Blue Wave is a myth

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Some good data.

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robertmidwest said:
Are you saying CNN is not a reliable source?
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This data is good because it integrates data from a number sources, weights them according to performance of the sources and tracks them over a longer time period, showing the cycles of ups and downs.
 
robertmidwest said:
???
🤔
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They give more credence to those sources they have judged to be the better predictors in the past. In other words, they’re putting their thumb on the scale, distorting the true results.
 
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Five thirty-eight seems to be sitting on the fence about the Blue Wave. The fact is, if history is any guide, the election cycle suggests the Democrats will do well in this cycle, and Republicans will underperform, just as the flip side happened in 2010.
 
as long as Trump keeps doing well and people see how their lives have improved
since Trump became president, in spite of the negative light Democrats try to portray him daily, i think the Republicans will do fine. i think Americans are getting tired of the games the Democrats are playing.
 
I think you’re going to be very disappointed come election night. The Senate may remain nominally in Republican hands, but the House will flip.
 
weren’t you also making predictions about the 2016 presidential election? that didn’t work out, did it?
 
Trump won by narrow margins in a number of states, so it was hardly some grand victory, and Congressional elections are an entirely different animal.
 
Ridgerunner said:
They give more credence to those sources they have judged to be the better predictors in the past. In other words, they’re putting their thumb on the scale, distorting the true results.
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The really interesting dynamic going on here is that the source that is friendly to the lefts side of the spectrum gets the designation as “good” and CNN (which we all know is not friendly to the right side of the political spectrum) does not get the “good” designation when the data is unfriendly.
 
robertmidwest said:
The really interesting dynamic going on here is that the source that is friendly to the lefts side of the spectrum gets the designation as “good” and CNN (which we all know is not friendly to the right side of the political spectrum) does not get the “good” designation when the data is unfriendly.
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If you search you will find that I have recommended RCP and 538 because of their comprehensive view, and in the latter instance, their superb methodology and track record. If your charge was against me, you will find, will little searching, that it is baseless.
 
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