I don’t think anyone knows what will happen in November. The odds on favorite to win the White House is probably Hillary. But she is vulnerable if the GOP unites and votes as a block. The number of GOP primary voters this year has been amazingly high. Trump should get a lot of credit here.
Another good thing about Trump (and I rarely have good things to say about Trump), is that he has hit on this anger in a lot of Americans. No one can decide for sure whether it is economic or cultural anger, or both. I say both, but more cultural than economic. Angry white male, rural, Christian influence if not necessarily practicing - that is not just a stereotype.
What is odd is that the Sanders base does the same thing, again I think that is more hard left urban culturally driven than economics. Racism, homophobia, these are great rallying cries of the (white) left who for the most part are pretty comfortable economically, the chattering class. (The welfare state has been hugely expanded under Obama; Obamacare, gay marriage, etc.; I can’t quite figure out what is left on the left to be angry about; it is really what Catholics call “social poverty”) Or as Bill Clinton would say, “the truth hurts.” Many of the black poverty issues are cultural (self-inflicted) as well. I don’t think more intense, hate-filled left wing demagoguery is what this country needs right now. The Trump and Sanders base mentalities are the opposing sides of this cultural disintegration. Again, I blame the left more than the right. The Trumpers are the white working class marginalized reacting to the last eight years of social shifts.
None of this tension will magically disappear when Hillary takes office either.
I don’t think Cruz has a chance in hell of starting a religious revival. If the GOP does get it together enough to vote for him as the most competent conservative left in the race, and he wins (all huge “ifs”), Cruz is just going to pull the country to the right, not be a religious demagogue. Obama has us far left; Cruz gets us to center right, especially against a Democratic Senate, possibly even House.
I say he is smart enough to work the center where he will frankly be caged by circumstances pretty effectvely: he takes the pressure off of Christians, but also doesn’t impose Evangelicalism on anyone. This is not a man who wants government to tell anyone what to do. And he believes that to his “core”. He gives more power to the states (if he can). Cuts programs but doesn’t gut them. Doesn’t abolish the IRA or impose a flat tax, blah blah blah. Doesn’t patrol Muslims; doesn’t build a wall; does control illegal immigration/ISIS effectively.
He is a good choice in November because above would energize the country, alleviate tension and restore a moderate healthy cultural tolerance - in both directions. Dislodge some of this left wing craziness; revitalize the country in a more mainstream way. As a fiscal conservative, he would deal with issues like Social Security, etc. There is where the Dems come in - compromise. We do need a workable federal budget; another reason to go conservative. Foreign policy would be much more in America’s interests; America would be back on the map after much weakness and embarrassment. We would connect again with our allies and defend against our enemies. But I don’t think Cruz would land us in senseless wars. What I like about him is that the fact that he is smart. (as opposed to angry or corrupt or socialist)