They are descriptive statistics. They describe the likelihood of a WWII soldier making it through. You seem not to understand descriptive statistics, which describe probabilities observed in populations. They are not rough estimates, they describe things.
They describe ratios. They are not probabilities of a future event. To estimate the probability of a future event, you need more data.
So a population can be said to be 50% Catholics, 40% non-Catholics, 10% Atheists by measuring a valid sample size. But you cannot speak of a probability of the next born person being a Catholic unless you have other data regarding birth rates etc.
This is where you divert from what you are trying to argue. Of course descriptive statistic do not define the odds of a given individual, but they do describe the likelihood based on limited known variables and sets that an individual belongs to.
Your point was about the set of non-Catholics, not any individual non-Catholics. As a set, we can certainly describe the likelihhod based on observed data. And of course, we have no obeserved/observable data to work with.
You have the data of Grace. Catholics have the best access to Graces.
Of course…10 times in not a sufficient number to draw any conclusions. Billions is, and that’s the sort of numbers we’re dealing with. Based on large data sets, we can certainly make sensible conclusions about relative odds of sets.
Take the population example I said above. Just because you increased your sample size, you cannot make statements regarding that which you cannot.
Nonetheless, it is clear that I will not convince based on this line of reasoning, so let’s drop it.
But why?
But we also know that everyone has access to sufficient graces for salvation. We also know that “to whom much is given much is expected”, so access to increased grace may actually increase the demands on such a person. Which brings us back to the question of ignorance and such (which this thread was originally about). Those who receive more knowledge and grace may face a harder standard in judgement than those who had less access. The story of the talents draws this out too.
This cannot be true. Then Grace is a burden. It is better to have not received ANY grace in the first place because then you will be judged by the minimal standard (probably means no standard)…
Anyway, we’re really going round in cirlces now, so remind me what it is you want me to agree with…
That chances (perhaps opportunity is a better word) of salvation are better in the Catholic Church. I’ve already said, many times, that this is almost certainly the case. So can we drop this?
If, however, it’s you argument that I must accept that chances are “slim” for non-Catholics, I’m sorry but I cannot agree to that and again ask for some sort of doctrinal substantiation of this position.
So I was about to say we agree then I read your last line. Would you at least agree that compared to a Catholic, the chances for a non-Catholic is slim?
What exactly is needed for salvation in your opinion outside the church? As far as I know, one needs to seek the truth with all their heart and give assent to what they hold to the law written in the heart (i.e. morality).
Given that people rarely even care about the regarding transcendent matters or even the existence of morality, what makes you think that people will do this? OR, if we are talking about the past, given how prone people were to just idolizing everything, how likely is it that they will seek the truth and give assent to it?
I think if you hold some standard to be the reasons for being saved, you will see that the chances are slim. Right now, you seem to be arguing from the point of view that God just automatically picks who are saved. In this sense, I would somewhat agree with you that the chances are probably same. BUT, that is not the case. Even if you are outside the church, the Church has made it clear what you need to do to be saved. I see the chances of someone actually doing to be pretty slim. Would you agree?