…we do not need to have complete knowledge about everything (and we currently don’t as there are still some unknowns about the universe)…
If we don’t have complete knowledge about everything, then how can one make the statement that something is extraordinary? If you found a million dollars in a briefcase in the street that might seem extraordinary, but there could be similar briefcases all over Bill Gates house. Without knowing everything, when one makes a claim that something is extraordinary, its just a bare assertion, based on nothing more than ones personal knowledge. Its just a guess. Their could be briefcases full of money everywhere at Bills house. The fact seems to be that calling an event extraordinary or even improbable is just a reflection of ones worldview, its whatever they happen to think qualifies as unlikely or improbable.
But what we do know is that for at least millions of years the sun has appeared to rise up and shine in the sky. If all of a sudden someone claimed the sun did not rise such as in Japan while currently I am in the US and it was night time, I would consider that an extraordinary claim.
The Inductive Turkey
So this inductive turkey was born and raised in a farm,. On the first day, it is given food at 5 o clock in the afternoon. On the second day, it is given food at 5 o clock again. This happens every day, every day she is given food at 5 o clock. And so this inductive turkey concludes : “I will get food at 5 o clock tomorrow again”. The next day, it is indeed given food at 5 o clock. Again, it says, based on its inductive reasoning : “I will be given food at 5 o clock tomorrow again”. The next day, it didn’t get any food at 5 o clock. It was Thanksgiving…and Thanksgiving isn’t extraordinary at all. On the cosmic scale neither are the deaths of suns. Someday, there will be no sunrise on whats left of Earth. Its not an extraordinary claim at all. Stars die all the time. But this illustrates how a lack of knowledge can lead one to claim that something is extraordinary, that is as common as water. (Not that you didn’t know the sun will eventually burn out, I am just making a point)
If I found out tomorrow morning that there was a powerball winner somewhere in the United States, I would consider it not extraordinary given that roughly 100,000 ticket combinations are bought daily, and in a couple of weeks one of the tickets would be a match. Out of 100billion human deaths, how many have come to live again after 3 days? Extraordinary is an adjective which gives reasonable meaning for common discussion.
I didn’t like the lottery example either, they aren’t really comparable because winning the lottery is a random event, resurrection is not. Simply because “extraordinary” is a useful concept for general discussion doesn’t make it epistemologically correct. People are often tempted to knowingly use broken tools because it alleviates dissonance, that doesn’t make it right, just convenient.
That’s why I specifically tied in anecdotes to extraordinary claims. I would never believe someone who says they have been abducted by aliens because we have never known it to be true before with empirical evidence. Someone who claims they saw a popular rock band in concert last week would at least be believable given that we do have much empirical evidence for such things occurring often.
I demonstrate that empirical standards of proof and evidence are logically invalid, on the "empirical thread I have up.