Pascal's Wager-a Kreeft Perspective

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Wayward_Wind

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I’ve read several threads on this subject, and I still think Peter Kreeft does the best job a laying out Pascal’s Wager for my understanding.

Here is a excerpt from Peter Kreeft’s complete discussion of Pascal’s Wager (peterkreeft.com/topics/pascals-wager.htm):🙂

Pascal states the argument this way:

You have two things to lose: the true and the good; and two things to stake: your reason and your will, your knowledge and your happiness; and your nature has two things to avoid: error and wretchedness. Since you must necessarily choose, your reason is no more affronted by choosing one rather than the other. That is one point cleared up. But your happiness? Let us weigh up the gain and the loss involved in calling heads that God exists. Let us assess the two cases: if you win, you win everything: if you lose, you lose nothing. Do not hesitate then: wager that he does exist.

If God does not exist, it does not matter how you wager, for there is nothing to win after death and nothing to lose after death. But if God does exist, your only chance of winning eternal happiness is to believe, and your only chance of losing it is to refuse to believe. As Pascal says, “I should be much more afraid of being mistaken and then finding out that Christianity is true than of being mistaken in believing it to be true.” If you believe too much, you neither win nor lose eternal happiness. But if you believe too little, you risk losing everything.

But is it worth the price? What must be given up to wager that God exists? Whatever it is, it is only finite, and it is most reasonable to wager something finite on the chance of winning an infinite prize. Perhaps you must give up autonomy or illicit pleasures, but you will gain infinite happiness in eternity, and "I tell you that you will gain even in this life "—purpose, peace, hope, joy, the things that put smiles on the lips of martyrs.

Christianity is God’s marriage proposal to the soul.

Lest we take this argument with less seriousness than Pascal meant it, he concludes: “If my words please you and seem cogent, you must know that they come from a man who went down upon his knees before and after.”

To the high-minded objector who refuses to believe for the low motive of saving the eternal skin of his own soul, we may reply that the Wager works quite as well if we change the motive. Let us say we want to give God his due if there is a God. Now if there is a God, justice demands total faith, hope, love, obedience, and worship. If there is a God and we refuse to give him these things, we sin maximally against the truth. But the only chance of doing infinite justice is if God exists and we believe, while the only chance of doing infinite injustice is if God exists and we do not believe. If God does not exist, there is no one there to do infinite justice or infinite injustice to. So the motive of doing justice moves the Wager just as well as the motive of seeking happiness. Pascal used the more selfish motive because we all have that all the time, while only some are motivated by justice, and only some of the time.

Because the whole argument moves on the practical rather than the theoretical level, it is fitting that Pascal next imagines the listener offering the practical objection that he just cannot bring himself to believe. Pascal then answers the objection with stunningly practical psychology, with the suggestion that the prospective convert “act into” his belief if he cannot yet “act out” of it.

If you are unable to believe, it is because of your passions since reason impels you to believe and yet you cannot do so. Concentrate then not on convincing yourself by multiplying proofs of God’s existence but by diminishing your passions. You want to find faith, and you do not know the road. You want to be cured of unbelief, and you ask for the remedy: learn from those who were once bound like you and who now wager all they have. . . . They behaved just as if they did believe.

This is the same advice Dostoevsky’s guru, Father Zossima, gives to the “woman of little faith” in The Brothers Karamazov. The behavior Pascal mentions is “taking holy water, having Masses said, and so on”. The behavior Father Zossima counsels to the same end is “active and indefatigable love of your neighbor.” In both cases, living the Faith can be a way of getting the Faith. As Pascal says: “That will make you believe quite naturally and will make you more docile.” “But that is what I am afraid of.’’ ''But why? What have you to lose?”

An atheist visited the great rabbi and philosopher Martin Buber and demanded that Buber prove the existence of God to him. Buber refused, and the atheist got up to leave in anger. As he left, Buber called after him, “But can you be sure there is no God?” That atheist wrote, forty years later, “I am still an atheist. But Buber’s question has haunted me every day of my life.” The Wager has just that haunting power.
 
Somebody could argue why a loving God would create a world lacking hard evidence that there is in fact a heaven to gain or lose. If there is a heaven, then surely this is too important to waste on blind faith or hearsay. It seems a bit careless that we would have to gamble for the fate of our existence. Why expect reasonable human-beings to have blind hope in something that could just as easily be a fairy-tale full of empty threats and pie in the sky theology; just like other religions. Surely you would give evidence of this fact so that everybody would have a fair chance of obtaining heaven? It seems that if there was a loving God he would give you evidence so that you would not have to make that gamble.

God would not judge us for what we cannot know. This is the central problem with this argument; because if we cannot know that God is real, then it doesn’t seem reasonable to think that we can be judged for behaving as if he didn’t exist; since in this scenario there is no certain knowledge to suggest that God does exist. If there is no God, there is no right or wrong, and thus there is no obligation to commit to any law or moral reasoning outside of certain knowledge to contrary. Therefore it could be argued that the premise - that we will lose everything if we find out that there is in fact a God and a moral law - is flawed. Thus the terms of winning and losing is void and null.

The threat of losing something just becomes a scare tactic that could just as well be a hoodwink.

Can you get out of this argument?
 
MOM2,

The only purpose of my thread was to clarify, if only a bit, Pascal’s Wager; not to debate it’s validity.

Others are much more qualified to address the merits of Pascal’ Wager and other “proofs”.
 
Pascal’s Wager as it is originally laid out is kind of mercenary as well as a little goofy. But I do think there is a Wager, sort of a modification of Pascal’s Wager that I think many people do take up, often probably without even being consciously aware of it.

It goes like this. Many people start out kind of on the fence about their belief in God. They look around at the world and their reason tells them all this order and beauty must be the work of an Intelligence. And their sense that there is a real Right and Wrong, independant of human opinions and wishes, points to a higher source of Moral Order. And of the thousands of miracles recorded throughout history, they can’t all be fake or delusion. But these people also have many atheists, often pretty intelligent people, telling them that this entire universe IS a fluke. And all morals are subjective inventions of man. And are those miracle are legends, fakes, and delusions.

So these people that sit on the fence are kind of torn, they can’t feel an absolute certainty that that first instinct that this world is obviously not a fluke is correct. And they think of the two alternatives. They can live their lives in a belief that it all has a purpose, that their loved ones are not flukes, that they will be reunited with them again after they have died, that their whole lives have real meaning. And the other alternative is that it’s all a fluke, and all their loved ones are also subject to this meaningless fluke of existence, and laying just below this knowledge is a nihilism, their whole life in the long run is meaningless.

So between those two alternatives, each which appear to have a possibility of being true, they have to make a bet on which is true. And to bet on one is to bet on Hope, and to bet on the other is to bet on nihilism.

Btw, any time any social scientists do a study on the comparitive happiness of religious people verses nonreligous people, every time, in every study done, they find that the religious people are happier than the nonreligious people. The bet on Hope beats the bet on meaningless every time.
 
This is the central problem with this argument; because if we cannot know that God is real, then it doesn’t seem reasonable to think that we can be judged for behaving as if he didn’t exist;

Can you get out of this argument?

Can you expand on this? If we have free will and we choose to act as if he doesn’t exist than why would that grant us a pardon from judgement if he does exist?

It just doesn’t sound that unreasonable…
MindOverMatter2;7667933:
Somebody could argue why a loving God would create a world lacking hard evidence that there is in fact a heaven to gain or lose.

Can you get out of this argument?
“Hard evidence” is subjective, you can speak to numerous Catholics, Protestants, Agnostics, Muslims etc. who provide their “hard evidence.” It’s up to the individual to acknowledge and investigate what’s in front of them. Man chooses to ignore what could be “hard evidence.”

If I’m misunderstanding something please let me know! 🙂

Wayward Wind, fantastic thread! I’ve become quite a fan of Pascal’s Wager. 👍
 
Somebody could argue why a loving God would create a world lacking hard evidence that there is in fact a heaven to gain or lose. If there is a heaven, then surely this is too important to waste on blind faith or hearsay. It seems a bit careless that we would have to gamble for the fate of our existence. Why expect reasonable human-beings to have blind hope in something that could just as easily be a fairy-tale full of empty threats and pie in the sky theology; just like other religions. Surely you would give evidence of this fact so that everybody would have a fair chance of obtaining heaven? It seems that if there was a loving God he would give you evidence so that you would not have to make that gamble.

God would not judge us for what we cannot know. This is the central problem with this argument; because if we cannot know that God is real, then it doesn’t seem reasonable to think that we can be judged for behaving as if he didn’t exist; since in this scenario there is no certain knowledge to suggest that God does exist. If there is no God, there is no right or wrong, and thus there is no obligation to commit to any law or moral reasoning outside of certain knowledge to contrary. Therefore it could be argued that the premise - that we will lose everything if we find out that there is in fact a God and a moral law - is flawed. Thus the terms of winning and losing is void and null.

The threat of losing something just becomes a scare tactic that could just as well be a hoodwink.

Can you get out of this argument?
But did God create a world which lacked hard evidence of His existence. Saint Paul denies this:
18* For the wrath of God is revealed from heaven against all ungodliness and wickedness of men who by their wickedness suppress the truth. 19 For what can be known about God is plain to them, because God has shown it to them. 20* Ever since the creation of the world his invisible nature, namely, his eternal power and deity, has been clearly perceived in the things that have been made. So they are without excuse; 21* for although they knew God they did not honor him as God or give thanks to him, but they became futile in their thinking and their senseless minds were darkened. 22 Claiming to be wise, they became fools, 23* and exchanged the glory of the immortal God for images resembling mortal man or birds or animals or reptiles. 24 Therefore God gave them up in the lusts of their hearts to impurity, to the dishonoring of their bodies among themselves, 25 because they exchanged the truth about God for a lie and worshiped and served the creature rather than the Creator, who is blessed for ever! Amen. 26 For this reason God gave them up to dishonorable passions. Their women exchanged natural relations for unnatural, 27 and the men likewise gave up natural relations with women and were consumed with passion for one another, men committing shameless acts with men and receiving in their own persons the due penalty for their error. 28 And since they did not see fit to acknowledge God, God gave them up to a base mind and to improper conduct. 29 They were filled with all manner of wickedness, evil, covetousness, malice. Full of envy, murder, strife, deceit, malignity, they are gossips, 30 slanderers, haters of God, insolent, haughty, boastful, inventors of evil, disobedient to parents, 31 foolish, faithless, heartless, ruthless. 32 Though they know God’s decree that those who do such things deserve to die, they not only do them but approve those who practice them.
Romans 1:18-30
 
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