Considering the numbers I cited came from what one of the most reputable and best know organization involved in pointing out the errors made in capital punishment cases, that the numbers you claimed were nearly 10x higher and un-sourced suggests to me that they were simply made up.
No, the difference is that the source you cited is talking about cases since the death penalty was reinstated. The 66 was from UCLA and included cases from earlier in the 20th century. That number is harder to use for a specific risk assessment because witnesses die, DNA evidence degrades, etc. So, I used yours.
Further, considering that the number of executions since 1976 is
1096, the instance of cases where significant doubts were raised after execution is only .7%, which is again a 10x difference between what you implied versus what has actually happened.
Read your source - one number is relatively objective (number executed), the other is unknowable, but is citing about 10 cases as highly probable. I don’t need to inflate the numbers, to me .1% (one out of every 1000 executed) would be concerning. Arguing rather it is 7x (the lowest possible extrapolation from the numbers you provided) or 10x that does not sway me.
As inmates awaiting the death sentence, they are subject to a much tighter level of control that would be acceptable for general population inmates. Also, the number of years on death row is dropping quickly as the backlog is finally clearing following the reimplementation of the death penalty after it had been suspended by the courts. In inmate spending 6-10 years on death row is significantly less risk to those exposed to that inmate than one spending 40-60 years in confinement.
Again, you seem to be completely missing the point.
- We have many violent felons in whose cases we do not persue the death penalty (standards of evidence, circumstances, etc.) This creates a violent prison population which is huge in comparison to the total number of capital cases.
- When we pursue the death penalty we often get life sentences instead. That is, a criminal conviction is returned, but the jury does not believe that the standard for capital punishment has been met. If we include appeals and commutations, the number is somewhere between 30 and 40%.
So crowded prisons full of violent prisoners with “nothing to lose” is inevitable. So the question becomes, does the trickle of executions of some violent offenders make even a statistically measurable difference in prison risk to inmates and other prisoners?
You keep sneering about bad numbers, and I’m saying that I don’t care which numbers you use. Execution of innocents is not 0. On the other hand, you seem to be saying that, on the one hand, risk to guards and inmates is an argument for the death penalty, on the other, you seem to argue that the risk is so small it can be mitigated with extra security precautions.
Think about it, if we buy into the ‘nothing to lose’ argument, then guards are exposed to capital crime prisoners when they present the highest risk - when death is near and they are the most desperate. If that risk can be made insignificant by certain precautions in the handling of those prisoners how can it be possible be argued that it offsets what seems to be about a 1 in 100 execution of innocent human beings?
Think about it another way. In the US about 13 of every 100,000 life births ends in maternal death. Does the mere existance of that small risk justify abortion? Of course not. 20-50% of all fertilized zygotes end life in a spontaneous abortion. Yet that high mortality rate does not offset our obligation, as Catholics, to treat each as a life as precious as our own. Yet we seem incredibly willing to sacrifice innocent lives to capital punishment on some pretty thin arguments of self protection.
Remember, we don’t have to guess. The US is pretty much alone in the western industrial world on capital punishment. If not executing prisoners elevates risks to other inmates, guards, and the general population, we would expect it to show up statistically in other countries.
Understand, I believe that there are people who unquestionably deserve death. And it is very human to seek retribution, rather we claim it is objective punishment or not. But I have come to believe that I cannot just be pro-life when it is ‘easy’ for me, but also when it is hard. That does NOT make me right, but it is my honest opinion.