Thanks very much for this reference! I would be very interested in seeing this video. The population decline in Europe is scary. In fact, just the other day I was in class – a course on contemporary French society – and our professor, a pretty secular guy who has no qualms about insulting the Church, said that he was terrified about the low birth rate in countries like Italy and Spain. (France is, by European standards, fairly fertile.) So it was good to know that this isn’t just “Christian right fearmongering,” which is how many websites describe the Demographic Winter project.
Do you have any references for the countries out there that have initiatives encouraging childbirth? France may be one of them. It pays a ton of money for public nurseries and allows you to deduct tons of taxes for each child that you have – and subsidizes (it’s complex, but it works out to being a subsidy) nurses so that women don’t feel like they need to choose between raising children and having careers. (I would imagine that having both parents at work quite often also has effects on how the children grow up, but I’m not able to speak to that question…) Also, college is practically free in France. These are interesting ideas that maybe the US and other low-fertility countries could think about…?
I do still have a few questions / observations.
- While Europe’s population may be declining, populations in the third world, and in second-world countries like India, are booming. So in other words, population is growing in places where resources are not adequate to meet their needs. I don’t want to project an anti-life attitude, because I don’t believe the proper response is to be afraid of our children; but I do think that on the broad level of global social justice, some sort of solution needs to be worked out.
- The Demographic Winter site suggested that America is becoming barren too, although I’ve looked at other statistics and it’s not as bad as Europe. (Large waves of immigrants also contribute to the growing US population.) The problem here is that Americans tend to consume and pollute a LOT more than most other people in the world…again putting a strain on global resources and the environment, even if its population isn’t exactly skyrocketing. So the question here is not so much how Americans will regulate their births, but whether they will teach their children to consume responsibly.
- The last question is sort of theoretical. One of the reasons that the population decline in Europe is even scarier than it would be otherwise is that nowadays people are living a lot longer than we used to, and need to be supported (by the young and by the economy) into our old age as we lose the ability to work. But let’s say that Europe’s fertility were to skyrocket suddenly, in answer to D. Winter’s prayers. Wouldn’t that population grow old too, and probably live even longer than this generation, necessitating an even larger subsequent generation, and on and on until there really was no room on the planet for everyone?
Ok, I admit that this last one is sort of a sci-fi scenario. haha. But it does make me think. I do understand your comments about how the earth is self-regulating, but it’s often regulated itself through things like mass extinctions and long periods of biological barrenness…which is sort of a sobering thought!
Peace,
+AMDG+