What you fail to understand is that the business world is risky and in a world with risk and uncertainty, good decisions don’t always lead to good outcomes.
What you fail to understand is that the decision is
measured by the outcome.
If you disagree, tell us by what standard
you think stockholders should measure decisions.
Consider the following example: Suppose you are offered an investment with the following possible payoffs, each of which are equally likely: At the end of one year, either get $10,000 or you get nothing. The expected payoff of this investment would be $5000. If this investment costs $2,000, it would be a good decision for a risk neutral investor to buy the investment. Of course, if the investment resulted in a zero payout, the outcome would be bad. However, a bad outcome doesn’t mean it was a bad decision.
Yes, it does – bad outcome, bad decision.
If you disagree, tell us by what standard
you think stockholders should measure decisions.
Business exist to invest in projects that are risky. If you want to avoid risk, invest in Treasury Bills, no CEO is required for that.
Smokescreen.
Decisions are not measured by risk, but by outcome.
If you disagree, tell us by what standard
you think stockholders should measure decisions.
But they do make risky investments, so given that they are making a risky investment, we cannot say anything about the quality of the decision making by just looking at the outcome.
We can say everything about the quality of the decision by looking at the outcome.
Decisions are not measured by risk, but by outcome.
If you disagree, tell us by what standard
you think stockholders should measure decisions.
No, my parents bought a house that tripled in value over the past 10 years. It was a good outcome, attributable purely to luck, they could have just as easily moved someplace else where prices were stagnant.
And your parents are the CEOs of what publicly-traded company?