Here’s the thing. People keep saying that with UHC there are wait times, and there aren’t with our current system. Why exactly is that? What does it mean is different in our system? What is the compensation for a supply constraint in our system?
People not getting treatment because they can’t afford it or waiting until it’s an emergency so they can go to the ER. You can see this, because there are constant cries of our ER system being overtaxed. There are also people that go to the ER for things they shouldn’t. Why is that? Some of it is because of entitlement issues, sure, but much of it is because they have no money, and it’s the only way they can be guaranteed treatment. I know this, because it’s what I have to do. I just got over meningitis, I’d felt pretty bad for a few days, but I didn’t have any treatment options. Nothing happened until I was unconscious and my roommates could take me to the hospital.
That is what the relief for capacity problems is, demand rises, prices go up, and people can’t afford it and just simply forgo treatment or they overtax the ER.
Me? I’d rather wait, than not get treated at all.
Even though I may be making more of an apology for the status quo, I’m not making an apology against UHC. My apology is a bit different. What I’d say is that no matter which system you take, it will have inherent advantages and disadvantages with it. You will no matter have problems, for any given funding those problems may be different. If the demand on the system wasn’t overly stressing the system, the would be no calls for change. The problems we see to day, I don’t think are necesarly systematic, but are going to be there due to the system being overstressed. You can either take money from other areas to place into it (what are you going to take that out of?) or your going to have a strained system.
Before when the system wasn’t as strained, even if people were uninsured you could eat those cost by cost shifting. But if the hospitals and medical practices are demanding more money, the insurance companies will demand that their bills are closer in line with the actual costs. It is hard to do cost shifting in that environment.
Now if all of the inflation is due to insurance companies profits, I could see where making the insurance public would greatly help. The case though is that the inflation is multifaceted, and would be really hard to control without compromising access, options, and/or quality. If UHC can solve that, people will quickly learn to not like UHC. The rich will also be fine, because they could probably buy supplemental insurance, pay out of pocket, and head off to foreign lands.
Even if you have an increase in the medicare program, certain problems will be on a spectrum of being poorly funded to well funded. I having kidney failure am in a pretty sweet situation. There is plenty of us, and plenty of lobbyist. Plus we also have a pretty good case as to why we ought to be well funded. Other less common diseases may well have a harder to justify their funds, due to subject matter, lack of numbers, lack of understanding, or just plain unlucky.
You also need to watch out. Just like Joseph was able to have his family saved by the Egyptians at the end of Genesis, then at the beginning of Exodus, they were then the slaves to Egyptians. You might want to be careful, cause you may just end up losing your freedom to the government. Even with the insurance lobbyist having their ties to the government, they are far more able to regulate ethical guidelines, then if they are footing the bill.
As I’ve said, my apology isn’t exactly against UHC, nor really even a defence of the current system. It is that “the grass is always greener on the other side.” You will basically just trade off problems, and chances are people as a whole (maybe not individuals) will be just as disappointed in the system. Any efficiency will be marginal, because the real problem of the shortcomings will strain the either system. You also run the risk that if you collect all your risk and resources in one pool, you may be some time, but you may be in for a worse problem due to size, once the system does become too strained.