Ahh ok, I see. I’d like to see these studies though. One problem with theories and models is that there could be all types of hidden variables that can affect outcomes, so it’s actually nice to see the studies to try to come up with ideas that can hurt the validity of the theory in practice. Plus you got to wade through the statistics. If people are putting it out with an agenda, they can color them as they like intentionally or not.
I think you also have to try to understand where exactly is the best set point. At a point in change of wages the negatives will have to outpace the positives, any idea when that’ll come?
If the Mom and Pop store ever wants to grow, some would have to get in the market of finding low wage workers, that’ll cut into their profit margins, while other big competitors can weather that due to volume.
First you may want to do a refresher on supply side economics verses other models. A supply side economist is paid to focus on the increase expense and predict its affect. He usually ignores the customer benefit as that is not the focus he is paid for. This is the reason I believe with many new economists that historical studies were intently skewed. Second the labor market has changed considerable over the last 50 years currently a family produces 1.5 workers for the next generation not the 5+ it used to supply. Third and most important during most of my lifetime minimum wage has been a non issue. A current minimum wage 40 hour would pay about $260 while the middle of the labor pack (medium) earning from 2000-2007(Q1) show a low of $569 and last # of $693. In essence the government has effectively eliminated minimum wage by allowing a wage so low it is irrelevant.
Concerning the other question you may have been asking when a minimum wage will have a negative affect. The answer is when the wage eliminates more jobs than the consumer benefit exceeds. This will occur as the new targeted minimum wage exceeds the free market wages. Statistically we could use 2 or 3% this will occur as we approach about $300 per week (current report bls report says $327=10%). So a safe number as $280 per week or ~$7 per hour shows the current safe range for raising the minimum wage. All moves to day from $5.15 to $7 will be positive in their affect on the economy.
requested report references
Card, David. 1992b. Do Minimum Wages Reduce Employment? A Case Study of California, 1987-89. Industrial and Labor Relations Review, vol. 46 (October): 38-54. -Finds no evidence that an increase in the California state minimum wage in July, 1988 led to any loss in teenage employment, but does find evidence of higher wages.
Adams, F. Gerard. 1987. Increasing the Minimum Wage: The Macroeconomic Impacts. Briefing Paper, Economic Policy Institute (July). -Finds that an increase in the minimum wage from $3.35 to $4.65 over three years would increase the unemployment rate by less than 0.1% and the inflation rate by 0.2%.
Card, David, and Krueger, Alan B. 1994. Minimum Wages and Employ-ment: A Case Study of the Fast-Food Industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania. American Economic Review, vol. 84 (September): 772-793. -Finds no evidence of reduced employment from an increase in the New Jersey state minimum wage in April, 1992.
Katz, Lawrence F., and Krueger, Alan B. 1992. The Effect of the Minimum Wage on the Fast-Food Industry. Industrial and Labor Relations Review, vol. 46 (October): 6-21. -Finds evidence that an increase in the minimum wage led to an increase in employment in Texas.
Brown, Charles. 1988. Minimum Wage Laws: Are They Overrated? Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 2 (Summer): 133-145. - Finds that they employment impact of the minimum wage and its impact on reducing poverty are both less than generally believed.
Brown, Charles; Gilroy, Curtis; and Kohen, Andrew. 1981a. Effects of the Minimum Wage on Youth Employment and Unemployment. In Minimum Wage Study Commission (1981), vol. 5, pp. 1-26. -Finds that a 10% increase in the minimum wage will reduce teenage employment by 1% to 3%.
Brown, Charles; Gilroy, Curtis; and Kohen, Andrew. 1981b. Time-Series Evidence of the Effect of the Minimum Wage on Teenage Employment and Unemployment. In Minimum Wage Study Commission (1981), vol. 5, pp. 103-127. -Finds that a 10% increase in the minimum wage will reduce teenage employment by 1%.