Pope's astronomer dismisses ID and says Church was "spectacularly wrong" in its treatment of Galileo

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For an archaeologist the inference of design is often done by comparing a new object with existing objects known to have been designed. This is especially evidence with very early (pre Homo sapiens) stone tools. Is this pebble a shaped tool or is it just a piece of broken rock? The study of known tools can help to recognise similar tools that might not otherwise have been noticed.
Right, and the same obviously applies in ID arguments: the study of known designs is used as a guide for recognizing other instances of design.
If I cannot manipulate DNA then you know that I have not designed a specific stretch of DNA that you think may be designed. Similarly, if I was on the other side of the galaxy at the time it was being done then I didn’t do it. Knowledge of the designer(s) is extremely useful when studying design.
Sure, but as seems to be obvious from the case of archeology, we often infer from our examination of designed objects to knowledge of the designer(s) of those objects.
The problem with the ID designer(s) is that we have no known limitations on what they can do. At present ID has no basis to say “X wasn’t designed” for any value of X. As Dembski has pointed out, a designer can mimic either Law or Chance if he/she/it wants to. Jackson Pollock’s paintings are designed yet they include an element of chance.
I’m not seeing why this is a problem…
Not knowing what the designer(s) can or cannot do makes in impossible for ID to meet the falsifiability criterion of science. This is yet another hurdle in the way of the acceptance of ID as science.
The notion that ‘falsifiability’ is objectively there or not for any given theory, that falsifiability can serve as a hard and fast demarcation criterion between science and pseudo-science, is quaint and was once popular (maybe it still is?), but is hardly a sustainable view, as it seems to me (and, more famously, as it seemed to Duhem and Quine). Is that your view?
 
Hello Dave,

As best I can follow the Thomist argument, the distinction here is between creation ex nihilo and mere physical rearrangements. While anything can accomplish the latter, including natural forces, the former is a characteristic exclusive to their god.
Sure, but if God can do one, why would he be barred from doing the other?
Oh no, not at all. It proved extemely simple to answer the objections from DBB. It required nothing more than presenting the reduced precursors of Behe’s candidates for irreducible complexity. The methodology was purely physical. An argument against the design of evolution itself is primarily metaphysical.
Okay… I don’t understand. What is your ‘primarily metaphysical’ argument for the claim that evolution is designed? What do mean by saying that it is ‘primarily metaphysical’? How does that ascription function as a methodological constraint that is fundamentally different from the methodological constraints that exist for positing potential cases of irreducible complexity?
The point here is to measure that design, not merely to detect it. A spiderweb designed by a beaver incorporates more design than a spiderweb designed by a spider.
A whimsical comment. I don’t know what you mean by it. Re. ‘measure’ vs. ‘merely detect’ - isn’t detection just a minimal form of measurement?
 
Right, and the same obviously applies in ID arguments: the study of known designs is used as a guide for recognizing other instances of design.
Here I disagree. Archaeologists study designs by known designers with known powers. I have already used the example of an aluminium cylinder block as something which cannot have been designed by palaeolithic man.

With an unknown designer of unknown powers we are unable to say with any certainty whether or not that designer did, or did not, design the aluminium cylinder block. It is the inability to say “the designer did not design this” that is one of the barriers between current ID and being science. Darwin was able to give examples of things that could not possibly have evolved. So far ID has not been able to give any examples of things that could not possibly have been designed. As currently constituted ID cannot distinguish between Paley’s watch and the heath on which it is lying since both could equally have been designed by a designer with unspecified powers.
Sure, but as seems to be obvious from the case of archeology, we often infer from our examination of designed objects to knowledge of the designer(s) of those objects.
We also have direct knowledge of the designers: their bones, their descendants etc. For the ID designers we have nothing.
I’m not seeing why this is a problem…
It makes ID unfalsifiable. How can we make an experiment to falsify ID? What X can we look for so that we can confidently state “X was not designed”?
The notion that ‘falsifiability’ is objectively there or not for any given theory, that falsifiability can serve as a hard and fast demarcation criterion between science and pseudo-science, is quaint and was once popular (maybe it still is?), but is hardly a sustainable view, I think (and as, more famously, Duhem and Quine also think). Is that your view?
It is not “hard and fast”, but it is there. Science does have fuzzy boundaries and you can probably find a part of science that drops one or other of the usual criteria. ID pretty much drops all of them. Different sects of Christianity can drop small parts of the general consensus, but if I put together a new sect that dropped everything that at least one other sect also dropped then what would be left would not be recognisable as Christianity. ID does something similar with science.

ID proposes a general hypothesis but at the moment it does not proceed any further. It needs to develop the implications of its hypothesis and make predictions. It needs to do the experiments to test those predictions. It needs to modify its hypothesis in the light of the results of those experiments. So far the only example I am aware of is Professor Behe who modified his hypothesis about Irreducible Complexity in the light of experimental results. Even in this case, IC is not a hypothesis for ID but a hypothesis against evolution. It does not deal with the default position in science of “we don’t know”.

rossum
 
. How can we make an experiment to falsify ID? What X can we look for so that we can confidently state “X was not designed”?

ID proposes a general hypothesis but at the moment it does not proceed any further. does not deal with the default position in science of “we don’t know”.
rossum
What is ID’s general hypothesis as you understand it?

Also, it appears to me that biology does not make an experiment to falsify its hypothesis of human polygenism. If it has, it really needs to be discussed in the thread link below so as not to go off topic in this forum and get into deep trouble.

forums.catholic-questions.org/showthread.php?t=478146
 
What is ID’s general hypothesis as you understand it?
The Discovery Institute equivocates about Intelligent Design. There are two versions, the general theistic version (T-ID) and the DI version (DI-ID). T-ID just says that God designed (and created) the universe. T-ID does not try to be scientific and is accepted by pretty much every theist, including theist scientists.

DI-ID is different. DI-ID says that the designer (always singular and you know who we really mean but can’t say because we need to get this stuff into schools) directly intervened in the development of living organisms and that this intervention can be detected scientifically. DI-ID is far more controversial and has very little acceptance among even theist scientists.

To quote the ISCID Encyclopedia:Intelligent Design is the study of patterns in nature that are best explained as the result of intelligence. It contends that the directed organization of living things cannot be accounted for by purely blind natural forces but also requires intelligent agency for its proper explanation.

Source: iscid.org/encyclopedia/Intelligent_Design
Also, it appears to me that biology does not make an experiment to falsify its hypothesis of human polygenism. If it has, it really needs to be discussed in the thread link below so as not to go off topic in this forum and get into deep trouble.

forums.catholic-questions.org/showthread.php?t=478146
It has, and polygenism has been supported for biological Homo sapiens. Science cannot support polygenism of ensouled Homo sapiens.

rossum
 
Falsification is not required or important for ID. Properties is the idea. What properties does this object have?

Silver has certain properties, the same with gold. These properties are specific to each.

Intelligent Design locates devices within the cell that preclude accidental formation. This indicates that a series of accidents did not form them. They have information storage and transmission capacity. It is these identifiable properties that exist. By indicating that these devices exist, it is easy to posit not an apparent but an actual designer.

Of course, those who can’t stand the G word are free to create aliens or other means, but it all stops at describing the properties. If an object resembling a 1957 Ford Thunderbird was found on Mars, I very much believe that scientists who examined it would not discount it as some natural object, even if they could find no clues about who designed it.

God bless,
Ed
 
Measuring design

Compare something that has a single purpose vs something that has 100 purposes.
 
Hi all,

It seems to me that whether or not there are things in the world which appear to be designed can have nothing whatsoever to do with the hypothesis that there exists a omnipotent designer since such a designer could have just as easily designed a universe that does not appear to be designed. Therefore, whatever we observe can never have any bearing on the question. No matter what we observe about the world, the appearance of design or the appearance of lack of design, we can always hypothesize that it was designed to be exactly that way. No evidence could ever be regarded as supporting or refuting that hypothesis, so though it can never be ruled out it is entirely worthless to science. It can never have any bearing on scientific inquiry either way.

Best,
Leela
 
It seems to me that whether or not there are things in the world which appear to be designed can have nothing whatsoever to do with the hypothesis that there exists a omnipotent designer since such a designer could have just as easily designed a universe that does not appear to be designed. Therefore, whatever we observe can never have any bearing on the question. No matter what we observe about the world, the appearance of design or the appearance of lack of design, we can always hypothesize that it was designed to be exactly that way. No evidence could ever be regarded as supporting or refuting that hypothesis, so though it can never be ruled out it is entirely worthless to science. It can never have any bearing on scientific inquiry either way.
Neo-Darwinian theory makes inferences about natural history based on the “appearance of descent through modification”. Scientists observe fossils and recognize similarities with other organisms. Genetic similarities are also tested.

From those observations, claims are made about the evolutionary history of life.

The theory proposes that chance and natural laws are the only drivers of development in nature. We’ll call that C&NL.

So, we can look again at your thoughts:

It seems to me that whether or not there are things in the world which appear to be designed can have nothing whatsoever to do with the hypothesis that [C&NL produced them] since [C&NL] could have just as easily designed a universe that does not appear to be designed. Therefore, whatever we observe can never have any bearing on the question. No matter what we observe about the world, the appearance of design or the appearance of lack of design, we can always hypothesize that [C&NL caused it] to be exactly that way. No evidence could ever be regarded as supporting or refuting that hypothesis, so though it can never be ruled out it is entirely worthless to science. It can never have any bearing on scientific inquiry either way.

With that in mind, evolutionary theory is worthless to science.

At best, it’s a means for explaining the history of life on earth.

Jerry Coyne explains:

In the end, the true value of evolutionary biology is not practical but explanatory. It answers, in the most exquisitely simple and parsimonious way, the age-old question: “How did we get here?” It gives us our family history writ large, connecting us with every other species, living or extinct, on Earth.

Evolutionary theory is part of our culture’s mythology. It’s a substitute for religion among the atheistic academia and ruling elite in most Western nations.
 
Intelligent Design locates devices within the cell that preclude accidental formation. This indicates that a series of accidents did not form them. They have information storage and transmission capacity. It is these identifiable properties that exist. By indicating that these devices exist, it is easy to posit not an apparent but an actual designer.
Right, ID is a scientific research program.

Since this same coded information is found (through science) in the earliest known cellular life, then ID can look at the origin of information and ask about how it came about in the origin of life. This obviously affects evolutionary theory since the same information is present in all living things.

Information transmission, reception and decoding are part of an irreducibly complex system.

In the cell, there is a meta-code (controlling code) and sub-codes that transmit instructions through the cell to engage cellular functions.

The only known sources of those kinds of complex, functional information systems are intelligent agents.
 
With that in mind, evolutionary theory is worthless to science.

At best, it’s a means for explaining the history of life on earth.
While it is always imposible for evidence to support or refute ID since no matter what we observe it is consistent with the claim that the world was just designed to be that way, there is lots of evidence supporting evolutionary theory:

chem.tufts.edu/answersinscience/evo_science.html

Darwin predicted that precursors to the trilobite would be found in pre-Silurian rocks. He was correct: they were subsequently found.

Similarly, Darwin predicted that Precambrian fossils would be found. He wrote in 1859 that the total absence of fossils in Precambrian rock was “inexplicable” and that the lack might “be truly urged as a valid argument” against his theory. When such fossils were found, starting in 1953, it turned out that they had been abundant all along. They were just so small that it took a microscope to see them.

There are two kinds of whales: those with teeth, and those that strain microscopic food out of seawater with baleen. It was predicted that a transitional whale must have once existed, which had both teeth and baleen. Such a fossil has since been found.

Evolution predicts that the fossil record will show different populations of creatures at different times. For example, it predicts we will never find fossils of trilobites with fossils of dinosaurs, since their geological time-lines don’t overlap. The “Cretaceous seaway” deposits in Colorado and Wyoming contain almost 90 different kinds of ammonites, but no one has ever found two different kinds of ammonite together in the same rockbed.

Evolution predicts that animals on distant islands will appear closely related to animals on the closest mainland, and that the older and more distant the island, the more distant the relationship.

Evolution predicts that features of living things will fit a hierarchical arrangement of relatedness. For example, arthropods all have chitinous exoskeleton, hemocoel, and jointed legs. Insects have all these plus head-thorax-abdomen body plan and 6 legs. Flies have all that plus two wings and halteres. Calypterate flies have all that plus a certain style of antennae, wing veins, and sutures on the face and back. You will never find the distinguishing features of calypterate flies on a non-fly, much less on a non-insect or non-arthropod.

Evolution predicts that simple, valuable features will evolve independently, and that when they do, they will most likely have differences not relevant to function. For example, the eyes of molluscs, arthropods, and vertebrates are extremely different, and ears can appear on any of at least ten different locations on different insects.

continued…
 
In 1837, a Creationist reported that during a pig’s fetal development, part of the incipient jawbone detaches and becomes the little bones of the middle ear. After Evolution was invented, it was predicted that there would be a transitional fossil, of a reptile with a spare jaw joint right near its ear. A whole series of such fossils has since been found - the cynodont therapsids.

In “The Origin Of Species” (1859), Darwin said:
“If it could be proved that any part of the structure of any one species had been formed for the exclusive good of another species, it would annihilate my theory, for such could not have been produced through natural selection.”
Chapter VI, Difficulties Of The Theory
This challenge has not been met. In the ensuing 140 years, no such thing has been found. Plants give away nectar and fruit, but they get something in return. Taking care of other members of one’s own species (kin selection) doesn’t count, so ants and bees (and mammalian milk) don’t count.

Darwin pointed out that the Madagascar Star orchid has a spur 30 centimeters (about a foot) long, with a puddle of nectar at the bottom. Now, evolution says that nectar isn’t free. Creatures that drink it pay for it, by carrying pollen away to another orchid. For that to happen, the creature must rub against the top of the spur. So, Darwin concluded that the spur had evolved its length as an arms race. Some creature had a way to reach deeply without shoving itself hard against the pollen-producing parts. Orchids with longer spurs would be more likely to spread their pollen, so Darwin’s gradualistic scenario applied. The spur would evolve to be longer and longer. From the huge size, the creature must have evolved in return, reaching deeper and deeper. So, he predicted in 1862 that Madagascar has a species of hawkmoth with a tongue just slightly shorter than 30 cm.
The creature that pollinated that orchid was not learned until 1902, forty years later. It was indeed a moth, and it had a 25 cm tongue. And in 1988 it was proven that moth-pollinated short-spurred orchids did set less seed than long ones.

A thousand years ago, just about every remote island on the planet had a species of flightless bird. Evolution explains this by saying that flying creatures are particularly able to establish themselves on remote islands. Some birds, living in a safe place where there is no need to make sudden escapes, will take the opportunity to give up on flying. Hence, Evolution predicts that each flightless bird species arose on the island that it was found on. So, Evolution predicts that no two islands would have the same species of flightless bird. Now that all the world’s islands have been visited, we know that this was a correct prediction.

The “same” protein in two related species is usually slightly different. A protein is made from a sequence of amino acids, and the two species have slightly different sequences. We can measure the sequences of many species, and cladistics has a mathematical procedure which tells us if these many sequences imply one common ancestral sequence. Evolution predicts that these species are all descended from a common ancestral species, and that the ancestral species used the ancestral sequence.
This has been done for pancreatic ribonuclease in ruminants. (Cows, sheep, goats, deer and giraffes are ruminants.) Measurements were made on various ruminants. An ancestral sequence was computed, and protein molecules with that sequence were manufactured. When sequences are chosen at random, we usually wind up with a useless goo. However, the manufactured molecules were biologically active substances. Furthermore, they did exactly what a pancreatic ribonuclease is supposed to do - namely, digest ribonucleic acids.

An animal’s bones contain oxygen atoms from the water it drank while growing. And, fresh water and salt water can be told apart by their slightly different mixture of oxygen isotopes. (This is because fresh water comes from water that evaporated out of the ocean. Lighter atoms evaporate more easily than heavy ones do, so fresh water has fewer of the heavy atoms.)
Therefore, it should be possible to analyze an aquatic creature’s bones, and tell whether it grew up in fresh water or in the ocean. This has been done, and it worked. We can distinguish the bones of river dolphins from the bones of killer whales.

Now for the prediction. We have fossils of various early whales. Since whales are mammals, evolution predicts that they evolved from land animals. And, the very earliest of those whales would have lived in fresh water, while they were evolving their aquatic skills. Therefore, the oxygen isotope ratios in their fossils should be like the isotope ratios in modern river dolphins.

It’s been measured, and the prediction was correct. The two oldest species in the fossil record - Pakicetus and Ambulocetus - lived in fresh water. Rodhocetus, Basilosaurus and the others all lived in salt water.

The point is not that these prove evolution right. The point is that these were predictions that could have turned out to be wrong predictions. So, the people who made the predictions were doing science. The Theory of Evolution was also useful, in the sense that it suggested what evidence to look for, and where.

The problem with ID is that it can’t do these things. It can’t tell us where to look or even what to look for. It makes no predictions. It can’t make predictions since no matter what we observe it is possible to say that it was designed to be that way. Even the lack of appearance of design can be explained as being designed by omnipotent power to be exactly that way.
 
The problem with ID is that it can’t do these things. It can’t tell us where to look or even what to look for. It makes no predictions.
The first prediction is that Darwinian theory is not a sufficient explanation for the development of life on earth.

That’s the Darwinian claim – the evolution explains the development of all of nature.

ID’s prediction is validated when we discover aspects of nature which Darwinian theory cannot explain.

Additionally, we don’t merely cite various instances where Darwin made claims which appear to be validated. The theory claims to explain (in the mind of least some prominent evolutionists) all of biological nature. It’s one of the most (the most) arrogant claims in all of science.

So, my hypothetical theory that 2+2=4 and 2+2=5 can be tested.

We took 2 apples and combined with 2 more. We added them and came up with 4.
Thus, my theory is true. A prediction was validated.

But what about the second corollary that 2+2=5 also?

We test that again and see that it’s falsified.

Now what?

Using a Darwinian process, we “evolve the theory”.
  1. My original theory had a true prediction, therefore it is true.
  2. My orginal theory was partially correct, therefore it is true
  3. Testing on the theory brought new insights which enabled us to adjust it to this:
2+2=4 and 2+2 “might” = 5, athough we don’t know enough yet about that. We are studying it.

In physics, when one part of the theory is falsified, then the theory itself is false.
In evolution, when one part of the theory is falsified, the theory adds-on explanations even when none exist.

Another proof of this is claims for validation of evolution by citing micro-adaptations in existing species as if that validates the sweeping claim that evolution explains the development of all of nature.
 
Leela – you could consider the book by the atheist, Jerry Fodor:

What Darwin Got Wrong …

Fodor and other scientists reject Darwinian theory in favor of the self-organization of living organisms.

For them, evolutionary theory as we commonly know it has already been falsified.
 
The first prediction is that Darwinian theory is not a sufficient explanation for the development of life on earth.
Is this the first prediction or the only prediction?

Darwinians take for granted that our understanding of the evolution of life is not complete. In fact, all scientists hold the belief that theories may be replaced by other theories in the future. Saying that a theory may be wrong is not a theory, it’s just science as usual. Is that all the ID is? The claim that a particular theory is wrong?
That’s the Darwinian claim – the evolution explains the development of all of nature.
The current paradigm for biology includes the idea that all evolution of all species can have a Darwinian explanation. It does not claim that we already have good Darwinian explanations.
ID’s prediction is validated when we discover aspects of nature which Darwinian theory cannot explain.
All biologists already take for granted that there are aspects of evolution that are not curently explained. That is what gives people like Dawkins stuff to do!

If you are going to have an alternative theory, you have to give an account that does or at least could hope to explain what current Darwinian theory cannot explain as well as what it does explain. You don’t even have to explain all of it. Not even most of it. Not by a long shot. You just have to be able to explain some things. Anything really! ID can’t ever do that. No experiences could ever be more or less consistent with the idea that they were designed to be exactly that way. It is therefore a completely useless idea to science.

(That doesn’t mean that it can not satisfy other needs you may have. It just can’t satisfy the goals for which we do science, i.e, getting consensus on a single account of reality that best enables us to predict and control.)
 
Falsification is not required or important for ID. Properties is the idea. What properties does this object have?

Silver has certain properties, the same with gold. These properties are specific to each.

Intelligent Design locates devices within the cell that preclude accidental formation. This indicates that a series of accidents did not form them. They have information storage and transmission capacity. It is these identifiable properties that exist. By indicating that these devices exist, it is easy to posit not an apparent but an actual designer.

Of course, those who can’t stand the G word are free to create aliens or other means, but it all stops at describing the properties. If an object resembling a 1957 Ford Thunderbird was found on Mars, I very much believe that scientists who examined it would not discount it as some natural object, even if they could find no clues about who designed it.
Ed, unless I’ve missed it, you still haven’t responded to my request that you specify the process for identifying that things are designed. You talk about properties: Which properties, in isolation or conjunction, are irrefutable indicators of design?

Now you state that falsification is not required. If this is the case, how can you tell what’s designed and what isn’t? Is everything designed? If so, that begs the question: why rely on observation of properties to infer design? If everything is designed, it just becomes a flat statement and the concept of properties is irrelevant.

Falsification is a key component of any scientific theory, as it helps to describe the boundary of that theory. The famous example in The Theory That Must Not Be Named is the “rabbit fossil in the Pre-Cambrian.” If this were ever found, it would show that the theory is incorrect in part or in whole. Without falsification criteria, you can just say what you like and call it a scientific theory - it becomes utterly meaningless. Falsification is absolutely required, otherwise you’re just stating, “This is true, and nothing you can say or do will prove it otherwise,” which is an extremely unscientific thing to say.

Predictive power is another key factor in a scientific theory. It enables one to test the theory under various conditions and verify whether the theory holds in each case. In this way the theory can be refined and strengthened.

ID has neither falsificiation criteria nor predictive power. It is not a scientific theory. It is a hypothesis which, like any other, could become a theory - but the trouble is, nobody seems to be able to define the criteria against which the hypothesis can be tested. Unless and until that happens, ID will continue to be a source of derision amongst the scientific community.
Right, ID is a scientific research program.

Since this same coded information is found (through science) in the earliest known cellular life, then ID can look at the origin of information and ask about how it came about in the origin of life. This obviously affects evolutionary theory since the same information is present in all living things.

Information transmission, reception and decoding are part of an irreducibly complex system.

In the cell, there is a meta-code (controlling code) and sub-codes that transmit instructions through the cell to engage cellular functions.

The only known sources of those kinds of complex, functional information systems are intelligent agents.
You can just about get away with calling ID a scientific “research programme” I suppose - the problem being that no scientific progress seems to be being made, as per my comments above.

ID ‘scientists’ could easily gain much wider acceptance if they just did what real scientists do and define the limits of their hypothesis, and propose experiments to test those limits. Instead, they seem to just be sitting there making claims of CSI this and Irreducible Complexity that, without ever providing scientific evidence of these claims.
No claims of irreducibly complex systems have ever survived scientific scrutiny.

Your last statement is just an assertion. There is no evidence that cell function is a result of an intelligent agent. There’s just, “It sure looks that way to me, and look - I’ve invented an arbitrary unfalsifiable measure to prove it, QED.”

The one good thing about ID is that, unlike ‘pure’ Creationism, it makes claims which are theoretically disprovable by real science. It will be interesting to see how IDers scramble to ‘clarify’ their claims as proper science starts to dismantle them.
The first prediction is that Darwinian theory is not a sufficient explanation for the development of life on earth.
This isn’t a prediction, it’s a post hoc assertion - and a “God of the gaps” argument to boot.
ID’s prediction is validated when we discover aspects of nature which Darwinian theory cannot explain.
More “God of the gaps” - not validation by any definition.
Leela – you could consider the book by the atheist, Jerry Fodor:

What Darwin Got Wrong …

Fodor and other scientists reject Darwinian theory in favor of the self-organization of living organisms.

For them, evolutionary theory as we commonly know it has already been falsified.
You do realise that current evolutionary theory is more than just what Darwin wrote in 1859? Sure, he got things wrong. They’ve since been put right. More errors may be found. The theory will improve. That’s how a proper scientific theory works - by prediction, experiment, and falsification, followed by correction; repeat as necessary.

Compare and contrast to ID which just says “It looks like design to me” and “Evolution can’t explain X” and concludes, “Therefore intelligent design (aka God although we’d never say it out loud in case the lawyers spotted it).”
 
Hi all,

It seems to me that whether or not there are things in the world which appear to be designed can have nothing whatsoever to do with the hypothesis that there exists a omnipotent designer since such a designer could have just as easily designed a universe that does not appear to be designed. Therefore, whatever we observe can never have any bearing on the question. No matter what we observe about the world, the appearance of design or the appearance of lack of design, we can always hypothesize that it was designed to be exactly that way. No evidence could ever be regarded as supporting or refuting that hypothesis, so though it can never be ruled out it is entirely worthless to science. It can never have any bearing on scientific inquiry either way.

Best,
Leela
Your statement is complete nonsense. If an obviously manufactured object was found on another planet, what then?

And what about those scientists spending time and money right now searching for signals from an intelligent source that they don’t even know is there?

God bless,
Ed
 
In 1837, a Creationist reported that during a pig’s fetal development, part of the incipient jawbone detaches and becomes the little bones of the middle ear. After Evolution was invented, it was predicted that there would be a transitional fossil, of a reptile with a spare jaw joint right near its ear. A whole series of such fossils has since been found - the cynodont therapsids.

In “The Origin Of Species” (1859), Darwin said:
“If it could be proved that any part of the structure of any one species had been formed for the exclusive good of another species, it would annihilate my theory, for such could not have been produced through natural selection.”
Chapter VI, Difficulties Of The Theory

The creature that pollinated that orchid was not learned until 1902, forty years later. It was indeed a moth, and it had a 25 cm tongue. And in 1988 it was proven that moth-pollinated short-spurred orchids did set less seed than long ones.

A thousand years ago, just about every remote island on the planet had a species of flightless bird. Evolution explains this by saying that flying creatures are particularly able to establish themselves on remote islands. Some birds, living in a safe place where there is no need to make sudden escapes, will take the opportunity to give up on flying. Hence, Evolution predicts that each flightless bird species arose on the island that it was found on. So, Evolution predicts that no two islands would have the same species of flightless bird. Now that all the world’s islands have been visited, we know that this was a correct prediction.

The “same” protein in two related species is usually slightly different. A protein is made from a sequence of amino acids, and the two species have slightly different sequences. We can measure the sequences of many species, and cladistics has a mathematical procedure which tells us if these many sequences imply one common ancestral sequence. Evolution predicts that these species are all descended from a common ancestral species, and that the ancestral species used the ancestral sequence.
This has been done for pancreatic ribonuclease in ruminants. (Cows, sheep, goats, deer and giraffes are ruminants.) Measurements were made on various ruminants. An ancestral sequence was computed, and protein molecules with that sequence were manufactured. When sequences are chosen at random, we usually wind up with a useless goo. However, the manufactured molecules were biologically active substances. Furthermore, they did exactly what a pancreatic ribonuclease is supposed to do - namely, digest ribonucleic acids.

An animal’s bones contain oxygen atoms from the water it drank while growing. And, fresh water and salt water can be told apart by their slightly different mixture of oxygen isotopes. (This is because fresh water comes from water that evaporated out of the ocean. Lighter atoms evaporate more easily than heavy ones do, so fresh water has fewer of the heavy atoms.)
Therefore, it should be possible to analyze an aquatic creature’s bones, and tell whether it grew up in fresh water or in the ocean. This has been done, and it worked. We can distinguish the bones of river dolphins from the bones of killer whales.

Now for the prediction. We have fossils of various early whales. Since whales are mammals, evolution predicts that they evolved from land animals. And, the very earliest of those whales would have lived in fresh water, while they were evolving their aquatic skills. Therefore, the oxygen isotope ratios in their fossils should be like the isotope ratios in modern river dolphins.

It’s been measured, and the prediction was correct. The two oldest species in the fossil record - Pakicetus and Ambulocetus - lived in fresh water. Rodhocetus, Basilosaurus and the others all lived in salt water.

The point is not that these prove evolution right. The point is that these were predictions that could have turned out to be wrong predictions. So, the people who made the predictions were doing science. The Theory of Evolution was also useful, in the sense that it suggested what evidence to look for, and where.

The problem with ID is that it can’t do these things. It can’t tell us where to look or even what to look for. It makes no predictions. It can’t make predictions since no matter what we observe it is possible to say that it was designed to be that way. Even the lack of appearance of design can be explained as being designed by omnipotent power to be exactly that way.
The ToE is the biggest story telling device on the planet. It predicts very little and has no practical use in the present. Complex life going way back refutes it. A mammal was found with the body of a young dinosaur in its belly (fossilized of course). The dogmatic statement that large mammals appeared after dinosaur extinction was found to be wrong.

ID is about describing systems that cannot self assemble. That is its value. So-called Junk DNA was predicted to be useful and this ‘discovery’ was later admitted by mainstream scientists. What science is discovering is that the cell is more complex than what was understood even a year ago. What that is showing is that as the order of magnitude of complexity goes up, the idea of self assembly goes down.

God bless,
Ed
 
Is this the first prediction or the only prediction?

Darwinians take for granted that our understanding of the evolution of life is not complete. In fact, all scientists hold the belief that theories may be replaced by other theories in the future. Saying that a theory may be wrong is not a theory, it’s just science as usual. Is that all the ID is? The claim that a particular theory is wrong?

The current paradigm for biology includes the idea that all evolution of all species can have a Darwinian explanation. It does not claim that we already have good Darwinian explanations.

All biologists already take for granted that there are aspects of evolution that are not curently explained. That is what gives people like Dawkins stuff to do!

If you are going to have an alternative theory, you have to give an account that does or at least could hope to explain what current Darwinian theory cannot explain as well as what it does explain. You don’t even have to explain all of it. Not even most of it. Not by a long shot. You just have to be able to explain some things. Anything really! ID can’t ever do that. No experiences could ever be more or less consistent with the idea that they were designed to be exactly that way. It is therefore a completely useless idea to science.

(That doesn’t mean that it can not satisfy other needs you may have. It just can’t satisfy the goals for which we do science, i.e, getting consensus on a single account of reality that best enables us to predict and control.)
It is false to believe science is only about predicting and controlling. Science needs to describe things accurately. By ignoring the increasing complexity of the cell, its information reading, storing and transmission capabilities, it basically says: “Hey. Look at what random events gave us - something more complex than our own computers.” If that isn’t wearing blinders then I don’t know what is. This scientific conclusion is insufficient to describe the cell as it is currently known.

Right now, nothing useful is being done with the ToE in science.

God bless,
Ed
 
Your statement is complete nonsense. If an obviously manufactured object was found on another planet, what then?
The notion of “obviously manufactured” implies that we are talking about a designer sufficiently like ourselves so that we could distinguish the object as obviously designed.

If we allow for the possibility of of omnipotent and omniscent designer, then there is no way to say that a house found on another planet is any more or less evidence of a designer than a rock is. We don’t know how to make rocks, but we do know how to make houses, so we may conclude that something like us perhaps made the house.
And what about those scientists spending time and money right now searching for signals from an intelligent source that they don’t even know is there?
Ed, I am not arguing like another on this thread that we can’t recognize design when we see it. It is the appearance of design that evolutionary theory was created to explain. In the case of SETI we are looking for aliens that are suficiently like us to me able to detect them. How could we detect an omniscient omnipotent designer?

The problem for ID is that if we are allowing for an omnipotent designer, then something that appears designed is no more evidence of such a designer than something that looks completely random. Either one could have just as easily been designed to look exactly that way, so such a hypothesis for science is a blank cartridge that carries nothing with it.
 
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