S
St_Francis
Guest
The only one of your links which really addressed the issue is the first, where historical numbers are given year by year since 1946. No abortions reported until 1955, when 1,400 were reported. In 1956, the year the laws were liberalized to include “difficult living situations,” the rate increased more than ten-fold to 18,900. The following year, the rate increased seven-fold to 122,000 followed by a gradual rise to 1960, when the numbers were generally in the 200,000’s until the early 1980’s, when they began a gradual decline.Reviewing Poland: After reviewing the statistics johnstonsarchive.net/policy/abortion/ab-poland.html I’m not sure Poland is a success candidate for banning of abortions significantly decreases the rate. The strictest regulation was in 1932, an outright ban. After that, abortion was legal for medical reasons. Then in 1956 abortion became legal for women in difficult living conditions. Then in 1993, strict regulation cropped up again making abortions only legal if the health of the mother was at risk. (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abortion_in_Poland) ( pewforum.org/Abortion/Abortion-Laws-Around-the-World.aspx) Looking at the first link, the rate of abortions significantly decreased between 1985 and 1993, before the stronger regulations. I suspected that economic wealth might be a factor, but the results were not what I expected google.com/publicdata?ds=wb-wdi&met=ny_gdp_mktp_cd&idim=countryOL&dl=en&hl=en&q=poland+gdp
That decrease was indeed significant, dropping from ratios (abortions to births) in the mid-twenties to rates in the mid-teens; *however, *the year that the law restricting abortion was enacted, the rate dropped by almost *90%, *from 11,640 in 1992 (which was significantly lower than the 30,878 reported in 1991) to just 1,240 in 1993.
Those numbers continued to decline until a low of 124 in 1992, and since then have gone up to 340 in '06, 328 in '07, the last year for which there are records.
The point is that looking at the historical record for Poland, we do not find at all what abortion supporters are guessing will happen upon criminalization, that the rates will remain the same but just move into back alleys. The only nation I know of where the abortion laws have been severely tightened, and the effect is the *exact opposite *of what abortion supporters postulate.
Not to mention the fact that the other statement, the one we have lots of information about, is also *dead wrong, *that “[m]aking abortion legal, safe and accessible does not appreciably increase demand,” the Lancet study concluded. “Instead, the principal effect is shifting previously clandestine, unsafe procedures to legal and safe ones.” If they had actually looked at what has in reality occurred, they would have found that this was completely the opposite of what has happened.
So I am not sure where you are drawing your conclusions from.