Why the West will attack Iran

[MugenOne]

Why the West will attack Iran
By Spengler

Why did French President Jacques Chirac last week threaten to use non-conventional - that is, nuclear - weapons against terrorist states? And why did Iran announce that it would shift foreign-exchange reserves out of European banks (although it has since retracted this warning)? The answer lies in the nature of Tehran’s nuclear ambitions. Iran needs nuclear weapons, I believe, not to attack Israel, but to support imperial expansion by conventionalmilitary means.

Iran’s oil exports will shrink to zero in 20 years, just at the demographic inflection point when the costs of maintaining an aged population will crush its state finances, as I reported in Demographics and Iran’s imperial design (September 13, 2005). Just outside Iran’s present frontiers lie the oil resources of Iraq, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, and not far away are the oil concentrations of eastern Saudi Arabia. Its neighbors are quite as alarmed as Washington about the prospect of a nuclear-armed Iran, and privately quite happy for Washington to wipe out this capability.

For more:
atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HA24Ak01.html

 

[AndyF]

Why the West will attack Iran
By Spengler

Why did French President Jacques Chirac last week threaten to use non-conventional - that is, nuclear - weapons against terrorist states? And why did Iran announce that it would shift foreign-exchange reserves out of European banks (although it has since retracted this warning)? The answer lies in the nature of Tehran’s nuclear ambitions. Iran needs nuclear weapons, I believe, not to attack Israel, but to support imperial expansion by conventionalmilitary means.

Iran’s oil exports will shrink to zero in 20 years, just at the demographic inflection point when the costs of maintaining an aged population will crush its state finances, as I reported in Demographics and Iran’s imperial design (September 13, 2005). Just outside Iran’s present frontiers lie the oil resources of Iraq, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, and not far away are the oil concentrations of eastern Saudi Arabia. Its neighbors are quite as alarmed as Washington about the prospect of a nuclear-armed Iran, and privately quite happy for Washington to wipe out this capability.

For more:
atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HA24Ak01.html

The past has proven there is no bases for the fear you outline. One can almost substitute hostile nations of the past for the aggressor, and the situation will fit nicely. Iran is taken for the “nation we can do something about” and China and Russia would not. Could it be these nations could have countered with equal might? This policy of only actioning retaliation against countries that can do nothing against US might, taints the US principle of determined justice at all costs, and makes it’s reasoning hypocritical.

The alarm first comes from the US by fomenting fear and sabre rattling at the UN where other countries just want peace, but need the US trade and do not wish to offend, so they sacrifice better reasoning out of economic necessity.

Why does France’s foreign policy suddenly become an aid in US concerns? After 9/11 it summilarily placed Germany,France and Russia in political exile.

Hypocricy to the extreme.

Andy.

 

[gilliam]

From the article:

What now is Azerbaijan had been for centuries the northern provinces of the Persian Empire, and a nuclear-armed Iran could revive Persian claims on southern Azerbaijan. Iran continues to lay claim to a share of Caspian Sea energy resources under the Iranian-Soviet treaties of 1921 and 1940. [1] For the time being, Azerbaijani-Iranian relations are the most cordial in years, with Iran providing natural gas to pockets of Azerbaijani territory blockaded by Armenia, and Baku defending Iran’s nuclear program. As Iran’s oil production dwindles over the next two decades, though, its historic claims on the Caspian are likely to re-emerge.

 

[AndyF]

gilliam:

From the article:

What now is Azerbaijan had been for centuries the northern provinces of the Persian Empire, and a nuclear-armed Iran could revive Persian claims on southern Azerbaijan. Iran continues to lay claim to a share of Caspian Sea energy resources under the Iranian-Soviet treaties of 1921 and 1940. [1] For the time being, Azerbaijani-Iranian relations are the most cordial in years, with Iran providing natural gas to pockets of Azerbaijani territory blockaded by Armenia, and Baku defending Iran’s nuclear program. As Iran’s oil production dwindles over the next two decades, though, its historic claims on the Caspian are likely to re-emerge.

“Behind close doors, there is no guarantee that the most basic individual freedoms will be preserved. And has we enter the 21 Century, the great fear we have for our democracy is the enveloping culture of government secrecy and the corresponding distrust as follows”.

Senators Moynihan and Wyden U.S, Senate Report,Secrecy in International and Domestic Policy making: The Case for more Sunshine.

(my insert, the “Sunshine” case mentioned here, was “Liebenstraum” for the Nazis. ie: living room ).

I ask you why your leaders, knowing they cannot quarantee basic freedoms for it’s own peoples, wish that Iraq inherit’s the same predicament.?

How does the democratic system without guarantees, differ from Saddam’s?

Andy

 

[Ani_Ibi]

(my insert, the “Sunshine” case mentioned here, was “Liebenstraum” for the Nazis. ie: living room ).

Yes, looks like Iran is looking for Liebenstraum.

AndyF:

I ask you why your leaders, knowing they cannot quarantee basic freedoms for it’s own peoples, wish that Iraq inherit’s the same predicament.?

Knowing they cannot guarantee basic freedoms for its own people… What basic freedoms are you talking about? And what evidence supports your statement that you know this?

AndyF:

How does the democratic system without guarantees, differ from Saddam’s?

Saddam’s regime was a democratic system?

OK, differences… let’s see:

No feeding humans into wood shredders.
No waxing human skin and then peeling it off.
No throwing humans into vats of caustic chemicals.
No wholesale raping of humans.
No gassing of huge populations of humans.
No environmental vandalism such as setting fire to oil rigs.
No stealing food money from the poor to build palaces.
No building WMD and then lying about it.
No giving harbour and moneylaundering to terrorists.

 

[Ani_Ibi]

More from Demographics and Iran’s imperial design :

Iran wants effective control of Iraq through its ascendant Shi’ite majority, and ultimately control of the oil-rich regions of western Saudi Arabia, where Shi’ites form a majority. As Pepe Escobar reported from Tehran (Iran takes over Pipelineistan , Sep 10), Ahmadinejad wants to make Iran a regional power not only in production but in transmission, through a proposed oil pipeline through Iraq and Syria…

Iran’s ultra-Islamist government has no hope of ameliorating the crisis through productivity growth. Instead it proposes totalitarian methods that will not reduce the pain, but only squelch the screams. Iran envisages a regional Shi’ite empire backed by nuclear weaponry.

One purpose of Iran’s acquisition of nuclear weapons is to act as a threat to nations wishing to resist takeover by conventional means and a deterrant to nations wishing to stop Iran’s imperialist expansion.

One effect of Iran’s headlong dive for nuclear bombs is that normal trade routes will grind to a halt, starting in the Middle East and rapidly moving outward into Europe. Trucks, ships, and railcars will be suspected of carrying mini-nukes.

Transport vehicles will have to be inspected thoroughly before being allowed to cross borders and this will slow down delivery. Business will simply find less dangerous customers. Trade will grind to a stop and suffering will be widespread.

Meanwhile Iran’s oil economy is steadily shrinking. Its birth rate is shrinking while its aging population is growing. How will Iran pay the bills? One solution is to take over other countries and make them pay the bills. And this oppression will be in the name of Allah.