From Jim Geraghty at
nationalreview.com/tks/tks.asp
IS IT TOO EARLY TO DECLARE “FRIST 2008” OVER?
Every once in a while, you hear Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist’s name come up as a possible presidential contender for the election three years from now. (In fact, I recently was talking about American politics with a Turkish official, who asked who the likely GOP candidates would be in 2008. When I mentioned Frist, the official said, “I haven’t heard of him.” He had heard of Guiliani and McCain. In fact, he asked about Condi Rice running and whether Dick Cheney might change his mind.)
A smart NRO reader at David Frum’s event on inauguration day made the persuasive case as to why Frist would have the inside track in 2008.
Your typical GOP primary voters are not inclined to support dark-horse candidates, relative unknowns, out-of-the-blue fresh faces. In fact, they’re pretty much the opposite, generally preferring a well-known, established, “safe” figure who can project the aura of “it’s his turn.” Think George W. Bush with his family pedigree in 2000, Bob Dole in 1996, George H.W. Bush in 1988. One could argue that Reagan was a bit of an upstart in 1980, but he had running for the nomination since 1976. In fact, GOP primary voters are so inclined to back the established favorite that they ultimately backed clumsy, dull Gerald Ford over Great-Communicator-in-training Ronald Reagan that year. (Had I been out of diapers at that time, I would have objected.)
So you’re not going to see some little-known governor or senator suddenly leap to the front of the pack.
Bush can’t run again; Cheney’s answer, no matter how many times he is asked, is ‘no.’ There is no designated successor. Bill Frist, as the next-highest ranking Republican in government, and one of the most high-profile party officials, would seem well-positioned to sell himself as an extension of Bush and Cheney. “I’m the guy who helped pass their agenda,” he could argue. “I’m the next best thing to another four years of Bush and Cheney.”
Of course, to do that, he has to help pass the Bush agenda, particularly on hot-button issues like judges. And some folks are getting irritated with what they see as Frist’s mishandling and passivity on this.
Captain Ed:
That’s the Frist Era for you: The Age of Lost Opportunities. This Hill report shows that Frist doesn’t have the capacity to lead the majority in the Senate. Frist must step down immediately and the Republicans need to replace him with someone who doesn’t get clammy at the sight of Harry Reid wiping his glasses. If Frist isn’t man enough to resign, the GOP should remove him anyway. Pssst. Sen. Frist, this is the same Captain Ed who is taking down the Canadian government day by day.
Continued…