Putin is a former colonel in the KGB. That people are supportive of anything Russia does is ridiculous. I don’t care a whit whether or not Russia has had a “rebirth” of social/religious conservatism. It can never be trusted, it will always be dangerous.
This has a lot of truth. Putin simply plays to the gallery at home, but is at heart an old school cold-war soviet. Putin is on record as saying that the fall of the Soviet Union was the world’s greatest geo-political catastrophe of the century".
And we, in the West, have the obligation to do whatever it takes to stop its expansion.
However getting involved militarily in this conflict is something we should steer well clear of. What is needed in the region is stability, not a battle for control. Putin is not thumbing his nose at the West through this, nor is this the beginning of a Riussian move westwrads, he is simply seeking to avoid his strategic interests in the region being weakened.
The interim Ukranian government (which contains some pretty dodgy people who haven’t actually got popular support) has made it clear they wish to switch their allegiances towards the EU, which in military terms means putting themselves under the wing of NATO. Is Putin going to accept having a major strategic Russian fleet hiring a port in NATO controlled territory? Is Putin really going to let the majority ethnic Russians in Crimea, who consider themselves as Russian and look to Moscow be under the control of a government allied with the West?
It was fairly clear that Russia’s move was on the cards as soon as the Ukranian government fell. This is not about taking over the whole of Ukraine, this is about Sevastapol and the Black Sea Fleet.
Putin will not back down on Crimea, he will see securing control of the Black Sea and Sevastapol as crucial to Russia’s strategic interests. He also has majority popular support within the Crimea, the Crimean people want to be under Russian control. If we get involved militarily then all it will be will be a battle between East and West for control of a country that was previously under the influence of Moscow. We will be trying to take control of an area, from Russia, where the people want to be under Russian control. How feasible do we think that is? How difficult would it be to keep control of an area where the people don’t want us (or the Ukranian government) controlling them? Would it even be right to do so? Do we really think that going to war with Russia would be remotely sensible? Do we actually think we could win?
I think we ought to stay well clear of using military force, resign ourselves that Crimea has gone and work towards a diplomatic solution that secures Western Ukraine. Engaging in World War III is not a sensible option.