To me, it is a matter of political will. … etc.
Do you know what an evil person is?
Madness, once unleashed, knows no bounds. – Winston Churchill
Our enemies are worms; I saw them at Munich. – Adolf Hitler
Everything would have worked fine if only Hitler had kept his promises. – Neville Chamberlain
Lord, if only I could have talked with Hitler, all this might have been avoided. – Sen. William Borah, upon hearing that Hitler had invaded Poland
Negotiate? We don’t want something from you; we want to KILL you. – Hamas
Winston Churchill once said, “Jaw-jaw is better than war-war.” So it is, the Western democracies, considering themselves to be the to-date epitome of civilized world diplomacy, are willing to invest so much capital in negotiation to settle disagreements between nations. To the Western mind, negotiation has become so in-grained that it has essentially, but unintentionally, become second nature and all too often an end in itself. To the non-Western mind in many cases, negotiation is merely war by other means, or just an extension of the battlefield. That negotiation could be something other than a way to resolve disputes peacefully is completely alien to the Western mind. Such over-reliance on negotiation by Westerners in the past has almost always had extremely disastrous consequences because of the mistakes on both sides: the Westerner who convinces himself of the basic good will of his adversary across the table, and the adversary Despot who overestimates the price the democracies are willing to pay to maintain peace. This paper will concentrate only on the mistakes typically made by the Western negotiator.
The first mistake made by Westerners setting out to negotiate with a Despot is their assumption that he is a rational individual like everyone else who wants to resolve a dispute. Nothing could be further from the truth, and one need only look at how he gained power in his own country to see this to be a grossly invalid assumption. [Note 1]
In order to negotiate successfully, one must be willing to give up something the other wants, an oft-neglected or forgotten requirement; and important to note here is that what the Despot brings to the table is not really his at all! He has already taken something from the rest (peace); and, operating from a position of weakness, seeks something in exchange for the return of what he stole; and here is where the “Anointed” [Note 2] make their first big mistake: by agreeing to negotiate under such (perhaps subconscious) assumptions, they have granted to him what he has stolen, and validated his position! [Note 3] Having the position of strength of “what’s mine is mine, and what’s yours is negotiable” thrust upon him, the Despot then is only too willing to accept it. Then it is only a matter of BARGAINING as to what the Despot is willing to accept and what the Anointed are willing to concede. From there, the Anointed are usually reduced to such a subordinate position that they can only sheepishly ask questions like, “Do the peasants get to keep their cows?” and hope that the current demands are the last the Despot will make, so the rest can resume business as usual. Once again the powerful will have surrendered their position of strength, their only advantage. This process is what is known as “appeasement.”
Those experienced in bargaining know that if a “buyer” offers X, he is usually willing to pay X plus Y. The only question is, what is Y? Once concession X has been paid by the victims of this extortion and blackmail, it is a simple matter for the Despot to lie low for a while until things quiet down before proceeding with his plan for more power and repeating the above process of “crisis”/ negotiation in order to extract Y (upping the price for peace); and once the process is renewed, the previous X plus Y become the new X in his search for a new Y.
At this point, the Anointed, all considering themselves seasoned statesmen and apparently convinced they can solve all mankind’s problems, have so much invested in this process that their own human pride prevents them from admitting they’ve been had (by an uneducated, upstart son-of-a-peasant at that!). And so it continues, a desperate attempt to make negotiation work even at a cost agreed to far beyond that originally imagined, with the Anointed ceding concession after concession, and with each one a little more power, to the Despot until there is no more Y for the Anointed to give without exhausting whatever political capital they might have remaining in the eyes of their constituents and thus endangering their own careers.
Once the Despot has extracted the last Y willingly conceded, his madness having been unleashed by the spineless Anointed and being convinced of his own position of power, he is still not through and has one option left: taking it by military force. The result is all-out war, a war that could have easily been avoided in the beginning at relatively low cost to both sides in both dollars and human lives by NOT ceding anything, hoping that the Despot will go away (he won’t), but rather letting the Despot know in no uncertain terms that military force WILL be used if compliance to the letter is not accomplished immediately and that there will be no further concessions since the current agreement (usually the point of contention) contains them all. Constituents who are tempted to agree to more should be made aware that that amounts to paying blackmail and that they are endangering a whole younger generation that will bear the greatest hardships of an all-out war, not the Anointed who never seem to pay a price in blood whatsoever. …