McatholicN;:
I think we will see the rise of Islam (especially in Europe and North America) and Mormonism.
The number of practising adherents of Islam, in the Islamic crest is on the decline. The number of converts to Islam in the west is approximately equal to the number of converts to Christianity in the Islamic Crest. The wild card is the growth of both religions in India and China.
The Watch Tower Bible and Tract Society (JW) and the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints (LDS) spend roughly the same number of hours is outreach/missionary work. However, JW has fewer converts, but a higher retention rate than LDS. JW also retains more long terms members than LDS. LDS birth rate is slightly higher than JW birth rate. Overall, JW will outnumber LDS. Both will outnumber Protestant Christianity.
Catholic Christianity will remain steady, but the number of practising adherents will decline. Most Catholics will be catholic in name only, having attended the church four times in their life. (Their christening, confirmation, wedding, and funeral.) Also include attending church when those events happen to their family, or friends.
Orthodox Christianity will continue to exist under state control. The servant of the state. Whilst the percentage of practising adherents will be greater than for Catholic Christianity, the numbers will be down.
Catholic Christianity, Orthodox Christianity, and Islam will be in an uneasy alliance against the dominant faith — “if there is a god, or goddess, they have never been present on earth, so be a mensch, and give up your belief in fairy tales.”
Reform Judaism (Progressive Judaism) will have become a de facto and de juro heresy for Orthodox Judaism. Most Jews will be Reform Jews, with their local temple being a cultural resource, not a religious resource.
Conservative Judaism will split on whether to become Orthodox Jews, or Reform Jews. Their “happy middle” having been rejected by both sides, for being against the teachings of the Torah, and also irrelevant to contemporary Judaism.
Orthodox Judaism will be an even smaller, numerically, and percentage-wise, than is currently the case. However, its leaders will be far more influential over non-Jews than is currently the case. Their schuls will focus on the religious needs of Jews. Religious needs which historically have included Jewish culture.
Samaritans will have merged with Karaite Judaism. Karaite Judaism will remain on the fringe of Jewish society, being viewed as heresy by all other branches of Judaism.
Noachide will still be seen as a stage in becoming an Orthodox Jew. A place for gentiles to learn about Judaism, and not a form of religious expression in its own right.
Whilst Protestant Christianity will remain a label that is used, it will describe very different faiths:
- Social Christianity: A Christianity that claims to based upon the Bible, but has thrown out all theology that was written before circa 2000, including the Bible;
- Reformed Christianity: The descendent of TULIP, after throwing out all other innovations in Christian theology that came before circa 1950;
- Confessional Christianity; The descendants of the Holiness Movement, after throwing out most, if not all innovations in Christian theology that came after circa 1900;
- Fundamental Christianity: The descendants of the merger of the Anabaptist movement with Landmarkian Theology;
- Private Christianity: A Christianity that is never expressed publicly. All worship, rituals, practices, and expressions of faith is done in homes. To outsiders, adherents look like moral persons, that might have once been part of either Catholic Christianity, or Social Christianity;
Buddhism: The simultaneous abdication of the Dalai Lama, the Panchem Lama (both of them) caused adherents in all branches of Buddhism to question the principles, and practices of their faith. Intellectually, they understand the reasons for the abdication, but spiritually feel that it is a betrayal on the part of their Gods and Goddesses. One of the repercussions of this betrayal, was the rise of a radical political Buddhism. One that drew more inspiration from Jihad, than the Buddha.
Hinduism: This has adherents in name only. The local swami gets as much respect as the local politicians — without a gun to the head of people, he not only is ignored, but actively ignored. A contempt that came as a direct result of Hinduism being run by the military, as a branch of state government. The branches that formed this religion, and have practising adherents, are wandering in the world much like the victims of the inquisition did, during the fifteenth through eighteenth centuries.
Bahai: This religion, whilst remaining small in number, gained a number of very influential people. As such, it has become the religion of the rich and powerful. It has become a social club. A place to meet and befriend the influential. Its religious beginnings, whilst not forgotten, have been discarded, in the name of its quest for paradise on Earth.
Neo-Paganism: The former religion of the masses. People pay lip service to it, maybe taking a first degree initiation because it is the social thing to do. On a practical level, most adherents wouldn’t know the difference between the Rede, and the Red Sea.
Amber