E
Erich
Guest
Not only that, but if the models are any good, they should be able to track the past climate simply by running them backwards.
- The bulk of the research is based on computer simulations of complex and incomplete mathematical models. These models ASSUME CO2 is the cause of temperature rises instead of a result of it. They also ignore water vapor as factor because it can’t be easily measured. I can write a computer program to get any results I want just by playing with the equations & my assumptions. That doesn’t make it right.
From a paper presented at a Sustainable Development and Global Climate Change Conference (emphasis mine):
“I want to tell you the good news about the most important pattern of climate change in the summer. I wish people who disagree would have read this paper, because it says that the climate models have correctly captured in the Northern Hemisphere the most important pattern of temperature change in the summer. They have done it. This is quite an important achievement. Unfortunately, it is the model without sulfates. As it changed the slopes are correct. This behavior however is not typical. This is the behavior of a winter pattern over time in a climate model. This is reality. There are different signs. This happens all the time.”
Here’s one such example:
- The temperature date used by these researchers is primarily from satellites, which have only been available for the past 30 years. ** Climate change phenomena occur over much longer time spans.** As others have pointed out here, there have been freezing & warming cycles on the earth long before there were SUVs. Even Mars has these cycles.
http://www.andreaharner.com/archives/proof_of_global_warming499x280.jpg
And it doesn’t help that the surface temperature readings upon which global warming theory is built have been distorted by urbanization.
- It’s also notoiously difficult to get accurate temperature readings. The research is based on very small temperature changes. What’s the temperature in your house right now? If you go from room to room, or even to different places in the same room, you’ll see temperature variations of at least a few degrees.
“Due to the solar heat captured by bricks and pavement and due to the changing wind patterns caused by large buildings, a weather station placed in a rural village in 1900 will inevitably show higher temperature readings if that village has, over time, been transformed into small city or a suburban shopping district.”
In theory, increased global warming should lead to increased drought, which should in turn lead to fewer trees which absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, which should lead to more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which should lead to further increases in global warming.
- A large part of the global warming hysteria consists of dire predictions of catastrophes. Even if we are in a warming trend right now (and the evidence linking it to human activity is even more questionable than that supporting global warming), it could actually benefit people by increasing growing seasons in cooler climates. When Europe had a mini warm spell, food production and the overall standard of living improved. Also, who’s to say the climate of the past 50 or 100 years is normal? Throughout the known history of the climate has always been changing (whether we like it or not). Saying we can change the climate one way or another sounds like arrogance to me.
I saw once, but can’t remember where, side-by-side photographs of several nature scenes (mostly out West), the first in each set taken a hundred years or so ago (well before the onset of “man-made global warming”) and the second in each set taken recently (after years of “dangerous” carbon dioxide build-up in the atmosphere). In all cases, the “after” photo showed SEVERAL TIMES as many trees per unit area as the “before” photo – i.e. the exact opposite of what the man-made-global-warming-types predict.
There’s also global warming on Mars (and Pluto and Triton and Jupiter) … but there are only two “SUV’s” on the entire planet. It hardly seems reasonable that Spirit and Opportunity are the cause of martian global warming… particularly since all the seas were gone long before we got there