Are we headed toward a two class system?

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Oooh, giggity, a talk on sociology!

I think there will be a number of classes, as there are now, but maybe we can divide these into those by skill and those by networking. You’ll have the well-connected, high-demand skill and well-connected, low-demand skill, both of which went to the same well-heeled college but studied different courses such that one is intrinsically more competitive than another but neither will be without a job for very long. Then you have the locally-connected, high-demand skill who went to a university no one 50 miles away heard of but whose training is sufficient to excel at an entry-level job and grow in the field - these are the ones who enter the ranks of large companies and move up, possibly into management training programs or through analytical expertise. Then there are locally-connected, low-demand skill whose success is entirely dependent on the state of the economy upon graduation. In the early 1990s, degrees in Speech Communciation were being hired and trained-on-the-job for network administration thanks to the dot-com boom. Then there’s my cousin, with his degree in marketing, who has worked the same three jobs he had in high school for 11 years in a row before finally finding something full-time in his field.

But that’s just the initial status. Except at the very top echelons of society, income and mobility drive future class differences - and the key determinant is what one does with the income. If you have mobility (access to training programs, a company that will take risks on you, room to move up, opportunities to make network connections) income determines how much you can take advantage of it. Income, managed wisely, also helps you survive downturns. If you pay down debt and save wisely, you can survive unemployment much longer - and a cash crisis becomes catastrophic when you lose a home or can’t afford medical care. In the long run, then, income and mobility determine who stays in the connected network and who drops out of view, or who is able to keep skills sharp rather than watch them atrophy into irrelevance.
When it comes to education, I think the government actually made education more expensive through its grants and loans. Colleges had no reason to keep prices down because the government through its loan programs, kept them supplied with customers, who then racked up insurmountable debt over the course of their college years.
There is evidence for this, one good piece being put forward by Dick Vedder in “Going Broke by Degree”. There’s also tremendous inflation brought by the demand for college degrees over the past thirty or so years - not just by high school graduates but also by employers. In other words, if the government has made college more affordable from a financing perspective, it’s business who has made it required from a hiring perspective, such that a newly-minted MBA in the 1970s could land a cushy spot on Wall Street while an MBA is almost entry-level today. I’ve honestly seen job postings that say “We’re looking for a top 10 in class graduate of a Top 5 MBA program, who also has an advanced degree in engineering, systems analysis or mathematics. PhD in Economics preferred. Starting salary mid-80s.” Dude, if I’m $250k in debt from 8 to 11 years post-graduate study, you better be talking 150’s.

Some of this is necessary. Engineers in the 1930s didn’t always need college if it was a hands-on apprenticeship, but no one would think of hiring a nuclear engineer without a degree. Same with computers - it may not be something you can learn sufficiently in high school.

Some of it is totally unnecessary. I’m astonished by the number of liberal arts grads - not that I have anythign against learning critical thinking skills but without fail there’s a mismatch between degrees created and degrees demanded, and the degrees with the highest unemployment and lowest starting pay are sadly predictable.
Hopefully the rising costs of college tuition will actually cause some kids to gravitate towards the skilled trades. We could definitely use them, as there’s a skilled labor shortage in the US and a pretty wide age gap in skilled labor workers.
Skilled labor, certainly (machinists especially) but there’s also a tremendous shortage of degree-holders in the sciences. Texas can’t find enough petroleum engineers, and the average age of nuclear power plant workers is approaching retirement age because too few kids are going into nuclear engineering. My cousin at Purdue (a mechanical engineer) told me that ComEd, Duke and Dominion Energy were all recruiting, offering new grads 70k to start.

The irony is that the degrees least in demand by students are often the most affordable - scholarships are freely given, and even if up-front costs aren’t taken care of, the ease of finding paid internships and certainty of higher-paying jobs post-graduation should help make this an easy decision. Its one reason I went back to school after my journalism degree and pursued advanced study in economics and statistics - and my company is having a helluva time finding statisticians.
In some places, like here, it makes no difference whether one goes to Harvard or Mizzou as far as one’s prospects afterward are concerned. Indeed, here in S.W. Mo, Mizzou, Mo State or U of Ark are probably preferred with most employers.
Are you a St. Louisan by chance, aux arc?
 
In my own family, all my siblings and myself worked our way through college. One could do that then. It can’t be done now. It could be done then because tuition costs were lower.
I worked my way through school (taking on some debt) - it really depends on the institution. There are some very good public schools that are relatively inexpensive but you don’t get immediate name recognition. The difference between Harvard and UMSL (it was brought up earlier) is that it’s hard to get a job outside of the Midwest with a degree from UMSL - at least starting out. Also UMSL has a nano-engineering program, not sure if Harvard does. After working for 15 years (5 in my current field after finishing UMSL) I’m finally getting calls from headhunters. The degree is your initial recognition and stamp of quality.

What’s also interesting is the number of distance learning programs now available. One of my alma maters (I have three degrees - yes I am a highly inaccurate thermometer) now offers an online MATH degree. Hey, theoretical stats was hard enough in the classroom even when the professor did speak passable English - that really says something if you can Ace the same class online from Nigeria.

Of course the downside is that it’s easier to offshore jobs. The guys I tutored in grad school from India and China went back to India and China to make their home nations better by competing with American companies (my company in particular) and undercutting us substantially on price. Consequently I HAVE to stay at the top of my game to justify to my clients why my statistical consulting is better and therefore worth a 60% relative markup. And my alma mater takes umbridge when I stipulate that my donations are only to go to American students…
 
I agree; deficit are bad. So is imbalanced trade exploiting our fake theory of “free” trade.

The rich DO have more political clout, which they use to adjust the tax code and government regulation, on their behalf. This is Poli Sci 101, and it’s always been the case in human history.

The rich NEED an SEC to regulate the market (for stability). I don’t. The rich need expensive transportation systems. They need more police protection. They need functioning civil courts (when did YOU last take a guy to court?) to ensure that their property is kept whole. They need a vast body of law to sustain their holdings. They need the FDIC, and, if you read history, they will use the US military to support their property rights and contractual arrangements in various nations around the world.

And they need much more in addition to all these goodies.

And THEN the rich have the temerity to complain about everybody ELSE being loafers and freeloaders!

Democracy’s a good thing. Not oligarchy.
I don’t think this is a good argument for additionally taxing “the rich”.

Virtually everybody in the country needs all of those things. There are far more middle class and poor people who are insured by the FDIC than there are rich people. Lots more lives to lose that the military protects. Lots more contracts. Lots more days in court. And the SEC oversees the securities in the millions of 401Ks.

Indisputably, a very small number of wealthy can “pay to play” politically. But even among millionaires, very few do on a national scale. So, for example, if Jamie Dimon can “pay to play” with Obama (and he has) does that somehow mean that somebody who makes, say, $250.000/ year and has a net worth of a million, but who has no political clout whatever and no hope of ever having any beyond his vote, is somehow obligated to pay more money just because Jamie Dimon exists?

This whole thing just doesn’t work as an argument.
 
I don’t think this is a good argument for additionally taxing “the rich”.

Virtually everybody in the country needs all of those things. There are far more middle class and poor people who are insured by the FDIC than there are rich people. Lots more lives to lose that the military protects. Lots more contracts. Lots more days in court. And the SEC oversees the securities in the millions of 401Ks.

Indisputably, a very small number of wealthy can “pay to play” politically. But even among millionaires, very few do on a national scale. So, for example, if Jamie Dimon can “pay to play” with Obama (and he has) does that somehow mean that somebody who makes, say, $250.000/ year and has a net worth of a million, but who has no political clout whatever and no hope of ever having any beyond his vote, is somehow obligated to pay more money just because Jamie Dimon exists?

This whole thing just doesn’t work as an argument.
It does. The structure of things is heavily skewed toward rich folks. I’m a moderate, my friend, not a lefty. The more you read, particularly in business and finance, the clearer it is. It’s important not to let current political ideologies murk things up!

Study the history of American finance and taxation, specific tax enactments. Here is an interesting link for you to consider, from the outstanding sociologist in this area:

www2.ucsc.edu/whorulesamerica/power/wealth.html
 
With the cost of education rising at a rate far above the rate of inflation it’s not hard to see that only wealthy parents can send their kids to college. This disparity in education will act as a catalyst for a two-class system.
No it won’t. If college costs anymore than it does now it will only signify a continuing boom in number of attendees. The only result of more people graduating with some worthless degree like a bachelor’s in business will be a rise in the number of unemployed college graduates.

I’m a college student right now. If things are like this when I’m a parent, I’d sooner buy my daughter a house and wedding than a college education, and I’d sooner send my son to a trade school than a college. College graduates are a dime a dozen and are nowhere near in short supply. Who the hell in the market is looking for college graduates right now? If I wasn’t going to dental school, my degree would be a waste of $200k. Not to mention the total and complete moral and ideological filth that is perpetuated on your standard campus. Ugh. I will not make my children go through this. They’d be better people and would have more money if they did something else.

The more people that go to college (and thus the higher tuition prices go), the more meaningless a degree will become. Once tuition gets too high for people to afford it, attendance will drop off and tuition will lower again. The problem would fix itself if government would just stay the heck out of it! Simple supply and demand.
 
No it won’t. If college costs anymore than it does now it will only signify a continuing boom in number of attendees. The only result of more people graduating with some worthless degree like a bachelor’s in business will be a rise in the number of unemployed college graduates.

I’m a college student right now. If things are like this when I’m a parent, I’d sooner buy my daughter a house and wedding than a college education, and I’d sooner send my son to a trade school than a college. College graduates are a dime a dozen and are nowhere near in short supply. Who the hell in the market is looking for college graduates right now? If I wasn’t going to dental school, my degree would be a waste of $200k. Not to mention the total and complete moral and ideological filth that is perpetuated on your standard campus. Ugh. I will not make my children go through this. They’d be better people and would have more money if they did something else.

The more people that go to college (and thus the higher tuition prices go), the more meaningless a degree will become. Once tuition gets too high for people to afford it, attendance will drop off and tuition will lower again. The problem would fix itself if government would just stay the heck out of it! Simple supply and demand.
👍 I gave away my PhD so as to become more religious. From a religious perspective, all PhDs are worthless.
 
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