a part of the universe.

But it is hard to say I am a product of evolution. I know that I exist, and I know that others exist. Why is it that I exist, with this body? It is really a question of consciousness. I exist, and many others exist. I don’t feel what they feel, and they don’t feel what I feel. There has to be some way to explain the many individual existences.
 
Irrelevant. The topic is Design.

Intelligent Design is irrelevant? Then what sort of design are we talking about? Dembe and his mates wanted to tuck God into the corner so that they could slide Creationism into the classroom without anyone seeing Him. They put a false nose and a bad wig on it and called it ID (“God? Who mentioned God? We didn’t. Creation was carried out by what we might call an ‘intelligent designer’. Now if you or anyone else wants to suggest that it’s the Christian God, then that’s nothing at all to do with us!”).

Now you want to take ‘Intelligent’ out of it? It’s not Creationism, it’s Intelligent Design. No it’s not Intelligent Design, it’s just Design. Where are you going with this?
tonyrey;9855693:
When you can explain how
you determine the limits of “natural” it will be possible to answer your question. Does it stop at things you can observe with your eyes, ears, nose, tongue and skin?

The limits of ‘natural’? Well, that would include everything that wasn’t supernatural. You can’t ‘prove’ the supernatural by natural means. And that includes God. And hands up everyone who thinks that IDers mean God when they talk of an Intelligent Designer. Everyone? OK, hands down.
 
My use of trillion was not meant to be a real analog either. The amount of instances and the amount of locations on which this miniscule chance happening might “randomly” occur is astronomically larger than that. This is, again, Dembski’s problem - his beginning point (premise) is based on one point in space at one point in time, not every point in space in which there is useful matter at every point in time.
I looked at Dembski’s universal probability bound as reported in Signature in the Cell and it is very close to the following one worked out by David Abel in Theoretical Biology and Medical Modeling

My apologies for not using superscript in denoting scientific notation of the numbers.

*1) The number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang (1017) assumes a cosmic age of around 14 billions years. 60 sec/min × 60 min/hr × 24 hrs/day × 365 days per year × 14 billion years = 4.4 × 1017 seconds since the Big Bang.
  1. The number of possible quantum events/transitions per second is derived from the amount of time it takes for light to traverse the minimum unit of distance. The minimum unit of distance (a quantum of space) is Planck length (10-33 centimeters). The minimum amount of time required for light to traverse the Plank length is Plank time (10-43 seconds). Thus a maximum of 1043 quantum transitions can take place per second. Since 1017 seconds have elapsed since the Big Bang, the number of possible quantum transitions since the Big Bang would be 1043 × 1017 = 1060.
  2. Sir Arthur Eddington’s estimate of the number of protons, neutrons and electrons in the observable cosmos (1080) has been widely respected throughout the scientific literature for decades now.
Some estimates of the total number of elementary particles have been slightly higher. The Universe is 95 billion light years (30 gigaparsecs) across. We can convert this to cubic centimeters using the equation for the volume of a sphere (5 × 1086 cc). If we multiply this times 500 particles (100 neutrinos and 400 photons) per cc, we would get 2.5 × 1089 elementary particles in the visible universe.

A Universal Probability Bound could therefore be calculated by the product of these three factors: 1017 × 1043 × 1080 = 10140

If the highest estimate of the number of elementary particles in the Universe is used (e.g., 1089), the UPB would be 10149.*

Dembski uses a slightly lower time factor (13.7 billion years) but essentially the same numbers with the more conservative number of particles and arrives at 10139.4 as his UPB.

This is not, as you hold, constrained to one point in space because the calculation is based upon every elementary particle in all of space (delineated in Plank length) during each Plank moment of time. Since each particle is multiplied by the other quantities it assumes multiple interactions at each Plank moment and at every Plank point in space.

Your objection is clearly misguided.

An important point made by Meyer and Dembski is that the UPB shows that the probability of a single minimally functionally sequenced protein comprised of 150 ordered amino acids is (as calculated by Douglas Axe) 10 164, which means the probability of a single functional protein is orders of magnitude higher (1024) than the UPB allows, i.e., one chance in a trillion trillion. Keeping in mind that a single cell capable of replication would require perhaps several hundred functional proteins, the chance of these arising at the same time in the same space to allow cell origin would be unthinkable. This would seem to be a strong case for ID. No?
 
I said, “Meyer does not assume a designer.” Let me rephrase my point. Meyer** [in his argument ] **does not assume a designer.
That is patently absurd. Every single argument he makes is purely and simply to prove that there is evidence for a designer. What argument does he make that doesn’t do that? That is his life’s work – to prove that God did it. You’re probably more correct than you suggest. He doesn’t assume a designer. He is absolutely 100% rock-solid positive that a designer exists. And that designer is God.
As to what Meyer’s motives are with regards to promoting ID is irrelevant to the truth of his argument.
Apart from all of his arguments being pulled apart in as much detail as you’d care to go into (and let’s not start posting links back and forth to show this – I’m sure you’re aware of all the details yourself), let me propose this: Someone is collecting evidence to show that a giant snake coughed up a cosmic egg and that was how the universe began.

Would you look at his evidence uncritically? Would you suggest that he might be biased in the way he prepares his argument? Would you suggest that the fact that he had already decided that that was how things began would give him a tendency to see things in the evidence that weren’t really there? Do you think he might have a tendency to deny evidence that would discount his argument?

And then how would someone who also believed that a snake was responsible look at the arguments. Uncritically? With an open mind? Prepared to refute the evidence on its merits? Or would that person have a tendency to accept something that appears to prove what he already believes in any case.
So what if science is consonant with a religion or creator?
Science can’t prove God. It only deals with the natural. By definition, God is super natural.
What is your point? That ID is false merely because it points to a creator or designer? That would seem a bias on your part, would it not?
ID is false because it has been proven to be false. It tries to show, using the scientific method, that things have been designed. It has been shown, using the scientific method, that it is wrong. It’s not wrong because I want it to be wrong or because people don’t want it to be right. It’s wrong. Period.

And in any case, there’s an unbridgeable gap between proving design and invoking a supernatural designer. You can’t leap from the natural realm into the supernatural one and take all the science with you. Natural science is for the natural world. Faith is for the supernatural one.

We need to keep religion out of the laboratory and science out of the church.
 
That is patently absurd. Every single argument …
Science can’t prove God. It only deals with the natural. By definition…
ID is false because …
And in any case, …
We need to keep religion out of the laboratory and science out of the church.
So you fall into the “… ID is false because it transgresses the tenets of atheism …” camp.

Why not just define natural as whatever finds a home in your brain and be done with it?
 
That is patently absurd. Every single argument he makes is purely and simply to prove that there is evidence for a designer. What argument does he make that doesn’t do that? That is his life’s work – to prove that God did it. You’re probably more correct than you suggest. He doesn’t assume a designer. He is absolutely 100% rock-solid positive that a designer exists. And that designer is God.
And every single argument you make is purely and simply to prove there is no evidence for a designer. So if Meyer is not credible for that reason, neither are you.

The point I am making, and clearly you have missed it, is that Meyer’s motives are irrelevant. What needs to be assessed is his argument, not his motives. Since you keep evoking the genetic fallacy, clearly you seem incapable of constructing an unbiased, philosophical critique.
 
That is precisely the problem. The term is so vague and misused that it could mean anything to anyone, so in a sense you are correct. Using a vaguely applicable meaning, evolution could very well be indisputable, but that does not mean every claim about it is as soundly settled as you state. This lack of precision seems to be the screen behind which you are lobbing your critique in the direction of ID.
Among Creationists and ID advocates, I would certainly agree with you. They cannot keep the definition straight. However, among biologists, this is not even remotely true. The definition is rather consistent. Their papers and books and textbooks have no problem remaining generally consistent with the definition of the word. You don’t get to call it vague just because the ID advocates can’t keep it straight.
Abiogenesis is precisely the locus that ID proponents like Stephen Meyer and others have focused as an open question. You cannot then lodge a blanket critique at ID by claiming that it is contrary to evolution, but at the same time hide behind a statement that evolution does not cover abiogenesis. Many ID proponents freely admit that some aspects of evolution are beyond contention, but that in no way implies that every aspect is beyond dispute as you maintain, albeit via vague contentions that the theory is simply beyond dispute. It is time to deal with specifics or the vague claims you make and support by claiming “owning proof” will rapidly lose credibility.
ID is, specifically, the believe that animals were created as is - fish with fins, birds with wings, etc., by an “intelligent designer”. This is the official definition of the term from THEIR texts. Such a meaning specifically denies that evolution takes place by stating clearly that land dwelling animals never developed wings, or that sea dwelling animals never developed lungs, etc.

Hence, it specifically denies evolution. And since, again, evolution does not cover the subject of abiogenesis, the origins of life are thus irrelevant to the issue. How is this hard to grasp?

That is one way to place it beyond the reach of any critique.Did I place it beyond the reach of critique? No. I pointed out that it was a different subject entirely. Forum rules dictate that we stay on task. Diverting to the subject of abiogenesis does the opposite.
It is just true, therefore, it (however undefinable IT is) ought not be challenged.
Did I ever say this? No. You are putting words in my mouth. I never said it is “just true”. I said it is not part of the subject at at hand. Challenge it all you want, but do it in a different thread.
I also cannot properly criticize an idea so vague and shifting that there is nothing to criticize, like your refusal to explain how you reconcile belief in God with your understanding of how he might have carried out the act of creation, if not with some implementation of intelligent design.
Abiogenesis is hardly “vague and shifting”. It, too, has thousands of papers on the subject. It is only vague and shifting because you haven’t sought to grasp it.
Sounds like blind faith in some nebulous concept that you refuse to spell out because, I venture to guess, you are as unclear as everyone else (despite contentions otherwise) as to where and how it applies.
Guessing is exactly your problem. You guess I am unclear. You guess that abiogenesis is vague. You guess quite a bit. How about, instead of guessing, you study the subject so you can actually produce an answer? Just a suggestion.
All evidence is subject to acceptance or denial by individuals with perspectives colored by their own understanding and biases about the issues in question.
Not really. A bullet hole in a person means they were shot, regardless of whether you are the attorney for the prosecution or for the defense. An absence of clouds in the sky means there is no rain, regardless of whether you are a farmer or a sunbather. Observed evolution means evolution happens, whether you are a biologist or a creationist.
To think you are completely free of such bias because the evidence speaks for itself may be true.
No one is ever entirely free of bias, but a professional certainly knows how to set it aside and let the evidence lead them where they should go, something I have never seen the ID advocates even try to do, but what I do see biologists do every day.
Your failure to reveal your viewpoints makes me question your ability to recognize your own viewpoint limitations.
As I already explained, my viewpoints on the subjects (which were themselves off topic) are irrelevant. I will not let you divert the conversation down the path of what you think is wrong with my personal viewpoints because that is not the subject at hand.
 
We need to keep religion out of the laboratory and science out of the church.
Sure, but let’s also keep atheism out of the laboratory and science out of atheism.

It is obviously your atheism that gets you so hung up on Meyer’s work.
 
I believe in Intelligent design.

I believe in evolution.

I believe in God.

Why should these 2 points of view contradict one another?
Because the very definition of Intelligent Design says that evolution did not occur. Can you believe that God guided evolution? Sure. Can you believe that God specifically created us? Sure. But ID and evolution directly contradict each other. You can no sooner accept both than you can be both an atheist and a deist.
 
And every single argument you make is purely and simply to prove there is no evidence for a designer. So if Meyer is not credible for that reason, neither are you.
Have I used an argument to try to prove there is no evidence? I think that you might have possibly misinterpreted something I said. Maybe if you quoted it we could clear that up.
The point I am making, and clearly you have missed it, is that Meyer’s motives are irrelevant. What needs to be assessed is his argument, not his motives.
As I suggested, his motives are not irrelevant. But you’re correct in saying that that shouldn’t detract from the fact that his arguments do indeed have to be assessed. They have been and they have been rejected.
Since you keep evoking the genetic fallacy, clearly you seem incapable of constructing an unbiased, philosophical critique.
I’m not going to philosophically critique Meyer because Meyer is not conducting a philosophical debate. This is not theology. He is making scientific arguments that there is evidence for God’s design in nature. Those arguments have been critically examined in an unbiased manner and rejected.

And if you want to state that Meyer’s motives are irrelevant and his arguments should stand or fall on their own scientific merits, then you also have accept that any motives that you may perceive in regard to those rejecting his arguments are also irrelevant and the rejection of his arguments should also stand or fall on their own scientific merits.

You can’t have it both ways.
 
I looked at Dembski’s universal probability bound as reported in Signature in the Cell and it is very close to the following one worked out by David Abel in Theoretical Biology and Medical Modeling

My apologies for not using superscript in denoting scientific notation of the numbers.

1) The number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang (1017) assumes a cosmic age of around 14 billions years. 60 sec/min × 60 min/hr × 24 hrs/day × 365 days per year × 14 billion years = 4.4 × 1017 seconds since the Big Bang.
  1. The number of possible quantum events/transitions per second is derived from the amount of time it takes for light to traverse the minimum unit of distance. The minimum unit of distance (a quantum of space) is Planck length (10-33 centimeters). The minimum amount of time required for light to traverse the Plank length is Plank time (10-43 seconds). Thus a maximum of 1043 quantum transitions can take place per second. Since 1017 seconds have elapsed since the Big Bang, the number of possible quantum transitions since the Big Bang would be 1043 × 1017 = 1060.
  2. Sir Arthur Eddington’s estimate of the number of protons, neutrons and electrons in the observable cosmos (1080) has been widely respected throughout the scientific literature for decades now.
Some estimates of the total number of elementary particles have been slightly higher. The Universe is 95 billion light years (30 gigaparsecs) across. We can convert this to cubic centimeters using the equation for the volume of a sphere (5 × 1086 cc). If we multiply this times 500 particles (100 neutrinos and 400 photons) per cc, we would get 2.5 × 1089 elementary particles in the visible universe.

A Universal Probability Bound could therefore be calculated by the product of these three factors: 1017 × 1043 × 1080 = 10140

If the highest estimate of the number of elementary particles in the Universe is used (e.g., 1089), the UPB would be 10149.

Dembski uses a slightly lower time factor (13.7 billion years) but essentially the same numbers with the more conservative number of particles and arrives at 10139.4 as his UPB.

This is not, as you hold, constrained to one point in space because the calculation is based upon every elementary particle in all of space (delineated in Plank length) during each Plank moment of time. Since each particle is multiplied by the other quantities it assumes multiple interactions at each Plank moment and at every Plank point in space.

Your objection is clearly misguided.

An important point made by Meyer and Dembski is that the UPB shows that the probability of a single minimally functionally sequenced protein comprised of 150 ordered amino acids is (as calculated by Douglas Axe) 10 164, which means the probability of a single functional protein is orders of magnitude higher (1024) than the UPB allows, i.e., one chance in a trillion trillion. Keeping in mind that a single cell capable of replication would require perhaps several hundred functional proteins, the chance of these arising at the same time in the same space to allow cell origin would be unthinkable. This would seem to be a strong case for ID. No?
This all assumes that everything that happens is entirely, completely and utterly, random in every way. This is a false assumption.

I also see that the math fails to account for gravity, intermolecular forces, molecular orientations, and a gammut of other factors clearly important, yet mysteriously left out. This is part of what I was talking about when I pointed out that even if he can do the math, if he doesn’t use proper data, he’s never going to get the right answer.

In addition, I notice that your own paper that you cite openly admits that the UPB provided is higher than any other estimation by “several orders of magnitude”. One must wonder why the difference.

I also cannot find any record of David’s credentials, making me wonder how much of an expert he really is.

And no, this is not a strong case for the claim that evolution did not happen, which is what ID dictates. One might call it a strong case for the existence of God, but that was never in question here.
 
ID is, specifically, the believe that animals were created as is - fish with fins, birds with wings, etc., by an “intelligent designer”. This is the official definition of the term from THEIR texts. Such a meaning specifically denies that evolution takes place by stating clearly that land dwelling animals never developed wings, or that sea dwelling animals never developed lungs, etc.

Hence, it specifically denies evolution. And since, again, evolution does not cover the subject of abiogenesis, the origins of life are thus irrelevant to the issue. How is this hard to grasp?
Ah! Clarity at last! ID is not specifically the claim that animals were created “as is.” That is only one aspect at issue. Homology is not inconsistent with ID. Some ID proponents insist that the evidence does not support the idea of common descent, but that is not a necessary implication of ID. It is possible that the genetic code found in primordial cells could have originated all life forms, by design, via common descent. On the other hand, purely materialistic evolution has a long way to go to definitively establish common descent, which is not even a necessary corollary of Darwinian evolution. If, for example, life originated in some form somewhere, it could have, likewise, started in several forms in different places which could have lead to multiple trees of life. Therefore, common descent is not a necessary tenet even of strictly materialistic evolution.

Abiogenesis is not irrelevant to the issue, it is one of the crucial points of the issue. Surely, understanding how life began, its very nature, is critical to getting a clear picture of how cellular evolution can continue and how external factors could affect development and change.

ID, at the most basic level, is not simply about how distinct animal morphology could arise, but with the entire process of change in the universe, including, for example whether the origin and fine tuning of the universe bears earmarks of being intelligently designed.

This thread is not about creationism in the narrow sense you assume, but ID in the widest possible definition. Does the universe or parts thereof bear evidence of being designed?
Evolution cannot, on its own, be used to discredit ID because ID has wider implications. Your attempt to reduce ID to (the strawman of) "…specifically, the believe [sic] that animals were created as is…” Is a misunderstanding of the whole point of this thread. It also explains the contentiousness in some of your posts.
 
I’m not going to philosophically critique Meyer because Meyer is not conducting a philosophical debate. This is not theology. He is making scientific arguments that there is evidence for God’s design in nature. Those arguments have been critically examined in an unbiased manner and rejected.
Science is grounded in philosophy and logic. If you don’t get that, you don’t understand the scope and limits of science. Theology has nothing to do with the arguments in question.

Meyer’s field is philosophy of science. He has a background in science and in philosophy. Unfortunately, most scientists do not understand how important logic is to laying out and confirming scientific claims. Meyer is better able than most scientists to do so. Most critiques do not get the logical cogency of his argument in Signature in the Cell and therefore dismiss it unfairly. I have read many of his detractors and am not convinced they address his points. With all due respect, I don’t think you have even read his book, which is the reason you keep harping on irrelevancies.
And if you want to state that Meyer’s motives are irrelevant and his arguments should stand or fall on their own scientific merits, then you also have accept that any motives that you may perceive in regard to those rejecting his arguments are also irrelevant and the rejection of his arguments should also stand or fall on their own scientific merits.
You can’t have it both ways.
Read post #945 and critique it scientifically, rather than just making vague references to scientific merits.
 
ID, at the most basic level, is not simply about how distinct animal morphology could arise, but with the entire process of change in the universe, including, for example whether the origin and fine tuning of the universe bears earmarks of being intelligently designed.
I think that they’re moving the goalposts. The Discovery Institute claimed in the Dover case in 2004 and their book ‘Pandas Thumb’:

“Intelligent design means that various forms of life began abruptly through an intelligent agency with their distinctive features already intact. Fish with fins and scales, birds with feathers, beaks, and wings, etc.”

Not much dispute there. But they got their butt kicked in the Dover case in 2004 so there’s been some drastic rethinking as to how to promote Creationism. Sorry, Intelligent Design

US District Judge Jones decried the “breathtaking inanity” of the Dover policy and accused several board members of lying to conceal their true motive, which he said was to promote religion.

A six-week trial over the issue yielded “overwhelming evidence” establishing that intelligent design “is a religious view, a mere re-labeling of creationism, and not a scientific theory,” said Jones, a Republican and a churchgoer appointed to the federal bench three years ago.

The book ‘Of Pandas and Peoples’, used to promote the DI’s views was discovered to have been changed. Later versions of this book had the terms ‘creation science’ simply replaced with the term ‘Intelligent design’. No content had been changed – just the term itself.

Similarly, words such as ‘God’ were replaced by ‘Intelligent Designer’. And this happened just shortly after the Supreme Court had held that creationism could not be taught in schools – because it was a religious viewpoint.

ID is Creationism, pure and simple. Confirmed by the very people who are pushing it.
 
Ah! Clarity at last! ID is not specifically the claim that animals were created “as is.”
Yes it is. It’s their own words, their own definition, their own textbooks that say this. It’s the definition. You are simply wrong to say it is not and this is why you have so much trouble grasping these concepts. You are making up your own definitions to words. If you cannot use the right definition of a word, you are just going to frustrate yourself and anyone you’re discussing with by constantly talking past them.
 
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