There is no reason why the Holy Father cannot preside at this mass. After all, he makes the rules. There are several points to be considered before anyone gets too excited about it or disappointed ahead of time.
First, the Holy See does not make it a habit of popping last minute surprises on the Universal Church. The idea that Fr. Lombardi is hiding something in order to surprise the world on Nov 3rd is out of the norm.
Second, these things are usually planned well in advance. The likelihood of Cardinal Burke and Fr. Lombardi not knowing about it while the German media knows something is also irregular.
Third, there are diplomatic reasons for the Holy Father to preside and reasons not to do so.
In favor of doing so is to send a message to the Traditionalist Movement around the world that Tradition is not the exclusive property of the Ecclesia Dei communities and institutes. Tradition belongs to the Universal Church. This would certainly help those dioceses and religious that celebrate the EF without being identified as “Traditionalist”. One of the problems that some non-Trad priests face is the constant comparison that people make between their celebration of the EF and the celebration by a priest from a Trad institute, which is an unfair comparison because the EF is the same, regardless of who celebrates it.
On the flip side, it could be a poor diplomatic move in that it may look as if he’s trying to appease the SSPX and lure them in. This certainly is a noble and worthwhile gesture; don’t get me wrong. However, there are bishops and religious superiors who have legitimate concerns about the amount of time and money that has gone into bringing in the SSPX and that society’s resistance, while other communities have been more humble and less negative in their relations with the Holy See in negotiating a reconciliation. If it were to be interpreted as another attempt by the Holy See to seduce the SSPX, it would beg the question, “Who is trying to convert whom?”
Given these realities, we will just have to wait and see how all of this develops. Don’t get too excited, but don’t lose hope either. Anything is possible between now and November 3rd. Obviously, there is some lack of communication somewhere.
Fraternally,
Br. JR, FFV