books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=A_RhSLbtkqwC&oi=fnd&pg=PR1&dq=criminal+abortion&ots=Hv_b61M-Eb&sig=TJ–S3SHnFYZK5plNmJw29aYfes#v=onepage&q=criminal%20abortion&f=false
Criminal Abortion: Its Nature, Its Evidence, and Its Law
By Horatio Robinson Storer, Franklin Fiske Heard, 1868.
Page 28:
“From these figures, there can be drawn but one conclusion – that criminal abortion prevails to an enormous extent in New York, and that it is steadily and rapidly increasing.”
books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=8N6WWLM1ZAsC&oi=fnd&pg=PA1&dq=taussig+abortion&ots=qrHDBkAfbO&sig=9whXMi31vJxvbqtGOY3OUeRdrdk#v=onepage&q=taussig%20abortion&f=false
The Prevention and treatment of abortion
By Frederick Joseph Taussig, 1910, page 4.
]This would make the ratio of abortions to confinements [women assigned to bed rest near the end of their pregnancy] 1 to 2.3." (Total “abortions” – criminal and spontaneous
Page 78:
*“It is surprising, then, that we find an estimate of 80,000 criminal abortions a year in New York, 6,000 to 10,000 a year in Chicago, and like numbers elsewhere?” *
ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/pdf/10.2105/AJPH.28.5.621 – The paper is free online.
Stix, R.E., Wiehl, D.G. Abortion and the Public Health. American Journal of Public Health, Volume 28, Pages 621-628, May 1938.
See Table I, page 622, showing estimates of % of pregnancies ending in illegal abortion for different sampling locations. Estimates range from 2.1% to 22.1%.
Compare this to
CDC’s current estimate of the “abortion ratio,” that is, the number of abortions per 1,000 live births: 228. To estimate the total number of “viable pregnancies” ending in abortion, the math is 228 / (1000 + 228) = 0.186 or 18.6%. These estimates are within the range of estimates reported in Table I of the Stix and Wiehl paper.
I hope you see that I’m not just making these numbers up. These are peer-reviewed scientific publications, all prior to 1940 and well before any widespread movement to legalize abortion. I am using objective, scientific methods to try to inform what I’m saying.
If you want, tomorrow I’ll go through the incidence estimates by state of red/blue affiliation to show how overturning Roe v. Wade is unlikely to make a significant difference in the overall incidence of abortion.