Thirty years of welfareism is not “new”. Greece was already well into deficit spending by the time it came to join the E.U.
Of course 30 years of welfare state is new when yu look at the age of the country and its political structures.
Are you not lumping government overspending into welfare spending as it is convenient?
No one disputes there were debts held by Greece but where that money was being spent was not on the welfare system which was the point you made and i was addressing.
Oh yeah, before I forget, research Greece’s spending on the Olympics and pale at the rorting and cost overuns. Sheeesh.
Erm point above. Not sure how the Olympics overspending can be tracked to the cost of welfare. As that was the point i was responding to. Here you seem to agree with me that it is more than that???
He is on record as saying that the bankruptcy in Greece is attributable to two giant political parties that competitively engaged in welfare populism.
That statement is not in itself incorrect, however the amounts spent on the welfare state are dwarfed by other government spending which pushed them into debt.
Yes. Greece borrowed from the likes of Goldman Sachs to hide their debt and to fiddle the books to gain entry into the enlarged E.U.
So you are acknowledging that Greece was exposed to the toxic assets which abounded after the meltdown in 2007-2008? So they then did suffer as a consequence?
The independent analysis of the Greek application (2005 OECD Report) into the EU had their fiddled figures concluded the variance was between 0.7 to 1 percentage point of GDP, depending on the accountancy rules used which changed in 2000, 1 year after the Greek application was applied for. Considered at the time not to be enough to disqualify as natural statistical variance is accepted up to 1 % point. The media hype has led to the well accepted but not strictly true perception that they fiddled the books.
Interest rates fell and Greece’s profligacy went unchecked. Unfunded pensions, rediculously early retirement schemes and generous pensions to ex-public servants were all symtomatic of greece’s profligate spending and corruption.
Interest rates fell because of the financial crisis being felt globally, if Greece’s profligacy went unchecked that doesn’t conclude that is was spending solely on welfare …
Your comments about the pension system are part true and part not. The pension system is generous, but not just to civil servants. However before you focus simply on that sentence consider this the reason it is so generous is that Greece still operates a final salary pension scheme. They stick to it as they believe it shields the population suffering from market fluctuations, which it does. However when the investments behind it are too exposed to toxic assets the cost is expensive to recoup.
It actually started earlier. In the 1990s. This is when when Iceland freed up its economy. I mentioned the Icelandic fishing industry, but you bypassed this point
.
Because the fishing industry had no relation to the banking collapse! The banks collapsed because of their international exposure that is why the government refused to bail them out as they did not guarantee debts abroad. Hence Iceland simply allowed the banks to go bankrupt.
Most of that credit came from the U.K. not the U.S.
Iceland built its expansion on the world wide credit boom and invested heavily in European businesses. It did not expose itself directly to the sub-prime market.
Iceland was actually renowned for its investment in the banking sector specifically so those investments in European businesses were caught in the meltdown.
That’s the whole point i’m trying to make to you because of how the situation grew; investors didn’t need to exposed directly in the assets, they simply may be caught in the secondary market of those interbank markets.
My error you did say 10 times – not 10% though or there would have been no crisis.
Oh come on. The global financial collapse caught Iceland as exposed as Greece and Ireland. Iceland did not institute a welfare state
.
So there was a global financial collapse?
And you are pointing out here one of your own examples of a country caught didn’t have a welfare system … that simply invalidates your argument on this issue for them.
I mentioned my own. I could throw in China, Thailand, High government spending as a percentage of GDP, usually with deficit budgets, caused the greatest exposure.
I must have missed where you’re from.
The markets you mention are insular and have little international exposure at both a Sovereign debt level or at a high enough level to international banking debt for it to be significant.
The only issue with government debt, is whether they can pay on it. If they have invested in the wrong places they default, so it all circles back to the investments they hold. There isn’t a government anywhere that doesn’t have significant debt at any given time.
Your use of Sweden is a red herring, your belief that the welfare state is winding back is false. The debate on Swedish welfare state has been raging for over 20 years.
It must be so frustrating for those who advocate for free economies, as Sweden isn’t one.Their GDP (2010) per capita: $48,832. and an annual GDP growth rate (2010): 5.5%.
With all of the welfare state services, generous pensions, education, childcare, they seem to be doing great.
For comparison the annual World growth rate by GDP is 4.44% and the US lags behind at 2.85% for the same year 2010.
Constantly attacking and veiling your insults with sarcasm doesn’t make them dissappear
