I suppose if only for the sake of historical interest, it might be worth noting onemangang’s quote of [Sextus] Julius Africanus. But that JA’s opinion should be accepted merely because he is said to be the “father” of Christian chronology, is false. For even if it be true that he wrote more extensively than other contemporaries about Christian chronology, this hardly proves he is necessarily right about
any particular thing that he wrote. His work is not so superior to warrant a free pass from the same historical scrutiny applied to others. In short, we don’t want to embrace the logical fallacy of
credentialism.
We also do not want a spirit of “almost counts” to encourage too much our embrace of prophecy. For many say (in effect) “So what, whether the fulfillment it is here or there—a month or 7 years this way or that?” In fact, it matters a great deal to the skeptic and even to the skeptical believer, who find it more difficult to believe apart from more exacting proofs. But why shrink from providing this? Is not God able to give such proofs?
So then, concerning the specific statements of Julius Africanus, the following should be noted.
First, archaeological records have since proven that Julius Africanus’ interpretation of the 70 weeks is false. The evidence lies in the aforementioned double-dated Egyptian papyrus dated Jan. 2, 464, but also in conjunction with 5th century BC records at Elephantine, in which 14 dates are given for the 1st of Nisan in both the Jewish
and Egyptian calendars from which only specific years may be deduced,
showing that Artaxerxes’ 20th year could not have been in 390 BC, as Julius Africanus claims. Rather, it proves that Artaxerxes ascended the throne between the 1st of Tishri 465 and Jan. 2, 464. This means the 1st year of Artaxerxes’ reign began on the 1st of Tishri, 464, meaning his 20th year ran from 445/444 BC. Thus JA’s claim of 390 BC for Artaxerxes’ 20th year means a difference of 30-50 years compared to today’s commonly accepted beginning ‘bookend’ dates of Daniel’s prophecy. Such a span of time hardly invites a settled feeling about Africanus’ timeline. Indeed, such a span could only satisfy those who are prepared to accept a prophecy so generalized as to be meaningless.
Second, JA claims that the 20th year of Artaxerxes was 185 years after the capture of Jerusalem. But from early Babylonian records and II Kings, we know that Jerusalem was captured on March 16, 597. The interval between this year and 444 BC is 153 years (or about 158, according to JA’s supposition of Jewish ‘lunar’ years). Therefore Africanus is incorrect by over 25 years. Today, we also know that the Persian kingdom began on October 29, 539 BC, when a military commander under Cyrus entered Jerusalem. This means that Artaxerxes’ 20th year fell about 90 years into the Persian kingdom, not 115, as Africanus claims.
JA also claims that the Jewish calendar was corrected only every eighth year, and then by an intercalation of three months. But such a practice could not have been possible, since such a drift in the calendar over eight years would have made it impossible in certain years for Jews to observe The Offering of First Fruits (barley) in its proper season (on the 16th of Nisan). Today the correct view is understood—that the Jews must have averaged one month intercalations about 7 times in 19 years.
I could go on, but I trust the point is made. The real point is that if onemangang actually believes JA’s chronology is anything more than a passing historical curiosity, such that we can feel good that
Even if people use some different dating that posits Christ death a few years earlier or later, the focus has always been that it was a fulfilled prophesy in Christ day!
he has, I think, unwittingly added to the cacophony of voices and unproved opinions which has long fueled skeptics into saying that, since Christians themselves cannot agree at all about the timing of Daniel’s prophecy, obviously the prophecy is so plastic as to be meaningless. This explains their frequent charge of numerology. And so we ought to do everything we can to p(name removed by moderator)oint the historical accuracy of Daniel 9:25-26a beyond a reasonable doubt. For while even that won’t likely impress any atheists, it is our duty nonetheless.