B
Betterave
Guest
Yes, in a sense (the interpretation of the term ‘evidence’ can be controversial). I posted this quote from William James’ “The Will to Believe” on another thread recently. Hopefully it will clarify the sense in which “the consequences cannot stand alone” and ‘evidence’ is required:You also said, “the consequences cannot stand alone”. Just to be clear, by this do you mean that there needs to be evidence for the postulated scenario as well as consequences?
Next, let us call the decision between two hypotheses an option. Options may be of several kinds. They may be:
1, living or dead;
2, forced or avoidable;
3, momentous or trivial;
and for our purpose we may call an option a gennine option when it of the forced, living, and momentous kind.
- A living option is one in which both hypotheses are live ones. If I say to you: “Be a theosophist or be a Mohammedan,” it is probably a dead option, because for you neither hypothesis is likely to be alive. But if I say: " Be an agnostic or be Christian," it is otherwise: trained as you are, each hypothesis makes some appeal, however small, to your belief.
- Next, if I say to you: " Choose between going out with your umbrella or without it," I do not offer you a genuine option, for it is not forced. You can easily avoid it by not going out at all. Similarly, if I say, " Either love me or hate me," " Either call my theory true or call it false," your option is avoidable. You may remain indifferent to me, neither loving nor hating, and you may decline to offer any judgment as to my theory. But if I say, " Either accept this truth or go without it," I put on you a forced option, for there is no standing place outside of the alternative. Every dilemma based on a complete logical disjunction, with no possibility of not choosing, is an option of this forced kind.
- Finally, if I were Dr. Nansen and proposed to you to join my North Pole expedition, your option would be momentous; for this would probably be your only similar opportunity, and your choice now would either exclude you from the North Pole sort of immortality altogether or put at least the chance of it into your hands. He who refuses to embrace a unique opportunity loses the prize as surely as if he tried and failed. Per contra, the option is trivial when the opportunity is not unique, when the stake is insignificant, or when the decision is reversible if it later prove unwise. Such trivial options abound in the scientific life. A chemist finds an hypothesis live enongh to spend a year in its verification: he believes in it to that extent. But if his experiments prove inconclusive either way, he is quit for his loss of time, no vital harm being done.