The real jump in the debt was a result of the Fed printing money through QE1 and QE2 and buying almost $2 Trillion of Treasuries which sits with the 12 Regional Federal Reserve banks. The taxpayer is nevertheless on the hook for the interest and full payment when these bonds come due. What supposedly puzzles Bernanke is why these banks, borrowing money at 0 to 2% don’t lend this out. But why should they if there is no demand for anything.
I’m not sure where you’re getting this. For the Fed to buy treasuries, there had to be a seller, right? That’s government debt. He didn’t spin the debt out of thin air.
The primary lack of demand for money, as any banker will tell you, is on the business side. The most profitable part of bank lending is on business loans. Business people just don’t want to borrow because they know they’re dealing with a government that is fundamentally hostile to them and has lots of social and economic “changes” it wants to make, like high energy prices, high health insurance costs, high regulation and God only knows what. Best to just stand pat. There was a lot of that during the Depression.Businesses just adjusted down to what they absolutely knew they could count on and didn’t do anything more than that, and became very debt-averse. Interestingly, during the Depression there wasn’t much demand for business loans either. No need for them.
Those situations are very hard to get out of, and the longer they go on, the harder it becomes to extricate an economy from them, because nobody does anything that’s “forward looking”. Spending for public works projects didn’t fix it then, and it won’t do it now. It’s more an ability to see what lies ahead, and right now business people just see more of the same on the horizon, perhaps worse.
I see the stock market went below 11,000 today. I have read that even big businesses have done about all the “trimming” they can really do in order to get profits up, but that those profits are not expected to be stellar in 2012 at all.
Bernanke can’t fix any of that. He’s dealing with a country that’s run by radicals, and is trying to induce SOMEBODY to spend money. Imagine what hiring would be like if interest rates floated up to, oh, let’s say 15% for business loans and 12% for consumer loans. We would be eating Rolled Oats fried in grease on hot plates within two years of that.
