T
Theo520
Guest
Yea, I used a bit of hyperbole.
The article only says the course created ‘skeptics’
It did not use the word “shocked”
The article only says the course created ‘skeptics’
It did not use the word “shocked”
What the climate wars did to science | Matt Ridley
WHAT THE CLIMATE WARS DID TO SCIENCE
Policy-based evidence making is all too frequent in climate science
For much of my life I have been a science writer. That means I eavesdrop on what’s going on in laboratories so I can tell interesting stories. It’s analogous to the way art critics write about art, but with a difference: we “science critics” rarely criticise. If we think a scientific paper is dumb, we just ignore it. There’s too much good stuff coming out of science to waste time knocking the bad stuff.
Sure, we occasionally take a swipe at pseudoscience—homeopathy, astrology, claims that genetically modified food causes cancer, and so on. But the great thing about science is that it’s self-correcting. The good drives out the bad, because experiments get replicated and hypotheses put to the test. So a really bad idea cannot survive long in science.
Or so I used to think. Now, thanks largely to climate science, I have changed my mind. It turns out bad ideas can persist in science for decades, and surrounded by myrmidons of furious defenders they can turn into intolerant dogmas.
This should have been obvious to me. Lysenkoism, a pseudo-biological theory that plants (and people) could be trained to change their heritable natures, helped starve millions and yet persisted for decades in the Soviet Union, reaching its zenith under Nikita Khrushchev. The theory that dietary fat causes obesity and heart disease, based on a couple of terrible studies in the 1950s, became unchallenged orthodoxy and is only now fading slowly.
What these two ideas have in common is that they had political support, which enabled them to monopolise debate. Scientists are just as prone as anybody else to “confirmation bias”, the tendency we all have to seek evidence that supports our favoured hypothesis and dismiss evidence that contradicts it—as if we were counsel for the defence. It’s tosh that scientists always try to disprove their own theories, as they sometimes claim, and nor should they. But they do try to disprove each other’s. Science has always been decentralised, so Professor Smith challenges Professor Jones’s claims, and that’s what keeps science honest.
. . .
Probably you’re right, but it’s imaginably better than that.Just a guess here, but I don’t think much consideration is being given to “best forestry practices”.
wattsupwiththat.com
judithcurry.com
What is the basis for this suggestion?That fact may not be a part of the vaunted “scientific models”
To be more historically accurate, the year without a summer took place in 1816, the year following Tambora’s eruption in 1815. Tambora is the largest known eruption in recorded history. That said, Krakatoa (1883), Novarupta (1912) and Pinatubo (1991) all lowered global temps by around 1C or more the following year.The eruption of Krakatoa in the late 1800s did just that. Sometimes referred to as a year without summer due to the volcanic shroud thatcovered much of the northern Hemisphere.
His website is all about climate change,Does Al Gore still talk about climate change?