I think that we, including myself, need to be careful about using statistics. They can prove or disprove anything! We need to remember that and not create animosity between each other over stats.
Yes, we do need to be careful. I know this better than some since I work in the field. It’s not so much that stats can prove/disprove anything, but that they can be used wrongly very easily to that effect. A good example of this is
Simpson’s paradox, as a result of which a contingency table can give two entirely different impressions about, for example, the racial distribution of capital punishment: for both black and white victims, black murderers are more likely to be executed than white murderers; but when you look at the data in aggregate without respect to the race of the victim, white murderers are more likely to be executed than black murderers.
All the stats that I have seen cite small but steady GROWTH in Catholic churches over the last few decades.
It depends in large part what metrics you look at and what qualifications you make of them. Suppose the Catholic population in Country X grows by 10% over a 50-year period. Well, that’s a good thing, right? But what if the
overall population in Country X has grown by 30% over the same time period? Then what we have is a net loss.
It’s also possible to make trends look less bad by leaving out crucial context. For instance, the number of Catholic weddings is down slightly in the UK compared to a few decades ago, which looks worrisome but not necessarily bad. When you factor in that the Catholic population of the UK has grown substantially over that timeframe, well, it looks much worse: then the
rate of Catholic weddings can be seen as pretty much collapsing.
And what’s even more important and exciting, many of those who join the Catholic Church are converts to Catholicism from other Christian sects, or are converts to Christianity from nothing or from a non-Christian religion! That’s really cool, and it demonstrates that Catholics are evangelizing! (Many of the Protestant denominations can cite growth, but it’s all “transfer” growth–Christians quit other Christian churches to join a new denomination.)
Sure, I don’t deny some are converting. Last I saw (no stats handy at the moment), though, the outflow is still greater than the inflow: more people are leaving Catholicism for other faiths than are entering it.
On the plus side, it seems like the people coming in are generally higher quality, e.g., for every Anne Rice we lose, we gain a Francis Beckwith. So even the outflow/inflow is greater than 1 (i.e., bad), there may be positive knock-on effects later on down the road.
You are just obfuscating the issue with a bad metaphor. Everything Christ ever said gives me the impression that he would have looked at traditionalists who are so obsessed with rituals and external appearances as going against the way he told people to live.
Again, I’m not really a traditionalist. My interest in this topic is more sociological than anything.
But let’s deal for a second with what Christ said re: the Pharisees. The Pharisees’ problem was not legalism. The law was given them to by Moses, after all, and Moses was beloved of God, and was a logical working-out of the Ten Commandments which were given
directly by God. And there is a law built into the hearts of man (the natural law), and of course there’s civil law which Christ himself obeyed and which he and his apostles both enjoined us to obey, and there’s ecclesiastical law which enjoys higher priority than civil law. The Pharisees’ problem was
loveless legalism. Their problem was that they elevated the law to an end in itself, rather than a means to the ultimate end of man, which is God. Hence they killed Jesus, who was God, in deference to the law which God gave them through Moses.
One of my favorite psalms is psalm 50 (in the Douay-Rheims, so I think 51 in the NABRE). There are two seemingly contradictory statements in it: “For if thou hadst desired sacrifice, I would indeed have given it: with burnt offerings thou wilt not be delighted. A sacrifice to God is an afflicted spirit: a contrite and humbled heart, O God, thou wilt not despise” (verses 18-19), then immediately, “Deal favourably, O Lord, in thy good will with Sion; that the walls of Jerusalem may be built up. Then shalt thou accept the sacrifice of justice, oblations and whole burnt offerings: then shall they lay calves upon thy altar” (verses 20-21). The best thing we can give to God is love and humility: only in that context are the other sacrifices we give him pleasing. But love and humility do not excuse us from the obligation to make those sacrifices.
All of this is to say that Christ did not abolish the law or the prophets, he fulfilled and perfected them. Catholics aren’t antinomians. Obedience to law and ritual matters, even if it isn’t sufficient (which I’m not arguing, so your attribution that that’s what motivates me is pretty baseless).